Having all but sealed their seventh Serie A title in a row at the weekend, Juventus head to Rome for Wednesday’s Coppa Italia final looking for a fourth consecutive victory in the knockout competition.
The Bianconeri need only a single point from their last two games to secure the Scudetto, but at the Stadio Olimpico they face a tough challenge from AC Milan, themselves desperate to not only lift the cup but also guarantee themselves European football next term.
It has been a difficult season for the San Siro giants, parting ways with Vincenzo Montella after he struggled to get the team clicking in the first few months and 2006 World Cup winner Gennaro Gattuso was appointed in his place.
The former midfielder remains as combative as ever, but he has given the side a more coherent game plan and ensured that they stay focussed and are difficult to break down. Neither team has been particularly good to watch this season, but their head-to-head meetings have been captivating encounters, delivering six goals and some entertaining football in their two matches this term.
A quick look at the form book reveals that Juve have kept a clean sheet in their last five Coppa Italia outings, while Milan have shut out their opponents in seven of their last nine fixtures in the knockout competition. However, those aforementioned clashes between this duo have been anything but low scoring affairs, with each managing just one clean sheet in their last six meetings.
There have been no fewer than 15 goals scored over that same period, while neither side has kept their opponent scoreless in their last four competitive games, making BTTS a market worth looking at. When looking more closely at Milan’s record, their struggles away from home have been surprisingly stark.
This game is nominally at a neutral venue, but while the Rossoneri shine at San Siro – allowing opponents to score just 15 times in 18 matches – they have been much more generous on the road. Indeed, they have conceded 25 times in away games this term, something Juventus will certainly be ready to capitalise upon.
The Turin giants are formidable in such circumstances, losing just once away from home this term and recording memorable wins at Napoli, Real Madrid and even Milan.
In winning the last three editions of this competition – including the 2016 Final where they defeated Milan – they are no strangers to taking victory in Rome either, and with that in mind, it is well worth considering a wager on them to do so once again here, with BetBright offering 7/2 on a Juventus win with both teams scoring.
While Gonzalo Higuain and Paulo Dybala garner the attention, it will be surprising to many to note that Douglas Costa has been Juve’s most important attacking player in recent weeks. The former Bayern Munich man was incredible against this past weekend, coming off the bench at half time yet weighing in with two assists to help the Bianconeri earn a crucial victory against Bologna.
That took his tally to six assists and two goals in his last six appearances for the club, pushing them to the brink of the Serie A title and he has been no less effective in the Coppa Italia. Scoring a vital goal in the quarterfinal win over neighbours Torino, Costa then tormented Atalanta in their semi final matchup, repeatedly skipping beyond defenders and helping his side to a 2-0 aggregate victory.
With all of that in mind, the 27-year-old winger is almost certain to be in Max Allegri’s starting XI for the final, and he is available at odds of 15/4 to score at any time and 10/1 to score first with Bet365, both of which represent excellent value.
As well as Costa’s brilliance, Juventus have also lent heavily on their set piece prowess throughout this season, their tally of 17 goals from dead ball situations a league high. They have also conceded nine and given away three penalties, while both Milan and the Bianconeri have netted from the spot four times.
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