Paddy Power Pays Out Early on Clinton

October 26th, 2016

SHARE

Paddy Power Pays Out Early on Clinton

With less than three weeks to go before Americans head to the polls to vote for their next president, bookmaker Paddy Power has decided to forgo the ballot box count and announce Hillary Clinton as the next Commander-in-Chief.

Setting New Records

If the Irish sportsbook is correct, Mrs Clinton will become the 45th President of the United States, but it would be certainly be a landmark occasion, as she would be the first female to hold that office. Not only that, she would be the first spouse of a previous president ever to do so too.

Have the Bookies Given Up On Trump?

So what makes Paddy Power believe the Democrat has the upper hand over the Republican’s nominee, the brash hotel magnate Donald Trump? As the company states on its blog:

"With national polls showing a healthy lead for the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump’s campaign running into scandal after scandal, Paddy Power believes it’s a done deal and that Hillary is a nailed-on certainty to occupy the Oval Office."

An official Paddy Power spokesman elaborated on the decision to pay out $1.1m in winnings weeks before the official tally:

"Trump gave it a hell of a shot going from a rank outsider to the Republican candidate, but the recent flood of revelations have halted his momentum and his chances now look as patchy as his tan. Recent betting trends have shown one-way traffic for Hillary and punters seemed to have called it 100 per cent correct. Despite Trump’s 'Make America Great Again' message appealing to many disillusioned voters, it looks as though America are going to put a woman in the White House."

Truth in Numbers

Paddy Power backed up their argument by analysing the numbers and how they translate to real-world events:

"The Donald had seen his initial odds of 100/1 (November 2012-June 2015) freefall to as short as 13/8 (May 2016) at one point but recent revelations have halted his momentum and caused his chances of victory to plummet like the value of sterling, resulting in chunky odds of 9/2 (representing a 18.2 per cent chance of winning, as of October 20)."

History Repeating

This is not the first time Paddy Power has paid out early in an American presidential campaign. The bookmaker paid out for Barack Obama’s second term win in 2012, two days before the votes had been counted, to the tune of $700,000. However, it has also made the wrong call early too.

Paddy Power suffered a very public humiliation in 2015 when it paid out tens of thousands in winnings based on bets about whether Greece would accept or reject an austerity package from the EU. The bookmaker had believed the country’s population would vote it through and started paying out days early, before 61% voted no.

What Other Political Bets Does Paddy Power Offer?

While Paddy Power’s pre-emptive payout may have deflated the hotly contested election, there are still several other categories that punters can bet on. The biggest one, apart from who will actually win, is how many voters will actually turn out to vote. The fact that the campaigns have been marred by a vitriol not seen before could cause voters to turn out en masse to make sure they are heard.

Celebrity-led campaigns to raise awareness to vote, like the humorous one directed by Joss Whedon, could also possibly increase this category. Every election since 2000 has been above 50%, although 2008’s election, which saw Barack Obama sworn in as the first black president, had the highest at 57.1%. Four years later, the turnout for his re-election dropped to 54.9%.

The bookmakers are offering the best odds around these areas, although at 5/1, voter turnout being less than 49.99% could be worth a look. There are also some special bets that may pique punters’ interests. For example, there are Impeachment Specials, which pay out if the winning nominee has to resign during their first term due to being impeached.

Paddy Power currently have Clinton at 14/1, and given that the email scandal refuses to disappear, this could be worth a look. So if you fancy a flutter on individual American vote markets, or voter turnout, then head over to Paddy Power today! If you join now, Paddy Power will give you a £30 free bet.

Betting News Articles


Finland First to Recognize Pro eSports Players as Athletes
Finland First to Recognize Pro eSports Players as Athletes

The popularity of eSports has exploded in the recent years, with Finland taking the lead in the boom. The Nordic country is undeniably a forerunner when it comes to eSports thanks to The Finnish Centr ... Read More

BBC, Disney and Madison Square Garden Join eSports Movement
BBC, Disney and Madison Square Garden Join eSports Movement

Anybody needing proof eSports’ popularity is growing at an unchecked rate need only look at the latest three brands to join the movement. The BBC has signed on to show live eSports coverage while Disn ... Read More

NBA Commissioner: US Sports Betting Legal in Next Few Years
NBA Commissioner: US Sports Betting Legal in Next Few Years

The 'land of the free' continues to inch closer to legalising sports betting. Betting on sports in the US has faced a hard and long road to legality, with restrictions still in place across most state ... Read More

Raising the Bar: UEFA’s Growth of Women’s Football
Raising the Bar: UEFA’s Growth of Women’s Football

When it comes to women’s football, the bar is now constantly being raised. Gambling.com's "Raising the Bar" takes a look at the overall growth of women’s football among UEFA-registered nations through ... Read More

LeoVegas Picks Up First Two Football Club Sponsorships
LeoVegas Picks Up First Two Football Club Sponsorships

LeoVegas is one firm that's acutely aware of how advertisement and sponsorship can help win that particular battle. That said, the sports betting and online casino outfit will become the principal spo ... Read More

Betfair, Royal Panda, Unibet Scoop Up Football Partnerships
Betfair, Royal Panda, Unibet Scoop Up Football Partnerships

There's a close link between football and betting, so of course it's no surprise that online bookmakers are keen to advertise their wares on the shirts and at the grounds of some of the world’s bigges ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting News

BettingGuides

Country Guide