NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Tips & Best Bets to Consider

NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Tips & Best Bets to Consider

One of the favorite weekends of the year for NFL betting fans is Wild Card weekend.

The Wild Card weekend was first created in 1978 when they added one wild card team to each conference. Over the years, the NFL added more teams to the playoffs and thus, created the most exciting weekend in sports.

Sure, Super Bowl betting is lots of fun, too, especially with so many player prop bet markets. Still, nothing beats this four-game schedule on Saturday and Sunday.

2019 NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting

In the 2018-19 season, we have four of the best matchups you will see on a Wild Card weekend. There will be three rematches of games from the 2018 season, including a third game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans.

On Saturday night, the Seahawks will travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys in what promises to be one of the most physical playoff games of the season. We will also get to watch the 2017 Super Bowl Champions Philadelphia Eagles take on the red-hot Bears in Chicago.

Top NFL bookmakers have initially set three of the games with point spreads of three points or less. That means we should have some highly competitive games this weekend, and hopefully, entertaining ones as well.

NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets

Consider Betting The “Under” In the First Half

Typical NFL betting strategy doesn’t always apply this weekend. Wild Card games tend to be sloppy, especially in the first half. You typically have three to four “okay” teams playing during this week and the nerves from both sides become quite evident early on.

In some years, the quarterback play can be very questionable, leading to some fairly low-scoring games. It’s not flashy or even fun, but betting the “under” for the first half is typically a safe bet.

If a game is going to have a lot of scoring in it, it will usually happen in the second half. But in the first quarter or two, teams are just trying to feel each other out. Take the “under” in the first half of these games and reap the benefits.

Home-Field Advantage Matters

Typically, the “better” team in the Wild Card round will have the home-field advantage. That’s not a profound statement by any means, but it is noteworthy. Unlike the regular season, the home teams in the playoffs are usually a few "wins" better.

That is why the home teams have had great success in the Wild Card round. From 2000-14, the home team won 59 percent of the wild-card games. That is a two-percent increase from the regular season advantage. If the two sides are similar, bet the home team and increase your odds of winning.

Bet on the Team with the Better Quarterback

In a quarterback-driven league, betting on the better quarterback will calm a lot of your nerves. Nothing is more frustrating than betting on a playoff team that has a bad quarterback. If the team you bet on is down by seven or more, that lead will feel like it is insurmountable.

Even if they are up by seven, all you will want your team to do is run, run, and run to protect the lead. Wild-card games tend to be funky and weird things do tend to happen. When betting on the game, you want to have the best quarterback on your side. Even if it means taking the lesser team, always side with the best passer.

Don’t Be Afraid of the Underdogs

One of the reasons bettors enjoy the Wild Card weekend so much is that we typically see some great upsets. Some of the greatest playoff moments in NFL history come during the Wild Card round (Marshawn Lynch’s run against the Saints, the Music City Miracle, Frank Reich's comeback, etc.) We typically see a lot of upsets during this week and fairly close lines.

If you find an underdog team you love, don’t be afraid to bet on them during this wild week of games. Upsets are what has made this week so much fun in the past.

Check Out: Legal Quebec Sports Betting sites and major sports to bet on.

Don’t Forget About Special Teams

One of the most overlooked areas in football is the special team units. But every week in the NFL and especially during the playoffs, these units swing games for better or for worse. While the kicking game isn’t as important as the quarterback position, it does significantly impact the outcomes of games as the kicking game directly correlates to the number of points scored.

Before the week of games, identify the teams with the best kickers and returners and keep that in mind before betting on a game.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. Open an account with bet365 today and bet on a huge range of markets with the world’s favourite online sports betting company

  2. Betfair SP Beat The Best Tote By 11.9% Last Spring

  3. Gallops, Trots, Greyhounds & More - Join Now

  4. Place Your Bets

  5. Bet with one of Australia's leading bookmakers

  6. Australia's Best Fixed Odds Bookies

  7. Check the Unibet Vault to see all your Daily Racing Rewards in one place

Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Australia's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed to operate in Australia they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles