Best Betting Value in the Premier League Relegation Battle

Best Betting Value in the Premier League Relegation Battle
© PA
There are a number of teams still in contention for relegation (Credit: PA)

Quick Tips:

  • Brighton to be relegated from the Premier League – 11/4 with BetVictor
  • Watford to avoid relegation – 2/7 with BetVictor
  • Bournemouth to avoid relegation – 10/11 with Ladbrokes

Several Premier League teams will engage in a ferocious battle to avoid relegation when the 2019/20 season resumes this summer. The bottom half of the table is extremely congested, and several famous clubs find themselves staring the ignominy of relegation in the face. We have analysed each of the relegation candidates, detailed their remaining fixtures and assessed the chances of them going down.


Premier League Relegation Battle Table

TeamPositionPointsRelegation Odds (Best Price)
Southampton143425/1
Brighton152911/4
West Ham162721/20
Watford17272/1
Bournemouth18274/5
Aston Villa19252/5
Norwich20211/20

Norwich: 20th – 21 points

Remaining Home Fixtures: Everton, Southampton, Burnley, West Ham, Brighton

Remaining Away Fixtures: Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City, Watford

The Canaries look dead and buried after picking up just 0.72 points per game so far this season. They made a strong start to the campaign, but a lengthy goal drought for top scorer Teemu Pukki coincided with an alarming dip in form.

Daniel Farke’s men staged a mini-revival before the season was suspended, as they beat high-flying Leicester in the league and knocked Spurs out of the FA Cup. However, a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Sheff Utd left them six points adrift of safety.

Pukki does not receive enough support in attack, and Norwich are frail at the back. They have paid the price for a lack of investment last summer, and it is very difficult to imagine them battling to safety when play resumes. They have some tricky fixtures to contend with, top football bookmakers have them as overwhelming favourites in the Premier League relegation odds, and they are highly likely to be marooned at the bottom of the table when the season draws to a close.

Aston Villa: 19th – 25 points

Remaining Home Fixtures: Chelsea, Sheff Utd, Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Man Utd Wolves

Remaining Away Fixtures: Everton, Liverpool, Newcastle, West Ham

Aston Villa suffered a run of four straight defeats before the season was halted and they are now in grave danger of being relegated. However, they could benefit from the lengthy break. It has given them a chance to regroup, lick their wounds and plot a path to safety.

Several factors count in their favour. They have a game in hand of their relegation rivals, and victory would see them soar up to the giddy heights of 16th in the table. Villa could also welcome several key players back into the fold when the season resumes.

Goalkeeper Tom Heaton and Wesley were not included in the 25-man squad on February 1 after both men suffered season-ending injuries. However, they are now approaching full fitness, and the Premier League has indicated that it will allow clubs to tweak their squads and bring back players previously omitted. The return of John McGinn should also give the club a huge boost.

However, Dean Smith’s side has a formidable run-in. Chelsea, Sheff Utd, Arsenal, Man Utd and Wolves are all chasing a top-four finish, while Liverpool are cruising to the title, and West Ham are also battling relegation. They have a decent chance of survival, but they may fall just short. Aston Villa have the worst defensive record in the league, which could explain why they are odds-on, 2/5 with Betway, in the Premiership relegation odds.

Bournemouth: 18th – 27 points

Remaining Home Fixtures: Crystal Palace, Southampton, Leicester, Spurs, Newcastle

Remaining Away Fixtures: Everton, Man City, Man Utd, Wolves

Bournemouth should also reap the benefits of a long break to the 2019/20 season. They had taken just one point from four games before play was halted, and they should relish the opportunity to pause and reflect upon the campaign so far.

They have won just seven out of 29 games this season, but there are mitigating factors. A number of injury crises have ravaged Eddie Howe’s threadbare squad, forcing him to regularly field a weakened team full of hobbled stars. They may well emerge rejuvenated from the break after welcoming key players back from injury.



However, Bournemouth are also lumbered with a perilous fixture list. They would probably need maximum points from home games against Crystal Palace, Southampton and Newcastle to have any chance of survival.

The Cherries have regularly found themselves mired in relegation battles during their five-year stay in the top-flight, but they have always found enough quality in attack to drag themselves up the table. Forwards Callum Wilson and Dominic Solanke have misfired throughout the current campaign, and they will need to be a lot sharper in front of goal if they are to fire their team to safety.

Bournemouth are also odds-on to go down in the EPL relegation odds, but they might fancy their chances of overhauling a team like Brighton or West Ham. At least one team generally pulls off a great escape towards the end of the Premier League season, and you can find attractive Prem relegation odds on Bournemouth beating the drop, with Ladbrokes offering 11/10 on that scenario.

Watford – 17th – 27 points

Remaining Home Fixtures: Leicester, Man City, Newcastle, Norwich, Southampton

Remaining Away Fixtures: Arsenal, Burnley, Chelsea, West Ham

Watford have enjoyed a remarkable upturn in fortunes since ruthlessly axing Quique Sanchez Flores and parachuting in Nigel Pearson to save the day. The Hornets looked hopelessly adrift at the foot of the table, but Pearson’s arrival galvanised the squad. Captain Troy Deeney then returned from injury to spearhead their survival bid, and the Hornets have picked up some eye-catching results.

They beat Man Utd 2-0, drew 1-1 away at Sheff Utd and thumped Aston Villa 3-0 to give themselves a glimmer of hope. Watford began 2020 with a 2-1 victory over Wolves and then beat Bournemouth 3-0. They did well to hold Spurs to a 0-0 draw, before their form dipped.

Yet Watford roared back to life on February 29, when they demolished league leaders Liverpool at Vicarage Road. The Reds were unbeaten in the league and they were touted as the new invincibles, but Pearson’s men ripped them apart.

That should give Watford’s players a great deal of confidence as they plan to resume their relegation battle. They should ease to safety, and they could end up in mid-table by the time the season ends. Back them to beat the drop at 2/7 with BetVictor.

West Ham – 16th – 27 points

Remaining Home Fixtures: Wolves, Aston Villa, Watford, Burnley, Chelsea

Remaining Away Fixtures: Man Utd, Newcastle, Norwich, Spurs

The Hammers called time on Manuel Pellegrini’s reign after suffering a 2-1 home defeat against Leicester in December. It was their ninth loss in 12 games, and the club’s hierarchy decided to pull the trigger on the Chilean. They turned to former boss David Moyes as a replacement, and he was full of confidence in his ability to get the job done.

“Winning is what I do,” declared Moyes. However, West Ham have won just two out of 10 games since he took the reins, and they are teetering precariously above the drop zone.

Yet they do boast a lot of firepower. Felipe Anderson is a quality playmaker, Sebastien Haller is dangerous, and the likes of Manuel Lanzini, Andriy Yarmolenko, Michail Antonio and Robert Snodgrass should chip in with a few goals. West Ham fans may even witness the lesser-spotted Jack Wilshere when the season resumes.


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The Hammers always look liable to concede goals, but they should have enough quality in attack to achieve safety.

Brighton – 15th – 29 points

Remaining Home Fixtures: Arsenal, Newcastle, Man City, Liverpool, Man Utd

Remaining Away Fixtures: Burnley, Leicester, Norwich, Southampton

Brighton are the only Premier League without a win to their name in 2020. The Seagulls are stubborn and difficult to beat, but they do not score enough goals to snatch victory in tight games.

They were reliant on a solid defence and the aging legs of Glenn Murray during Chris Hughton’s tenure. Brighton have been easier on the eye under Graham Potter this season, and Neal Maupay has emerged as a reasonably reliable striker, but they have lost a bit of that defensive strength.



The Seagulls have a horrendous spell of home fixtures, which remains statistically essential to Premier League betting, to contend with. They normally enjoy passionate home support at the Amex, but the remainder of the fixtures will be played behind closed doors. That makes the prospect of facing Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal extremely daunting.

Brighton will need to pick up a number of points on the road, but they have won just two of 15 road trips so far this season. Their form has been dreadful in 2020 and they look like a good bet to go down. They are priced at 11/4 with BetVictor in the Premier League relegation odds, and that looks like an attractive option for punters.

The Rest

Newcastle and Southampton are 13th and 14th respectively in the Premier League table, and they should both beat the drop. Magpies fans were furious at the decision to appoint former Sunderland boss Steve Bruce as Rafa Benitez’s replacement last summer, but he has exceeded expectations thus far.

Newcastle have already beaten Man City and Man Utd at home this season. They have a strong midfield, and their five-man defence is tough to break down. They are eight points clear of the relegation zone, and they should be fine.

Southampton looked in serious trouble after losing 9-0 to Leicester earlier this season. However, they stuck with Ralph Hasenhuttl, and he has led them up the table. The Saints have 10 wins this season, and they are seven points clear of the drop zone, so they should also be fine.

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