Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase Trends - Cheltenham Betting

Jessica Lamb

January 4th, 2019

Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase Trends - Cheltenham Betting

TOP 5 CHELTENHAM FOXHUNTER CHASE TRENDS

Irish or French bred
Won at least four times over fences
Won one of their last three starts
Last ran no more than 41 days ago
Finished in the first three last time out

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Did Trends Win Last Year's Foxhunter Chase?

As with all big-field contests at the Cheltenham Festival, the Foxhunter Chase is a formidable test of the 10 and 15-year trends - 2018 was no exception.

The shortlist of Balnaslow, On The Fringe, Pacha Du Polder and Unioniste, managed to highlight the winner and a 7th place in the 24-runner staying chase.

Previous winners Pacha Du Polder and On The Fringe made the line up because they clearly fitted the Key Foxhunter Chase trends, though On The Fringe was ageing at 13, and had been beaten aged 12 too.

Nevertheless, he was on the trends shortlist, finishing 9th, Pacha Du Polder winning and Balnaslow taking seventh. The Paul Nicholls-trained Unioniste had won plenty of chases, including at Cheltenham, and had even been fourth in the RSA Chase. He finished 10th, priced the shortest of the four in the Cheltenham betting at 12/1.

KEY FOXHUNTER CHASE TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

Were aged no older than 11
Lined up at least 20 days after their last run
Had won at least three times over fences, including in point-to-points

14 of the last 15 winners…

Had run at least twice in the past 12 months
Had run at least six times in their career
Had won up to 11 hunter chases
Had run in at least five hunter chases, exception Cappa Bleu who won in 2009 on racecourse debut, having only run before in point-to-points

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

Were aged between seven and 11
Had run at least once that season, seven winning
Had won at least four times over fences, including in point-to-points
Were Irish or French bred, a British-bred last winning in 2002; Last Option

Nine of the last 10 winners…

Finished in the first three last time out
Won one of their last three starts
Had won on a left-handed course
Last ran in a hunters’ chase
Last ran no more than 41 days ago

Eight of the last 10 winners...

Were trained in Ireland or by Paul Nicholls

Seven of the last 10 winners...

Had run at Cheltenham before
Had won a point-to-point

The last six winners...

Had won seven or more times over fences, including point-to-points

The last five winners...

Were aged 9 or older

The last four winners...

Were ridden by female jockeys
Had previously been beaten in the Foxhunter Chase; so had the 2010 winner

The last 31 win and place positions

30/31 placed horses

Were aged up to 13
Had run up to six times in the last 12 months
Had run up to four times that season

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

Trainer	Runs	Wins	Win%	P/L	Places
Paul Nicholls	14	2	14	29.00	1
Enda Bolger	6	2	33	3.63	1
N Twiston-Davies	4	1	25	1.50	1

How Pacha Du Polder won 2018's Foxhunter Chase

On his fourth visit to the Cheltenham Festival, the 11-year-old Pacha Du Polder retained his Foxhunter Chase crown, despite jockey Harriet Tucker dislocating her shoulder during the race.

It was Pacha Du Polder's third run in the Foxhunter Chase, winning under Bryony Frost in 2017, and finishing fifth for Victoria Pendleton in 2016, and was to prove his most thrilling.

4.10 CHELTENHAM - 2018 Foxhunter Chase Result

Pacha Du Polder 25/1
Top Wood 50/1
Barel Of Laughs 14/1
Cousin Pete 66/1

Sent off at a huge 25/1, the Paul Nicholls-trained victor was well off the pace in 10th position turning the bend for home, but as he met the rising ground he began to stay on through beaten horses.

Bold leaping out of Harriet Tucker's hands at the last, he landed upsides the long-time leader Top Wood and a nail-biting head-to-head ensued, Pacha Du Polder prevailing by a neck - the same margin as he had won by 12 months earlier.

His jockey Harriet Tucker later revealed that she had ‘half dislocated her shoulder’ as the field approached the second-last, and reinserted it herself, while still riding.

Cheltenham 2019 Friday Schedule

13:30 Triumph Hurdle

14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle

14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

15:30 CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP

16:10- Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase

16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase

17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

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