Since Jürgen Klopp took charge at Anfield, Manchester City are the only team whose Premier League games have seen more goals in total than Liverpool’s have, but the chaotic defending which had characterised the Reds over the past five years, appears to have gone.
The team which had the most away matches which paid out on over 2.5 goals last season was Liverpool. While that was at times down to their fearsome front three, the Reds’ defence helped to pay out on those bets at Watford (where they conceded three goals), Tottenham (four) and Manchester City (five). Those days seem to be gone though.
Liverpool have begun this Premier League season with three clean sheets, and have allowed their collective opponents just one clear-cut chance in 270 minutes. A lot of the praise needs to be forward to a Mr V. van Dijk, as the current league leaders have conceded just 10 goals in his 17 league matches for the club.
Premier League games between Leicester and Liverpool in the east Midlands have tended to see plenty of goals, with the four since the Foxes returned to the top flight featuring 15 in total. But the Reds’ backline has been remodelled in 2018 and bears little resemblance to the one which played at Leicester last September.
Gone are Mignolet, Matip, Lovren and Moreno (from the first choice XI at least) and Liverpool have looked very solid in 2018/19. As their front three haven’t been at their fierce attacking best yet this term, backing under 2.5 goals at 6/5 looks to be the sensible bet with Karamba.
Leicester are also likely to struggle without the suspended Jamie Vardy. He has scored eight goals against Liverpool in his career, and the Foxes tend to look toothless in his absence. Indeed, the former Fleetwood man has netted 27 of their 63 league goals against the big six since Leicester re-joined the big time.
Claude Puel’s team may have scored four goals across their last two league matches, but their chances in those games were worth just 0.8 expected goals in total. With Liverpool unlikely to give them many golden opportunities, it makes sense to lbet ‘no’ in the both teams to score market at 20/23 with Sportnation.bet.
Mohamed Salah may not have fired on all cylinders yet this season, but he’s still scored two goals already and has a good record against Leicester too; the Premier League’s current Golden Boot scored home and away against the Foxes, picking up three goals in total.
Salah has only converted one of his four clear-cut chances this season too, and while he may not revert to the mean on Saturday, it won’t be long before he does. Liverpool’s number 11 is priced at 12/5 to open the scoring with Mansion Bet, or just 5/8 to score anytime with the same firm.
For longer priced scorer bets, it might be worth considering Liverpool’s centre-backs, as only Brighton and Watford conceded more set piece goals than Leicester last season. Joe Gomez is 12/1 to score with BetHard, who price van Dijk at 15/2.
The home side will lack a really potent goal threat on Saturday, as Riyad Mahrez is no longer there to step up when Vardy is missing. Aside from those two players, Leicester’s squad mustered just 24 goals in the league in 2017/18, so Foxes fans will have to hope Kelechi Iheanacho does the business this week.
His goals per game record is muddied by countless substitute appearances, but on a goals per 90 minutes basis he averages out at better than a goal every two full matches. While the Foxes may struggle to score, he would appear to be their man most likely to. Iheanacho is available at 9/1 to bag the opener with 888 Sport or they offer 17/5 for him score at anytime.
If Liverpool win here, they will break new ground for the club in the modern era. Since the Premier League was formed, they’ve only won their opening trio of games three times prior to 2018/19, and they’ve never gone on and won the fourth.
Klopp’s team are priced at 4/9 to win with Genting Bet, while the same firm have Leicester at 6/1 and the draw 7/2. It’s hard to argue against an away win, and the 31/20 for Liverpool to win to nil with BetVictor is definitely worth bearing in mind.
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