Six Nations 2016 Betting Preview: England vs Italy

SHARE

Six Nations 2016 Betting Preview: England vs Italy

Cupid's arrow might be flying this Valentine's Day for the romantics out there, but for rugby fans, it's a ball that'll be flying on February 14, when England takes on Italy for Six Nations 2016.

Kicking off at 2:00pm GMT at Rome's Stadio Olimpico, the latest Six Nations match will not only present another chance for England to edge further ahead in the rankings, but it will be Italy's first home game of the tournament.

Love in Rome for Italy on Valentine's Day

Despite an inevitable wave of support for Italy inside the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, the odds makers don't seem to be sharing in the affection. According to the latest outright betting markets at William Hill Sports, Italy are 500/1 to win the Six Nations, while their English opponents are leading the way at 5/4.

While the betting markets' current stance will be unwelcome news for Italy supporters, the odds don't always tell the whole story, and it's often worth delving into some additional data.

Numbers Paint a Bleak Picture for Italy

Unfortunately, in this case, Italy's outlook doesn't look any more promising when you consider the team's current situation as a whole. The World Rugby Rankings may have marked the team as eighth best in the world, but this pales in comparison to England's impressive third ranking.

And in the last Six Nations clash between England and Italy, it was England who triumphed spectacularly, taking the match 47 points to 17. Considering this previous form, it seems unlikely that England will lose their 100% win record over the Italians any time soon.

Another crucial thing that seems to have tipped the odds against Italy is the team's inconsistent performance during the last round of Six Nations action. Despite putting in a brave performance against the French, Italy eventually finished the match on the wrong side of 23-21 score line. In contrast, England looked solid against Scotland and did enough to retain the Calcutta Cup for the eighth time by scoring 15 points to nine.

England the Favourites

As we've seen, there are various factors behind the top bookmakers' lack of love for Italy this Valentine's Day. Over at Ladbrokes Sports, you can currently get 7/1 on Italy for the match and 1/12 on England. For a touch more value on Italy (if you're confident of an upset) Betway Sports is offering 9/1 on the outsiders and 1/12 on England for the win.

And, if you want to bet that Italy are favourites for something during the 2016 Six Nations, then there's Paddy Power Sports' 1/8 wager on the team to finish bottom. Finally, the handicap market could tempt you in with odds of around 10/11 at most bookies on an Italian win if England start on -16.0 points.

Chance of an Upset?

Could Italy really beat England in the 2016 Six Nations, against the odds? In reality, the chances are slim, but that doesn't mean the home side should be written off completely. Home field advantage certainly has an effect in sport, and with the best part of 72,000 supporters cheering them on, Italy could feasibly cause an upset.

Either way, it's unlikely to be an easy game for England. Italy's men competed tirelessly with France right until the final whistle last time out, proving that they can bite down on their gum shields and slug it out with one of the best teams in the world. From an odds perspective, there's certainly more love for England in this Six Nations clash with Italy. Nevertheless, with emotions bound to be running high this Valentine's Day, anything could happen.

To get in on the pre-match betting action, head over to William Hill Sports before the 14 February start!

Recommended Betting Sites

Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be +18 to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements
Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements

The World Cup draws ever closer and the groups have now been announced. If you're planning on taking a punt on some of the games, finding value bets is – quite literally – your best bet, so here's som ... Read More

Bookmakers Shift Trump’s Odds in Favor of Finishing Term
Bookmakers Shift Trump’s Odds in Favor of Finishing Term

Many bookmakers offered generous prices on Trump finishing his first year's term but his first year in the White House has seen his odds fall. The movement has raised the question of whether the Presi ... Read More

Hamilton’s Title Hunt Makes Abu Dhabi Betting Interesting
Hamilton’s Title Hunt Makes Abu Dhabi Betting Interesting

The Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi has seemingly favoured betting on a select group of F1 drivers. As the teams head to the Persian Gulf for the race on 26 September 2017, let's take a look at the Fo ... Read More

Betting the Davis Cup Final Could Mean Backing an Underdog
Betting the Davis Cup Final Could Mean Backing an Underdog

After battling away for the best part of 2017, the Davis Cup finalists, France and Germany, are now just one victory away from securing the famous tennis trophy for their country but the bookmakers ha ... Read More

Why You Should Be Wagering the ATP World Tour Finals 2017
Why You Should Be Wagering the ATP World Tour Finals 2017

The 2017 ATP World Tour Finals are shaping up to be an intriguing week of tennis, with several new faces and a new sponsor to spice things up. Time to take a look at the runners and riders and see whe ... Read More

Hamilton Securing Title Means Betting Value in Brazil 2017
Hamilton Securing Title Means Betting Value in Brazil 2017

The penultimate race of the Formula One season takes place this weekend. The drivers’ championship may be over but there's still plenty of interest in the Brazilian Grand Prix, and time to place your ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2017 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

facebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter