New Rules Changing The Landscape of Premier League Betting

New Rules Changing The Landscape of Premier League Betting
© PA

When Diogo Jota marked his Liverpool Premier League debut with a goal two minutes from time in Monday's 3-1 win over Arsenal at Anfield, it continued a trend of late goals in the third round of fixtures.

It was the tenth goal scored between the 76th minute and full-time and took the total number of goals scored for gameweek three to 36 – eight short of the previous week’s record 44.

It's been a very entertaining start to the season with a total of 103 goals netted in the opening 28 games at an average of 3.67 goals per game.

If that average is maintained throughout the remainder of the season, then we will see a record number of goals scored in a single season.

Goal Periods for Gameweek 3

1-15 mins616.7%
16-30 mins719.4%
46-60 mins616.7%
61-75 mins25.5%

Goal Periods For 2020/21 Season So Far

1-15 mins1817.5%
16-30 mins1312.6%
46-60 mins2120.4%
61-75 mins1514.5%

Right now, the league is on course to see 1,394 goals scored which would smash the previous best 1,222 set during the inaugural season when the campaign had 82 more games played due to the league being made up of 22 clubs compared to the 20 it currently has.

One of the reasons why more goals are being scored is the fact that matches are now lasting a lot longer.

Three matches played over the weekend lasted over 100 minutes as the average length of time for a Premier League match this season rises to just short of 98 minutes.

Average Length of Game Per Gameweek:

  • Week 1 - 97 minutes, 15 seconds
  • Week 2 - 98 minutes, 18 seconds
  • Week 3 - 98 minutes, 24 seconds

Manchester United's controversial 3-2 win at Brighton on Saturday ended with Bruno Fernandes converting a penalty after the final whistle following a VAR check for Neal Maupay's handball trying to defend Harry Maguire's goalbound header in the tenth minute of added on time.

With three extra minutes played at the end of the first half, it meant a total of 103 minutes played at the Amex Stadium.

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It was a similar story at Tottenham on Sunday when Newcastle scored a penalty of their own in the seventh minute of added-on time to rescue a point in a 1-1 draw. Eric Dier was penalised for handball as the Magpies pressed for a late equaliser which they got thanks to Callum Wilson's spot kick.

With the first half lasting 49 minutes, the final whistle came after 103 minutes. On Saturday, Everton's 2-1 win at Crystal Palace ended after 100 minutes of action.

All three games had lengthy delays for VAR checks which is why 100-minute matches are becoming more common in Premier League football.

Longest Games This Season:

  • 103 minutes: Brighton 2-3 Man United
  • 103 minutes: Tottenham 1-1 Newcastle
  • 102 minutes: Man United 1-3 Crystal Palace
  • 100 minutes: Newcastle 0-3 Brighton
  • 100 minutes: Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton

The average length of a Premier League game this season is currently 97 minutes and 59 seconds. For those who like to gamble on when goals are scored in the Premier League, this information is significant.

With more time being added on at the end of games because of VAR checks, the chances of late goals appear to increase, as does the number of penalties awarded and scored.

Seven penalties were scored in the latest round of fixtures to bring the total number of successful spot kicks to 18 from the 20 that have been awarded so far this season.

Last season's Golden Boot winner Jamie Vardy has scored five times this season – four of which have been from the penalty spot as Leicester have benefited more than any other team with five of their 12 goals scored coming from the spot.

Vardy scored the season's fourth hat-trick at the Etihad on Sunday as Leicester stunned Manchester City 5-2. It was the second week in a row in which the Foxes came from behind to win.

Manchester United and Liverpool also rallied from losing positions to claim victory at Brighton and at home to Arsenal respectively as both teams to score (BTTS) paid out in six of the 10 fixtures played.

Over 2.5 total goals scored landed in seven games with seven sides managing to score over 2.5 goals themselves.

Will this weekend's fixtures continue to be high-scoring? Or will defences finally show up?

Will Leeds forward Patrick Bamford score in the fourth successive Premier League game when Manchester City visit Elland Road?

The three sides without a point – Burnley, Sheffield United and Fulham – are all on the road this weekend at Newcastle, Arsenal and Wolves respectively while at the top of the table, there is a battle of two of the four 100 per cent teams as Aston Villa (two wins from two) host defending champions Liverpool (three wins from three).