Basketball Betting Strategy

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Basketball is one of the fastest paced games around, showcasing extreme athleticism, incredible style and high drama. One thing’s for sure, there’s seldom a dull game of basketball, and basketball betting has the potential to be just as exciting.

In the short term, you may want to bet on certain games. The most popular market in NBA betting is the spread; essentially, predicting the points difference between two teams at full-time. NBA spreads are slightly more complicated than other sports; a typical NFL game will only have a spread of 7.5 points. However, when everything is taken into account in basketball – team form, individuals’ form – the point spread can be anything up to 35.

The NBA is another stat-soaked sport that's ripe for betting on. The high tempo and high scores may be off-putting for some, but the rhythm and reliability of the sport makes it perfectly suited to a simple, well-structured system.

Basketball Strategy Articles


NBA Surprisingly Flips Stance on Legalised Sports Betting
NBA Surprisingly Flips Stance on Legalised Sports Betting

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Why Shrewd Punters are Betting on the NBA Draft in 2017
Why Shrewd Punters are Betting on the NBA Draft in 2017

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Find NBA Finals Value Bets with the Series Score Market
Find NBA Finals Value Bets with the Series Score Market

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Warriors are Favourites but Experts Suggest Backing Cavs
Warriors are Favourites but Experts Suggest Backing Cavs

It's that time of year again, when the NBA's finest reach for more than hoops in a bid to make it through the playoffs and towards championship glory. As ever, the lead up to the NBA playoffs has been ... Read More

Expert Betting Tips for NCAA March Madness 2017
Expert Betting Tips for NCAA March Madness 2017

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What the New NBA 2K eLeague Means for eSports Betting
What the New NBA 2K eLeague Means for eSports Betting

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Match Winner Market

The match winner market is always the easiest place to begin a betting strategy, but with the NBA it's much more fertile ground. And that's because of one simple reason: the NBA is much more predictable than most American sports. The win percentages in the NBA last season ranged from 19.5% for bottom-placed Minnesota Timberwolves, up to 81.7% at top-placed (and champion) Golden State Warriors, with a surprisingly even spread in-between.

This means that the best teams nearly always won, and the worst nearly always lost. In contrast, in the 2014 Major League Baseball season, the worst performers were Arizona with a 39.5% win rate, but the season's most reliable team, Los Angeles Angels, only ended the season with a 60.5% win percentage. And half of the teams ended the MLB season with a win rate of between 45-55%.

The relative predictability of NBA results means that match winner markets rarely offer odds far in excess of evens, but the risk is low and value is still often better than mismatches in football.

Odds can be boosted by betting on a points spread. Seasoned gamblers may even want to consider collecting their tips into a single accumulator bet for far greater odds.

Total Points Market

Outside of the match winner market, basketball betting has plenty more to consider. For example, despite the high scores involved, the total points markets can be surprisingly reliable too. In the 2014/15 NBA season, the average points per game for every team in the NBA was between 91.9 and 110.0. So no self-respecting punter should equate high scores directly to unpredictability.

The easiest way to translate your trend tracking into a points market strategy is to play the total points market. Bookies generally choose figures that give odds in the vicinity of evens, though some will offer higher odds on less likely scores, and those with value-led strategies can still consider accumulators.

Those more focused on minimising risks for a safer return might prefer the total match points markets which focus on one of the two teams: by picking a side you're more confident or familiar with, and staking a bet on their total alone, you're effectively halving your risk.

Basketball Strategy Articles


Division by Division: Best Teams to Bet on this NBA Season
Division by Division: Best Teams to Bet on this NBA Season

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NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament 2016 Betting Preview: March Madness Begins
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2015 NBA Finals Betting Preview
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The moment basketball fans have been waiting for is almost here – the first game of the 2014-15 NBA Finals. On the evening of 4th June 2015 (or the early hours of 5th June in Europe), the Cleveland Ca ... Read More

Basketball Betting Strategy: Points Markets
Basketball Betting Strategy: Points Markets

Basketball beginners shouldn't let the large-looking scores put them off. There are plenty of trends to be exploited in the points markets, and surprising ways to customise your strategies. ... Read More

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