Tennis Betting Strategy: In-Play Server Betting

SHARE

Tennis Betting Strategy: In-Play Server Betting

Tennis betting can be one of the hardest markets to profit from, especially as only a handful of elite players generally manage to progress to the final of any one tournament. Backing the favourites outright will often see you spending more time hoping you don't lose than actually enjoying the match, but there are still ways to take advantage if you look to bet in-play.

‘Win Current Game’ Market

A particularly good market to explore when looking at in-play tennis betting is the ‘Win Current Game’ market - often referred to as ‘Win 6th Game’ (depending on how many games have already been played). Here, you can look to capitalise on slightly longer odds as a set progresses, with favourite players naturally deemed less likely to win a game when their opponent is serving. This comes with slightly more risk, but you can use past stats to identify the most likely game or set that will see a player make his move.

For a slightly safer bet, pick a match in which the favourite has a high service game win ratio. Despite the varying styles that tennis players adopt in the modern game, winning the service game is still the integral building block to winning the match outright. While the top players can recover from losing a service game or two, the likes of Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic are still keen to make their mark and fiercely defend their service. This can be prime betting territory, giving you the chance to take advantage of marginally higher odds when betting on the most likely outcome.

Example | 2014 Australian Open

To give an example, the most recent round of the 2014 Australian Open saw Novak Djokovic (ranked 2nd) take on Stanislas Wawrinka (8th). The difference in quality was plain to see, and any outright bets on Djokovic would only have paid out at a rather unattractive 1/12 over at Bet365 Sports. The stats show that Djokovic has an 85% service game win record, so when taking into account the weaker opposition, he should theoretically have won the vast majority of his service games.

While it may be unattractive to make a bet like this before the match starts, the odds do shorten somewhat in-play. As soon as Djokovic steps up to serve, his odds will be higher than when betting on him to win outright, especially if he has struggled in previous games or sets. If, for example, Djokovic had lost the first few points to Wawrinka, he would be under far more pressure to perform than usual, and his odds would respond accordingly. If you felt that he could make a solid recovery, then you could easily have piled in just before his serve and been rewarded with odds much closer to evens. Of course, the odds will vary throughout the game, and with multiple serves to choose from, there's plenty of time to make a judgement call.

The key thing to remember is that in-play betting requires patience and discipline. Every match will offer up the opportunity to back the red-hot server at a tempting price, you just have to wait to take advantage of it. To try this out for yourself, head over to Bet365 Sports today.

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Find Value Betting the Champions League Quarters 2nd Legs
Find Value Betting the Champions League Quarters 2nd Legs

Football fans have another feast of Champions League football to look forward to with the second legs of the quarter-finals about to take place. Juventus, Monaco, Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid have ... Read More

Check Out the Best Bets of the Snooker Championship 2017
Check Out the Best Bets of the Snooker Championship 2017

This year marks the 90th anniversary of the first ever World Snooker Championship, won by English snooker legend Joe Davis. But long gone are the days of Davis as stars like Ronnie O’Sullivan, Mark Se ... Read More

Warriors are Favourites but Experts Suggest Backing Cavs
Warriors are Favourites but Experts Suggest Backing Cavs

It's that time of year again, when the NBA's finest reach for more than hoops in a bid to make it through the playoffs and towards championship glory. As ever, the lead up to the NBA playoffs has been ... Read More

Betting Tips for the Champions League Quarter Final 1st Legs
Betting Tips for the Champions League Quarter Final 1st Legs

The competition began with 32 teams, now just eight sides remain in this season’s UEFA Champions League. After a four-week break, football’s premier club competition returns for the first legs of four ... Read More

Finding Long Bets for the Grand National 2017
Finding Long Bets for the Grand National 2017

The Randox Health Grand National Steeple Race is the highlight of the season at Aintree, taking place on Saturday 8 April. This betting preview will tell you everything you need to know about the odds ... Read More

Johnson’s Odds After Fall Could Mean Big Payout at Masters
Johnson’s Odds After Fall Could Mean Big Payout at Masters

As the 2017 edition of The Masters tees off this week at Augusta, intrigue abounds. Can Willett repeat his last year's performance? How will Spieth respond to being back at Augusta? Will Dustin Johnso ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide