Six Nations 2016 Betting Preview: England vs Italy

SHARE

Six Nations 2016 Betting Preview: England vs Italy

Cupid's arrow might be flying this Valentine's Day for the romantics out there, but for rugby fans, it's a ball that'll be flying on February 14, when England takes on Italy for Six Nations 2016.

Kicking off at 2:00pm GMT at Rome's Stadio Olimpico, the latest Six Nations match will not only present another chance for England to edge further ahead in the rankings, but it will be Italy's first home game of the tournament.

Love in Rome for Italy on Valentine's Day

Despite an inevitable wave of support for Italy inside the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, the odds makers don't seem to be sharing in the affection. According to the latest outright betting markets at William Hill Sports, Italy are 500/1 to win the Six Nations, while their English opponents are leading the way at 5/4.

While the betting markets' current stance will be unwelcome news for Italy supporters, the odds don't always tell the whole story, and it's often worth delving into some additional data.

Numbers Paint a Bleak Picture for Italy

Unfortunately, in this case, Italy's outlook doesn't look any more promising when you consider the team's current situation as a whole. The World Rugby Rankings may have marked the team as eighth best in the world, but this pales in comparison to England's impressive third ranking.

And in the last Six Nations clash between England and Italy, it was England who triumphed spectacularly, taking the match 47 points to 17. Considering this previous form, it seems unlikely that England will lose their 100% win record over the Italians any time soon.

Another crucial thing that seems to have tipped the odds against Italy is the team's inconsistent performance during the last round of Six Nations action. Despite putting in a brave performance against the French, Italy eventually finished the match on the wrong side of 23-21 score line. In contrast, England looked solid against Scotland and did enough to retain the Calcutta Cup for the eighth time by scoring 15 points to nine.

England the Favourites

As we've seen, there are various factors behind the top bookmakers' lack of love for Italy this Valentine's Day. Over at Ladbrokes Sports, you can currently get 7/1 on Italy for the match and 1/12 on England. For a touch more value on Italy (if you're confident of an upset) Betway Sports is offering 9/1 on the outsiders and 1/12 on England for the win.

And, if you want to bet that Italy are favourites for something during the 2016 Six Nations, then there's Paddy Power Sports' 1/8 wager on the team to finish bottom. Finally, the handicap market could tempt you in with odds of around 10/11 at most bookies on an Italian win if England start on -16.0 points.

Chance of an Upset?

Could Italy really beat England in the 2016 Six Nations, against the odds? In reality, the chances are slim, but that doesn't mean the home side should be written off completely. Home field advantage certainly has an effect in sport, and with the best part of 72,000 supporters cheering them on, Italy could feasibly cause an upset.

Either way, it's unlikely to be an easy game for England. Italy's men competed tirelessly with France right until the final whistle last time out, proving that they can bite down on their gum shields and slug it out with one of the best teams in the world. From an odds perspective, there's certainly more love for England in this Six Nations clash with Italy. Nevertheless, with emotions bound to be running high this Valentine's Day, anything could happen.

To get in on the pre-match betting action, head over to William Hill Sports before the 14 February start!

Recommended Betting Sites

*T&C's apply to each offer, click Bet Now for more details

Betting Strategy Articles


Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017
Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017

One of the highlights of the summer sports betting calendar is golf's Open Championship, and this year's crop of budding youngsters and wily veterans are ready to make some highlights of their own. Fo ... Read More

Expect Surprises Betting the Wimbledon Final 2017
Expect Surprises Betting the Wimbledon Final 2017

If there’s been one major surprise from Wimbledon this year, it’s that it’s been full of surprises and bookmakers aren't expecting anything less in the Men's and Women's Finals. Punters looking to bet ... Read More

Why Punters Should Not Back Hamilton at British Grand Prix
Why Punters Should Not Back Hamilton at British Grand Prix

The 2017 British Grand Prix is revving up its engine ready for the off on July 16, but will Lewis Hamilton be able to snatch a vital win on home tarmac despite his recent form? For those interested in ... Read More

Why Shrewd Punters are Betting on the NBA Draft in 2017
Why Shrewd Punters are Betting on the NBA Draft in 2017

It's that time of year again when the NBA heats up and punters seek some serious value by taking a punt on the NBA draft. The draft's been an annual event since 1947, with gamblers betting on it ever ... Read More

US Open 2017 Betting Value Found Outside the Favourites
US Open 2017 Betting Value Found Outside the Favourites

The US Open is a golf tournament that does just what it says on the tin, taking the tournament's name to heart in 2017. With players from way down the golfing ladder able to participate so long as the ... Read More

Champions League Finals 2017 Expert Betting Tips and Odds
Champions League Finals 2017 Expert Betting Tips and Odds

For the upcoming Champions League Finals between Real Madrid and Juventus, should punters be looking to bet on football markets based around a cagy 0-0 or 1-1 with extra time and penalties? Or is ther ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide