NFL Week 14 Betting Tips & Picks: Over/Under Plays to Back
- Bet Redskins-Giants under 41 with Karamba.
- Bet Rams-Bears under 52.5 with 888Sport.
- Bet Steelers-Raiders over 51.5 with Betfair.
- Bet Vikings-Seahawks over 45.5 with 888Sport.
Week 13 was productive for us with our total picks as we cashed three of the four. Let’s see if we can at least match our winning ways with our Week 14 NFL betting over-under selections.
New York Giants at Washington Redskins
Over/Under Total: 41 with Karamba
We’ve seen the Washington Redskins crumble over the last month or so, and it’s not going to get any better against the Giants this coming week. Already without starting quarterback Alex Smith for the season, the Redskins lost backup Colt McCoy on Monday Night Football to a broken leg.
That means Mark Sanchez is in. Throw in the fact that he joined the team just a couple of weeks ago and is behind a banged up offensive line with an injury-depleted wide receiving corps, and it’s hard to expect to see many points from them.
The Redskins are averaging just 17.3 points per game over their last five contests and 18.8 over their last nine.
The Giants have played well over the last month but Washington still has a stout defense. They’re allowing 21.4 points per game this season (eighth in the NFL) and keeping their team in games. They’re ninth in rushing yards per game, and if they can cut off the Giants ground game, New York probably won’t have a lot of offensive success on the road.
The first meeting between the teams was a 20-13 result and we should see something similar here. Bet the under with Karamba.
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears
Over/Under Total: 52.5 with 888Sport
This is a classic under game for several reasons: One, this is a night game in December in cold weather for Los Angeles, a warm-weather team. The Rams scored only 23 points in their previous cold-weather game this season in Denver against the Broncos. Don’t expect the Rams to handle the weather very well.
Second, the Bears don’t know what their quarterback situation will be. Mitchell Trubisky couldn’t play last week against the New York Giants, and if he can’t play this week, the Rams’ defense should swallow up Chase Daniel. Even if Trubisky plays, he won’t be 100 percent. The Rams’ defense should have a good night.
Third, the Bears know their quarterback situation isn’t ideal, so their defense will know it has to be great in this game. Expect an inspired performance from Khalil Mack and his teammates. Each of these three ingredients should point to an under game. Bet the under with 888Sport.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
Over/Under Total: 51.5 with Betfair
The Raiders just gave up 40 points to the Kansas City Chiefs and have often been shredded by good offenses this season. The Steelers just played a game in the 30s against the Los Angeles Chargers. Their defense isn’t playing at a level anywhere near where they need it to play.
Neither team merits a lot of confidence from its defense, and both teams scored at least 30 points in their most recent games this past weekend.
It’s also worth noting that the Raiders offense has been competent of late. They scored 33 last week and are averaging 24.3 points per game over their last three compared to 10.0 points per game over their previous five. They are averaging a healthy 25.0 points per game at home this season.
Combined with the Steelers explosive offense, we should see an over, and that’s the way to bet the game with Betfair.
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
Over/Under Total: 45.5 with 888Sport
On paper, one might lean to the under in this game as we have two decent-but-not-great offenses and two good defenses. However, I like the over for a couple of reasons.
On the Vikings side, they’ve been far too reliant on the pass this year as only two other teams (Pittsburgh and Indianapolis) have more passing attempts than them. But this is a spot where they could get their ground game going.
Seattle allows a league-worst 5.1 yards per carry. They held lowly San Francisco under wraps last week but coughed up 220 rushing yards in Carolina, 149 to the Rams and 160 to the Chargers.
On the flip side, the Seahawks offense has been humming at home, averaging 28.4 points per game. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s defense has been far more effective at home as they’re giving up 19.3 points per game at home compared to 25.7 on the road.
None of the Seahawks last four games have stayed under 45 and I’m not expecting this one to here. Bet the over with 888Sport.
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