Golf Betting Strategy: In-Play Betting

SHARE

Golf Betting Strategy: In-Play Betting

Picking a winner before a golf tournament tees off is notoriously difficult, but betting in-play is a whole different prospect: and one easily indulged thanks to the sport's leisurely progress, penchant for replays and wealth of supporting stats.

Back High, Lay Low

The easiest strategy to adopt when betting on golf in-play is to make the most of dramatic shifts in the 'tournament winner' market that happen with each passing hole (or round, if you prefer to play a little safer) to back high and lay low.

At The 2014 Masters, Adam Scott and Rory McIlroy entered the tournament with odds of 11/1 and 17/2 at Betfair Sports, but Scott plummeted as low as 9/4 during a solid first round. There's no value in that. Matt Kuchar on the other hand, who eventually placed 5th, struggled in the 1st round, but he stayed in touch with the pack and attracted odds of over 30/1 (5/1 to place).

Eventual winner Bubba Watson is another useful example. After a solid opening round, he had only shortened to 14/1. Other rivals in the pack, including Snedeker and McIlroy who sat further back on the leaderboard, shortened much more significantly: so punters had every chance of backing Watson at good odds.

Laying the Favourites

Using Betfair Sports' exchange you can also lay (bet against) the favourites when odds significantly shorten. A good example here is K.J. Choi in just about every Masters. His habit of starting strong and quickly dropping off makes him a perennial contender to back to place after the first round, then lay at the end of the day when his odds have significantly shortened. The trend was proved again in 2014, where he finished the first round two off the pace at -2, bringing his odds tumbling below 20/1 with some bookies, allowing punters to lay the bet and watch him drop off in the second and third rounds.

Hole-by-Hole Betting

The other area to examine is a player's performance on each hole, which allows you to tap into your knowledge of the course, and of a player's form and skills when faced with different challenges.

In terms of knowing a course, it's partly about understanding the mechanics of the game, but a betting strategy is equally applicable if you can simply spot a trend. At Augusta in 2014, the 14th was the most-frequently birdied of the back nine - so that's a player whenever an on-form golfer is about to tee off. At the other end of the spectrum, the 1st and 7th proved tough, with lots of players bogeying, so betting on struggling players dropping shots would be a good choice here.

Gamblers can do their research by looking out for hints as to which holes will prove toughest. You don't need to be able to analyse a course yourself either. World number seven Rory McIlory publicly identified the 1st and 7th as the toughest holes before play even began. Picking up tips like this is easy, and very handy.

Choosing players to back involves more prior knowledge of their strengths and weaknesses. For example, backing big hitters like Keegan Bradley or Bubba Watson to over perform on holes with longer distances, and golfers with less force like Luke Donald to struggle on similar terrain.

To try a system for yourself, check the latest tournament odds at Betfair Sports.

Recommended Betting Sites

Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be +18 to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements
Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements

The World Cup draws ever closer and the groups have now been announced. If you're planning on taking a punt on some of the games, finding value bets is – quite literally – your best bet, so here's som ... Read More

Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test
Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test

Doubts about the potential of England's Ashes Tour gathered pace during the Ben Stokes drama that emerged in September but with potentially damp conditions, the tourists won't get a better opportunity ... Read More

Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final
Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final

Both England and Australia have been leagues ahead of the competition thus far, so it’s only fitting that they meet in the 2018 World Cup Final for what promises to be a gripping face-off filled with ... Read More

Are Bookies Underestimating England in the Ashes First Test?
Are Bookies Underestimating England in the Ashes First Test?

One of cricket’s greatest rivalries resumes this week with the first Test of the Ashes, the biennial Test cricket series between England and Australia. With both teams tied on 32 wins each over the 13 ... Read More

Top Horses Experts are Backing at the Melbourne Cup 2017
Top Horses Experts are Backing at the Melbourne Cup 2017

The weather at the 2017 Melbourne Cup is expected to be less than sunny, though the real storm clouds have gathered above the stables of Harlem and Jon Snow. With the AU$6.25 million Emirates Melbourn ... Read More

Find the Best Bets for Dolphins and Saints’ Trip to London
Find the Best Bets for Dolphins and Saints’ Trip to London

America’s National Football League (NFL) continues the International Series as the Miami Dolphins and the New Orleans Saints battle it out under the NFL London Games banner on Sunday, October 1, at We ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2017 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

facebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter