How To Identify Public vs Professional Money Down

How To Identify Public vs Professional Money Down

The exercise of identifying whether or not money down is professional or public can be a difficult one to get right. When it comes to sports betting, perhaps the most obvious example of when large of amounts of professional money are put down is in horse racing. Often, when a horse that has started at 8/1 in the morning hardens in the market and eventually ends up at a price nearer evens, this is usually a sign that that either the online bookmakers – or professional punters – know something.

Race-Fixing

Notable examples of horses shortening in the market in the past have come from race-fixing. Professional con men would run their horses in aces that didn’t suit their animals and then, when the horse ran badly enough and became a big enough price for his next race, the man would run his horse in a race that did suit, and from there back his animal with big money. From a punter’s perspective, you’re trying to figure out why a significant price shift has happened and sometimes this is due to professional money down.

Form-Readers

It is not just the professional gamblers’ money that causes odds to shorten in the market. Indeed, online bookmakers such as Paddy Power Sports employ ‘form-readers’ whose job it is to interpret a horse's form in order to put it in a particular place in the market. These form-readers, along with the opinions of specific industry outside, talk to the trainers and owners of their respective horses and gauge what kind of a chance their horses have. With this information, online bookmakers can price their horses accordingly, and this is why you sometimes see a horse that hasn’t run for a year at the head of the market, or a horse that hasn’t finished in his last three starts halve in price, for example.

Tipsters' Influence

It is hard, though, to tell the difference between public and professional betting. Tom Segal, the country’s most successful tipster, causes markets to fluctuate all by himself with his tips. If a well-known tipster in a popular publication tips a specific horse, you can expect public money betting to respond accordingly, causing a considerable swing in the market.

Staged Gambles

Gambles can also be staged at sporting venues themselves. In particular, as far as greyhounds are concerned, people have been known to heavily back a specific dog that may not have run particularly well in its last outing, or a dog that is weak in the betting. This is an easy way of spotting the chances the dog may have, and, often, it is wise not to ignore the fluctuations of the market.

Caution Near Event Start

If a horse or dog – or football team, for that matter – shortens considerably in the market as an event is about to start, then this is a decent indication of professional money down. Online bookmakers usually shorten the odds of a participant long before the occasion in order to limit their losses. So, unusual activity right before the start suggests somebody knows something the bookies don’t. That said, it is not a guarantee and the professionals get it wrong too.

Betting Tips

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. Bet €15, Get €10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Bet Now
  2. Bet €10, receive up to €50 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 8+ New Customers only. Deposit, opt in and place a €10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 2x €10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days.  Plus a €10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of €250. T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. Bet Now
  3. Bet €10, Get €30 in Free Bets Promo Code: H30

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Bet Now
  4. 100% Deposit Bonus up to $100+ 20 Free Spins on Starburst

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Bet Now
  5. Bet €10, Get €20 + €3,000 Prize Pool

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Welcome Bonus Bet - Bet €10 Get €20 terms. This offer is for new sports customers only and is available once per household. Max. Bonus Bet amount €20. Minimum wagering on the sport to activate the Bonus Bet is €10 (which can be achieved from a Min deposit of €10). Offer valid only to customers wagering on sport €10 or more and make a qualifying bet in accordance with the Bonus Bet Specific Terms and Conditions below. 1st Place Prize: €1000. Prizes granted up to 48h after the tournament ends. Bonus Bet does not contribute towards the leaderboard. Click to see full T&Cs Bet Now
  6. Open Account Offer - Up to €100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365

  7. Get a £20 Free bet once per Day!

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Minimum odds 4/1. €/£20 max Free Bet. 1 Free Bet per day. Free Bet credited on bet settlement of winning bets only. 1.2 min odds on Free Bet. Free Bet valid for 48 hours.18+ New Players only. Gamble responsibly. www.begambleaware.org. Bet Now
  8. 100% Welcome Bonus up to €100

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Bet Now
  9. Deposit €50, Get €50 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Bet Now
  10. Deposit €10, Get 2x €20 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Bet Now
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Contributors

Contributors

Hi, I'm Dean Ryan

"A passionate sports betting broadcaster and journalist with over 15 years spent in the gambling industry."

Interests
  • Sports Betting
  • Odds Compiling
  • Horse Racing

Reviewer since June 2016

×