In a rematch of last year’s pivotal late-season game, both teams enter in much different situations than last year. The Rams (11-2) are the class of the NFC West and legit title contenders.
The Eagles (6-7) saw their Super Bowl betting odds further diminish after losing Sunday to the Cowboys and falling back under .500.
The Eagles will try again to make the postseason without Carson Wentz, who’s being shelved with a back injury. Nick Foles takes over and will try to recreate his magic from last year’s Super Bowl run. The defending champs face slim odds to get in via wild card.
The Rams look to shake off Monday’s 15-6 loss to the Bears, the first game all year that coach Sean McVay’s team was held under 23 points and first time since McVay became head coach last year that the Rams didn’t score a touchdown. Here’s how NFL betting fans should approach the game.
In Rams wins this year, their average margin of victory is 12 points. And they’re getting the Eagles at the perfect time. It’s hard to see the Eagles picking up the pieces from a gut-wrenching loss to their NFC East rivals and flying cross country and beating the Rams behind their backup quarterback.
Last year, the Eagles outlasted the Rams in the game in which Wentz tore up his knee. They were deeper, more well-rounded offensively, much better defensive and were bolstered by the support of tens of thousands of fans who trekked to L.A. and took over the Coliseum.
Much different story this season. They’re dealing with injuries everywhere, little momentum and extremely unlikely to fill the Coliseum seats this time with as many fans who made the trip last season.
The Rams are much healthier. Outside of center John Sullivan (concussion) and tackle Rodger Saffold (ankle), the Rams are basically injury-free. They haven’t lost two straight in the McVay era and win by an average of 11.4 points in the regular season under McVay when coming off a loss.
NFL bookmakers, including 888Sport, have set a big line, but nobody would be surprised to see the Rams return to their scoring ways against an Eagles defense besieged with injuries and that just allowed 576 yards to the Cowboys.
Bet the Rams and give the points at 888Sport.
The issue here is the Eagles’ offense. The Rams could easily score in the 30s, but the Foles-led Eagles will struggle keeping Aaron Donald from disrupting the passing game, and when the Eagles can’t get their passing game going they struggle to get into the upper 20s.
Complicating matters for the Eagles is the loss of change-up back Corey Clement for the rest of the season with a knee injury.
While Josh Adams has taken over as lead ball carrier, Clement’s presence in the screen game and in situational running will be missed, although Darren Sproles can take on an expanded role with Clement sidelined.
Still, the Eagles averaged just under 20 points per game in the two games Foles started this year before Wentz was cleared to return. The Eagles need a functional running game to capitalize on Foles’ strengths and get the run-pass option (RPO) working effectively.
The Rams are surprisingly soft in run defense, ranking 30th in average yards per carry against them and 28th in rush yards allowed, but they’ll be keyed on Adams knowing the Eagles need to ride him to alleviate the pressure from Foles. Bet the under with Karamba.
Not only are the Eagles around the bottom third in league scoring (21.6 points per game) but they’re also a terrible first-half team. Slow starts and low-scoring halves have been typical in Eagles games, even in games that end with higher scores.
Last week’s 29-23 loss to Dallas, for example, exceeded the over (43) but was just 6-0 Cowboys at the break. The first Eagles-Cowboys game in October, a 27-20 Dallas win, produced just 16 total points, with Dallas taking a 13-3 lead into the break.
The Rams average 16.5 first-half points and Eagles average about nine, so if both teams just play to their season averages, the Rams will take a 16-9 lead into the break. The Eagles have trailed going into the break in four of their last five games. Parlay the Rams to win the 1st half & under 26.5 at +143 with 888Sport.
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