Football Betting Strategy: Transfer Specials


Football Betting Strategy: Transfer Specials

Towards the end of the football season, speculation regarding players’ and managers’ movement inevitably starts to grow. Although the summer transfer window doesn’t officially open until 1st July in England, clubs often announce their signings before then, so gamblers looking to bet on potential transfers should stay alert throughout the latter stages of the season if they want to secure a good deal.


Thanks in particular to the internet and social media, the number of rumours surrounding potential deals each year has exploded, and transfer specials have consequently become some of the most popular football betting markets on offer. While these markets can provide a fun break from your usual football betting strategy, it is important not to get lured in by the tabloids' transfer headlines, given the gossiping media’s love for hearsay.

Information Is Power

The key to success in the 'transfer specials' markets, as with most types of sports betting, is knowledge. Read as much as you can – be it newspapers, football websites or official club pages. Rumours will fly around, so do your research into which of the stories could have an element of truth - one of the best resources for this is actually the player's personal Twitter account.

When considering a rumour, read up on the history of the player or manager in question, their agent, and the clubs involved in the story. Does he really want to move, or is his agent just trying to push his club into offering a new contract, as was the case with Wayne Rooney in 2010? Agents have a habit of creating hype around their player so be careful not to get sucked in without doing your homework.


Timing is also an important factor in successful transfer betting. As a deal nears completion, odds will shorten significantly. It's therefore a good idea to look around at different bookmakers to keep an eye on which transfers are being offered, and any promising shift in prices.

Player Performance

A player’s performance will also often lead to an increase in speculation. For example, rumours surrounding Borussia Dortmund star Robert Lewandowski were rife for many years before the 2012-13 season, but the striker always ended up staying put. Then, following his incredible performance during his team’s demolition of Real Madrid, the media pounced on the story once more. While there's a chance of him staying at Dortmund again come the end of the season, a betting market concerning the frontman’s next permanent club has been priced up nevertheless. The bookmaker’s favourite is for Lewandowski to remain in Germany; at the time of writing, Paddy Power Sports is offering 2/5 on him jumping ship to Bundesliga rivals Bayern Munich.

'Next Permanent Club' Market

This 'next permanent club' market can be a good option if you feel that a star player will eventually outgrow his current club, but aren't exactly sure when he will make his move - this market lets you bet on the next team he will play for, rather than on him moving in a particular window.

If you want to take a punt on some transfer specials, remember to stay well informed, and time your wagers right. If you keep one step ahead of the pack when it comes to transfer rumours, you could land yourself a substantial profit, so visit Paddy Power Sports today for a range of player and manager markets.

Recommended Betting Sites

Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be +18 to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles

Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements
Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements

The World Cup draws ever closer and the groups have now been announced. If you're planning on taking a punt on some of the games, finding value bets is – quite literally – your best bet, so here's som ... Read More

Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test
Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test

Doubts about the potential of England's Ashes Tour gathered pace during the Ben Stokes drama that emerged in September but with potentially damp conditions, the tourists won't get a better opportunity ... Read More

Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final
Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final

Both England and Australia have been leagues ahead of the competition thus far, so it’s only fitting that they meet in the 2018 World Cup Final for what promises to be a gripping face-off filled with ... Read More

Are Bookies Underestimating England in the Ashes First Test?
Are Bookies Underestimating England in the Ashes First Test?

One of cricket’s greatest rivalries resumes this week with the first Test of the Ashes, the biennial Test cricket series between England and Australia. With both teams tied on 32 wins each over the 13 ... Read More

Top Horses Experts are Backing at the Melbourne Cup 2017
Top Horses Experts are Backing at the Melbourne Cup 2017

The weather at the 2017 Melbourne Cup is expected to be less than sunny, though the real storm clouds have gathered above the stables of Harlem and Jon Snow. With the AU$6.25 million Emirates Melbourn ... Read More

Find the Best Bets for Dolphins and Saints’ Trip to London
Find the Best Bets for Dolphins and Saints’ Trip to London

America’s National Football League (NFL) continues the International Series as the Miami Dolphins and the New Orleans Saints battle it out under the NFL London Games banner on Sunday, October 1, at We ... Read More

Betting Navigation


Sign up for the free Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy


Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2017 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy