Conor McGregor v Donald 'Cowboy' Cerrone Betting Preview

Conor McGregor v Donald 'Cowboy' Cerrone Betting Preview

Cerrone and McGregor are the main event at UFC 246 (Credit: USA Today)

Quick Bets:

  • Cerrone to win - 5/2 with BetVictor
  • Cerrone to win in rounds 3/4 - 15/2 with 888Sport
  • McGregor to win in the second round - 9/2 with Betway

UFC 246 will see the return of the organisations' premier cash cow as Conor McGregor returns to the Octagon to go head-to-head with Donald Cerrone at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. As with all of the Irishman’s bouts it’s marked down as the night’s main event despite there being no belts on the line. Despite this, there are plenty of intriguing MMA betting options available with all of the top bookmakers.

There certainly is a different feel in the build-up to this match-up. McGregor’s usual persona of a loud-mouth wind-up merchant has been replaced with a rather different, if not refreshing, persona.

‘The Notorious’ - who has been caught up in a number of high profile controversies in recent months - claims to have turned a corner and while he hasn’t promised to give up his antics of old, he’s certainly toned them down.

Instead of launching a series scathing personal attacks like he has with the majority of his previous opponents, McGregor has gone as far as to admit his admiration for “family man” Cerrone.

The media circus still centres around the 31-year-old, but his usual mental mind-tricks have been kept to a minimum, as far as Cerrone is concerned anyway.

Many have pegged the fight as an easy lay-up for McGregor’s return to the UFC, and bookies certainly agree with that sentiment. A victory for the whiskey connoisseur is pegged at 1/3 generally.

Cerrone Is No Easy Match Up

However, Cerrone is a veteran inside the cage and offers a potentially difficult fight for McGregor. Cowboy has fought five times since McGregor was beaten up by Khabib Nurmagomedov in October 2018 - so ring rust won’t be an issue for the Colorada man.

At 36-years-old it could be argued he’s past his prime, and coming off the back of two losses to Justin Garthje and Tony Ferguson - both of whom have been mooted for potential McGregor scraps - it could be seen as a final payday for an experienced campaigner who the UFC hold in particularly high regard, especially against an opponent who is expected to pull in lucrative numbers.

"Cowboy Cerrone is one of the best ever. He holds a tonne of records in this sport and loves to be the underdog. A lot of people wrote Cowboy off and that Conor was coming back and getting a lay-up. This isn’t a lay-up at all,” said UFC President Dana White in a recent interview.

He has 36 wins in total throughout his career with 47% of those by submission, meaning he poses a threat that McGregor has often struggled with. All four of McGregor’s MMA losses have come via submission, with his sole TKO defeat coming famously at the hands of 51-0 boxer Floyd Mayweather - although that bout took place under the rules of the sweet science.

Cowboy is the physically bigger man too. Standing at 6’0 he will tower over the 5’9 McGregor, although the Irishman will have a one-inch reach advantage. With this fight taking place at Welterweight (170 pounds), Cerrone will not have to take much of a weight cut into consideration - but it's a dilemma McGregor will not have to contend with either.



It should be taken into account, however, that McGregor admitted he is underweight ahead of Saturday night, tipping the scales at a little over 160lbs. Any extra weight advantage Cerrone can take into the fight will be crucial, especially if he decides to take it to the ground.

McGregor hasn’t had much luck in the 170 division. He was defeated by Nate Diaz at UFC 196 via a second-round rear naked choke before exacting his revenge in the rematch, a five-round war at UFC 201. It’s often debated that McGregor's ideal weight is 155, and White has expressed concern over his insistence on fighting at welterweight.

With this in mind, Cerrone seems like the value play to win the fight at 5/2 with BetVictor. For punters who want a bit more value, Cowboy is somewhat of a second-round specialist with 14 finishes there in his career but the early rounds are where McGregor tends to be his most dangerous.

The Notorious has a tendancy to tire as the fight goes on, however, so betting on a Cerrone win in round 3-4 at 15/2 with 888Sport could prove fruitful.

Can Mac Come Back?

McGregor has been bullish about his most recent comeback, emphasising that he is preparing for at least three brawls in 2020, with the end goal being a rematch with Khabib in Moscow.

You can’t question his pedigree. Before his brief retirement, McGregor dominated the featherweight division before dismantling Eddie Alvarez to seal the lightweight title in one of the most impressive performances ever seen in the Octagon, on MMA’s return to Madison Square Garden, where he first dubbed himself the ‘Champ Champ’.

There were signs of life during some periods of the fight with Khabib, but he was ultimately outclassed by arguably the pound-for-pound best fighter on the planet following a two-year absence and reported foot injury. That loss, perhaps, can be excused.

Should he be back to his old self, you would fancy him to execute an early knockout. At 1/3 outright winner with most bookmakers, the best value for McGregor backers lies in round betting. He is 2/1 with Ladbrokes to stop Cerrone in the first, with the second round valued at 9/2 with Betway. I wouldn't talk anyone out of either option.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
Bell Icon
Affiliate Disclosure: At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. This means that if you visit a website through our link and make a deposit, Gambling.com will receive a commission payment at no extra cost to you. At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. More
  1. 1
    888 Sports
    Established 1997
    More Details
    $30 In Free Bets + $10 Casino Bonus When you place your first $10 bet
    Huge Selection of Sports Betting Markets
    One of the Oldest Online Sportsbooks
    Exclusive Partnership with Sports Illustrated
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    34
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    888 Sportsbook offers a massive selection of sports betting markets and sports to its customers. In an US expansion effort, the brand has teamed up with Sports Illustrated.
  2. 2
    20Bet Sports
    Established 2020
    More Details
    100% up to C$150 for your first deposit
    Regular Bettor Tournaments
    Forecast Betting
    Bettor Hall of Fame
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    13
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    20Bet wants to amaze bettors with several interesting features. Users will find hall of fame and regular tournaments appealing. They'll be able to compete with others to stay at the top.
  3. 3
    Powbet Sports
    Established 2020
    More Details
    100% Up To $150
    Regular Tournament Leagues
    Weekly Acca Rewards & Boosts
    Bet Builder Feature
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    15
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Powbet sportsbook run a distinctive theme with a unique design. The platform comes with all the features and rewards that newcomers and experience bettors will appreciate, some of which are bet builder, acca boosts and regular tournaments.
  4. 4
    TonyBet Sports
    Established 2009
    More Details
    100% Bonus up to CA$150
    Regular Bettors Tournaments
    Sport VIP Program
    Ongoing 'Forecasts' Promotion
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    15
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    TonyBet offers over 1,650 sports betting markets and sports. Aside from being spoilt for choice, bettors can also enjoy difrerent promotions. Plus the platform is available on all operating systems.
  5. 5
    BetVictor Sports
    Established 2000
    More Details
    Get up to$300 Matched bet on your first bet
    Long Established UK Bookmaker
    Regular Bet Boosts
    Use Bet Builder to Make Custom Bets
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    33
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    BetVictor is named after founder Victor Chandler (known as the 'Gentleman Bookmaker') and they boast superstar jockey Rachael Blackmore, plus football legends Michael Owen and Harry Redknapp amongst their brand ambassadors and betting experts.
  6. 6
    Guts Sports
    Established 2013
    More Details
    Deposit C$100, Get C$100 in Free Bets
    Tennis Betting Leaderboard
    Big Selection of Popular Sports
    Clean Design for Smooth Navigation
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    32
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Guts is a great platform where sports betting enthusiasts will find everything they need. Plus, they can play casino games and poker if they like to.
  7. 7
    Greatwin Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    100% Up To $150
    Regular Bettor Tournaments
    Cashback & Acca Boost Promotions
    Competitive Odds & Extensive Sports Selection
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    20
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    11
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    GreatWin features a polished design that let's its users easily focus on broad selection of available sports. The platform offers competitive odds, but it stands out with ongoing promotions such as acca boosts. Players can also explore the casino section for more fun.
  8. 8
    Casinoly Sports
    Established 2021
    More Details
    100% Up To $150
    Big Selection of Esports Leagues
    All Major Leagues Around the World Covered
    Acca Boost for Higher Profits
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    20
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    11
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    With its unique Ancient Rome theme, Casinoly sets itself apart. The brand is a dual operator offering casino and sportsbook. It features a huge collection of sports betting options.
  9. 9
    Leo Vegas Sports
    Established 2016
    More Details
    Deposit C$300, Get C$300 in Free Bets
    Mobile First Betting Interface
    Leo King' Sports Prediction Game
    24/7 Customer Service
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    34
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Leo Vegas Sports is the sportsbook from this multi-award-winning casino operator, with a focus on mobile users - including a sport betting app for Android & iOS Devices.
  10. 10
    Luckster Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Bet $10 Get $10
    Well Designed & Easy To Use Interface
    ‘Boost Up’ Accumulator Boosts
    Live Betting & Cash-Out Options
    Promo Code
    The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Luckster is a dual sportsbook and casino platform with a vaguely Irish theme, including the inevitable leprechaun logo and shamrock imagery.
×