Tennis Betting Strategy: Set Betting Markets

SHARE

Tennis Betting Strategy: Set Betting Markets

It can be hard to find value in tennis betting, particularly if you're interested in big stars and Grand Slams, where bookies sometimes offer very low odds on seeded players. However, there is a way to enhance your chances of winning big: look at the 'set betting' markets.

'Set Betting' Example | 2013 ATP World Tour Finals

For example, examining the schedule of the 2013 ATP World Tour finals in London, you wouldn't expect much value from Novak Djokovic. He has come straight from an emphatic victory at the Paris Masters, he's desperate to reclaim the world number one spot, and he's scheduled to play Federer in the first round. Though Federer is now something of a waning power, he's still no pushover, yet Djokovic is still only rated 1/4 to win the match by Betfair Sports.

However, in the set betting Djokovic is rated 4/6 to win the match 2-0, and a surprising 27/10 to win 2-1. Considering that Djokovic defeated Federer 2-1 just a week before this matchup, that represents very good value.

Player Preferences

You can draw even more value by factoring in player injuries, as well as their favoured surfaces. Even the most basic strategic information, like knowing that Nadal blasts away the opposition on clay, is enough to boost your odds with a punt on a set score. Likewise, predicting fatigue from a busy star player when s/he's pitted against a rested up-and-comer could be enough to land big odds on the star losing a single set in the match. Those of you who play the numbers might fancy a spread or even an accumulator on these stolen sets to maximise value.

Pre-Match Betting Five Set Matches

One word of warning with pre-match set-betting, though: five-set matches can be a lot less predictable. Players like Andy Murray may, when he's fit, embroil himself in more five-set thrillers than the average top seed, but that kind of stand-out trend doesn't come along too often, so you'll have to work hard to spot it.

Win Margin in First Set

Alternatively, you could shift your set-betting focus to the win margin in the first set. This is another good way of drawing value from a dead cert. Betting on 6-0, 6-1, or 6-2 can present quite lucrative odds if you're confident enough to take them, or have a sturdy enough spread-betting system.

With Djokovic rated at 50/1 to beat Federer 6-0 in the first set of their ATP World Tour Finals matchup, it seems that there are some fantastic odds available if you have the confidence to call them.

In-Play Focus

The final way to make set betting work for you is with the in-play markets. Perhaps the most interesting thing about in-play betting in tennis is the player psychology. Unlike team sports, tennis is very much about getting into the mind of the player when they're on the court. Federer is well known for responding strongly when he has been broken or dropped a set, for example, so wagering on a comeback is always a good idea. And if you can call a momentum shift a game or two in advance, the rewards can be great.

So, to try tennis set betting yourself - it might just serve up some profits - head over to Betfair Sports today!

Recommended Betting Sites

Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be +18 to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements
Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements

The World Cup draws ever closer and the groups have now been announced. If you're planning on taking a punt on some of the games, finding value bets is – quite literally – your best bet, so here's som ... Read More

Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test
Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test

Doubts about the potential of England's Ashes Tour gathered pace during the Ben Stokes drama that emerged in September but with potentially damp conditions, the tourists won't get a better opportunity ... Read More

Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final
Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final

Both England and Australia have been leagues ahead of the competition thus far, so it’s only fitting that they meet in the 2018 World Cup Final for what promises to be a gripping face-off filled with ... Read More

Are Bookies Underestimating England in the Ashes First Test?
Are Bookies Underestimating England in the Ashes First Test?

One of cricket’s greatest rivalries resumes this week with the first Test of the Ashes, the biennial Test cricket series between England and Australia. With both teams tied on 32 wins each over the 13 ... Read More

Top Horses Experts are Backing at the Melbourne Cup 2017
Top Horses Experts are Backing at the Melbourne Cup 2017

The weather at the 2017 Melbourne Cup is expected to be less than sunny, though the real storm clouds have gathered above the stables of Harlem and Jon Snow. With the AU$6.25 million Emirates Melbourn ... Read More

Find the Best Bets for Dolphins and Saints’ Trip to London
Find the Best Bets for Dolphins and Saints’ Trip to London

America’s National Football League (NFL) continues the International Series as the Miami Dolphins and the New Orleans Saints battle it out under the NFL London Games banner on Sunday, October 1, at We ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2017 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

facebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter