Chiefs-Colts Odds & Best Bets AFC Divisional Round 2019
The Indianapolis Colts have literally galloped through the second half of the NFL season and into the playoffs. Indy won seven of its last eight games to get into the postseason and moved to Saturday’s NFL Divisional Playoff game against Kansas City after an impressive win over Houston in last week’s NFL Wild Card weekend game.
The Chiefs earned a first-round bye by clinching the AFC West with a 12-4 record and defend their home field of Arrowhead Stadium against Indianapolis.
It’s been a magical year for KC even with losing running back Kareem Hunt, who was released from the team because of legal issues late in the year. But the high-powered offense has kept things in high gear.
for fans of NFL betting, Saturday’s game shapes up to be one of the more entertaining playoff matchups, and finding an edge for either squad is not an easy task.
Colts vs. Chiefs Best Bets
Colts (+5) over Chiefs
The Indianapolis run begins with the play of quarterback Andrew Luck. In his return from injury a year ago, Luck has been spectacular. He’s thrown for 4,593 passing yards, 39 touchdowns.
While Luck has 15 interceptions and has been sacked 18 times this season, he’s also rushed for an additional 148 yards. In last week’s 21-7 win over Houston, Luck threw for 222 yards, two touchdowns and one interception.
Marlon Mack rushed for 148 yards and a touchdown in that wild-card game win. He also leads the Colts with 908 rushing yards and nine touchdowns on 195 carries, plus he’s racked up 103 receiving yards and one touchdown this season.
The multipurpose back will have to be contained by the Kansas City defense in order to slow down the attack.
While Luck has been great this year, Kansas City QB Pat Mahomes has been even better. Mahomes threw for a massive 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns in 2018. Mahomes also rushed for an additional 272 yards and two touchdowns this season.
But there are two key stats that standout. The talented young QB threw 12 interceptions and was sacked 26 times. The KC front line has to do its job of protecting Mahomes in order to give him time to work his magic.
When he’s pressured, as the numbers bear out, Mahomes can be forced into making mistakes. Given a chance to air it out, Mahomes has an array of receiving weapons at his disposal.
Nine Chiefs have at least 100 receiving yards this season led by Tyreek Hill with 87 receptions for 1,479 yards and 12 touchdowns. Tight end Travis Kelce has caught 103 passes for 1,336 yards and 10 touchdowns.
If Luck and Mahomes are on their game this one could turn into a shootout and Indianapolis has at least the chance to hang with the Chiefs unlike the Texans a week ago. Take the Colts and the points with 888Sport.
Points have not been in short supply for either team this season. Kansas City led the NFL in both points per game (35.3) and total yards per game (425). The passing attack averaged 309 yards per contest.
On the other side the Colts average of 27.1 points per game and rack up 386 yards of offense. A total of 278 of those yards come through the air.
The aerial attacks on both teams grab headlines but there are decent ground games also with each squad. Mack leads the way for Indy while Kansas City has a pair of running backs that have picked up the slack left by Hunt’s departure.
Damian Williams has 256 yards and four touchdowns while Spencer Ware has rushed for 246 yards and a pair of TDs.
For good measure both have added receiving stats to their totals with Williams putting up 160 receiving yards and two touchdowns with Ware scoring two touchdowns and an additional 224 receiving yards.
All that offensive firepower is going to put both teams’ defenses on full alert. Indianapolis allows an average of 21 points and 339 total yards per game. But the Colts are just 16th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (237).
Kansas City’s defensive numbers are actually not as good. The Chiefs defense ranks 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (405). They are 24th in the league giving up 24 points a game.
The fireworks are going to fly in this one. Take the over with Karamba.
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