US Democratic Primary 2016 Betting Preview: Sanders Claws Back Ground on Hillary

SHARE

US Democratic Primary 2016 Betting Preview: Sanders Claws Back Ground on Hillary

Bernie Sanders has improved his standing in the race to become the Democratic presidential nominee after successive East Coast victories in New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine. The 74-year-old Vermont Senator won his latest victory in the Maine caucus by claiming more than 64% of votes. As a result, Sanders has a real chance to beat Hillary Clinton at the 2016 Democratic National Convention.

Primaries vs Caucuses

The US has a political system where states commonly host a primary or a caucus to determine the Democrat and Republican presidential candidates. Fundamentally, these systems differ in that state governments conduct primaries, whereas state parties host caucuses.

A primary can be a little simpler to understand, given that the process entails voters choosing their candidate in polling stations. Meanwhile, caucuses also vote on party business, which can require much more time and even put off some voters from attending.

A common example from recent years came when Obama won the 2008 Iowa Democratic caucus despite only 4% of eligible voters turning out. Given that Sanders has called for equality in outlining his stance on US political issues, he could continue to draw support from the party-focused members who attend caucuses.

Hillary Still Comfortable

Although Sanders pulled back with three states, it would appear that he still needs to make progress to close the gap on Hillary. At present, the 68-year-old former Secretary of State is priced by Coral Sports as 1/33 favourite ahead of Sanders at 10/1 to win the Democratic presidential candidacy.

In the Democratic race, Coral Sports is only taking bets on one other candidate – current Vice President Joe Biden at 25/1. The 73-year-old Pennsylvania native is still considered to be a potential candidate despite announcing in October 2015 that he would not be running. Standing alongside President Barack Obama, Biden stated he did not have “the time necessary to mount a winning campaign for the nomination.”

Sanders Down in the Polls

For Sanders to overturn the lead, he needs to win over Democratic voters who are leaning towards Hillary. On 8th March 2016, it was revealed in an NBC News poll of Democratic voters that Hillary held a 55 to 38 lead over Sanders. Her four-point increase on the previous poll gives her a 17-point lead with voters, which could have factored into her shorter odds.

In moving further ahead of Sanders, it appears that Democratic voters took notice of Hillary’s strong performance on Super Tuesday. On 1st March, Hillary claimed Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia, while Sanders took Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and his home state of Vermont.

Nevertheless, it's still too early to discount Sanders, as the poll merely outlines voting preferences. Right now, Sanders’ supporters would point out their candidate’s success in winning caucus states, as well as states that traditionally vote for a Democratic candidate over a Republican. Recent wins have come from caucuses in Maine, Kansas and Nebraska.

Long Way To Go

For now, Sanders will remain the outsider unless he closes the gap on Hillary, but he does have hope in the form of the caucuses. Considering there are 27 state caucuses in the entire race, there could be time for surprises in the months ahead.

For all the latest odds in the Hillary Clinton vs Bernie Sanders Democratic Primary race, Visit Coral Sports today!

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Why Experts are Backing the Favourites at PGA Championship
Why Experts are Backing the Favourites at PGA Championship

The PGA Open Championship 2017 tees off from Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, with several strong players in contention for the title. McIlroy and Speith are both eyeing history, but is ... Read More

Start of the Premier League Outright Odds and Betting Tips
Start of the Premier League Outright Odds and Betting Tips

With the 2017/2018 Premier League season set to be another roller coaster of emotions for everyone involved, thoughts are now turning to the players that could thrive in the coming months. As ever, th ... Read More

Expert Betting Tips for the UEFA Women's EURO Finals 2017
Expert Betting Tips for the UEFA Women's EURO Finals 2017

It’s been a record-breaking summer of betting on women’s sport around the world with the Cricket World Cup, Wimbledon and the UEFA Women’s Championship. Sunday’s final is sure to prove another popular ... Read More

Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017
Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017

One of the highlights of the summer sports betting calendar is golf's Open Championship, and this year's crop of budding youngsters and wily veterans are ready to make some highlights of their own. Fo ... Read More

Winter is Coming and So Are the Game of Thrones Prop Bets
Winter is Coming and So Are the Game of Thrones Prop Bets

The penultimate season of Game of Thrones is premiering on Sunday 16th July and the showrunners have promised that events are now moving at an unstoppable pace. Who will live? Who will die? And who wi ... Read More

Expect Surprises Betting the Wimbledon Final 2017
Expect Surprises Betting the Wimbledon Final 2017

If there’s been one major surprise from Wimbledon this year, it’s that it’s been full of surprises and bookmakers aren't expecting anything less in the Men's and Women's Finals. Punters looking to bet ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide