How our football predictions have actually performed

Every pick our model publishes is graded after full time, wins and losses alike. Across 200 completed games we have settled 6,038 selections, of which 2,904 landed (48%).

Hit rate by market, all graded picks
MarketGradedLandedHit rate
Over 1.5 Goals19815679%
Tackles70650572%
Over 3.5 Goals7571%
Over 2.5 Goals1349269%
Fouls Won70145064%
Goal or Assist311858%
BTTS1679657%
Fouls Committed1,05760457%
Shot on Target1,12253748%
Match Result1999548%
Under 2.5 Goals653148%
Anytime Scorer67115223%
Card98016317%
Hit rate by competition
CompetitionGradedLandedHit rate
MLS1,29672556%
La Liga1,05644242%
Championship81335043%
Premier League63627744%
Bundesliga59728047%
Ligue 156926847%
Serie A49629559%
Europa League32416852%
Carabao Cup2198539%
Champions League321444%

Recently graded games