Cheltenham Gold Cup Betting Tips, Odds & Analysis
Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips
This year's Gold Cup at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival promises to deliver a big story.
Leading Irish trainer Willie Mullins only landed his first Gold Cup winner last year with Al Boum Photo and now he aims to do something even more special and repeat the feat with the same horse this year.
History will tell you it's a fairly impossible task to win the Gold Cup back to back and in a race that seems evidently stronger 12 months on from that wonderful Friday at Prestbury Park for Mullins and Paul Townend the stakes are as high as is equinely possible.
He will face a dual King George winner, an as yet undefeated this season Nicky Henderson powerhouse, previously experienced Cheltenham Gold Cup comrades and several new pretenders to the throne that rightly ensure we have a red hot and open betting heat for the pinnacle moment of Festival week.
Cheltenham Gold Cup Details
The Cheltenham Gold Cup is a Grade 1 chase run on the New Course at Cheltenham, over a distance of 3 miles 2½ furlongs. It’s seen by many as the World Cup final in National Hunt Horse Racing and during its running there are 22 grueling fences to be jumped. The 2020 renewal is sponsored by Magners and winning connections take home a cool £351,688.
The #Racehour Cheltenham Festival Preview Night.
When & Where To Watch The Cheltenham Gold Cup
When & Where To Watch The Cheltenham Gold Cup
15.30 Friday, March 13 - LIVE ON: ITV Racing & Racing TV
Can Al Boum Photo Win The Gold Cup Again?
There is surely no where else to start than with the reigning Champion Al Boum Photo.
He currently shares favouritism with Santini and whilst it's hard to gauge the strength of his one run this term at Tramore, it is probably unnecessary to concern yourself with it as having won this race 12 months ago and taken the same path back to this years Festival you can be confident everything is in place for a similar effort. Perhaps you can actually even expect some improvement as having only turned 8yo he could well be peaking over this and next season.
There is a touch of the Best Mate style campaigning here and you can't blame connections for that, it is the others that need to step up to his level to take the crown and so arriving fit, fresh and with all the back form already in the book he will take plenty of beating once again.
It is a tougher race this year as a couple of older stars have exited stage left to be replaced by up and coming horses, similar to Al Boum Photo last year when he was able to bring the big one back to Closutton.
His jumping is low and accurate, even getting away with a final fence mistake last season and still winning, if it comes off again it is a huge asset, but jumping low is also a worry and with a couple of falls in his 10 chase runs it would be a worry still for supporters that it's either brilliant or too close for comfort.
Given this year he lines up as favourite rather than 16/1 which was available coming into last seasons Gold Cup, and when you consider the 2nd and 3rd that day were not up to what looks to be a tougher contest this year he is passed over, although will certainly have many cheering him home with the pocket and the heart should he win again.
Has Lostintranslation lost his way?
Colin Tizzard tasted Gold Cup success recently with Native River and it's sad not to see the old boy back this year for another go, but injury has ruled the 2018 winner out for this time being.
Lostinstranslation however, really picked up the mantel for the yard early this term with a devastating performance at Haydock which left many convinced they had seen the Gold Cup winner.
He didn't fire in the King George and has since had a wind op to deal with whatever was bothering him that day. A return to previous form and considering his wonderful duels with Defi De Seuil from last season there is certainly enough class, speed and stamina in the horse to land a Gold Cup.
Ground conditions would perhaps be ideal on the softer side, but regular jockey Robbie Power has always suggested he could be even better on genuine good ground so versatility could also be an asset here.
If you forgive Boxing Day at Kempton then the current prices would seem tempting, but not having seen him since is a concern and one that weighs too heavily to make him the selection to win this year.
Clan Des Obeaux And Cheltenham Don't Mix?
Any two time King George winner that lines up in a Gold Cup has to be taken seriously, but the differences between the 3 miles at Kempton and the test of the Gold Cup at Cheltenham are pretty stark and so far it seems to be something that the big and lairy Clan Des Obeaux hasn't mastered.
Paul Nicholls isn't giving up though and after delivering him to win at Kempton again, despite many writing him off, he has changed the path to the race and kept him fresh rather than run again too close to the big day.
👑 A Grade One contest turned into an absolute procession!— Racing TV (@RacingTV) December 26, 2019
Clan Des Obeaux wins the King George VI Chase for a second time!
An 11th success for @PFNicholls in the @kemptonparkrace showpiece & a first victory in the race for @samtwiston pic.twitter.com/0ESepkHNOD
That might help, it might even be enough to see him home stronger and claim the big one again for a stable that did so with the likes of See More Business, Kauto Star and Denman.
If you want to have a horse on side trained by a genius and with the class and quality to win the Gold Cup then this chaser is high on the list of options, but the doubts about whether Cheltenham is a track that he can truly deliver his best efforts on are just enough for this writer to keep searching
The Irish Challenge Is Mighty
With Al Boum Photo leading the Irish challenge for the 2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup the Emerald Isle is already in a strong position, but Delta Work, Kemboy and Presenting Percy all have very interesting claims to the prize this year.
Presenting Percy was vying for favouritism with the leading bookmakers last season and even off a highly bizarre prep that involved secret gallops around Galway it was a testament to the visually impressive demolition job in the previous years RSA chase and the reputation of his trainer Pat Kelly that had him in that lofty spot.
He didn't fire as hoped and this season he has run behind Delta Work on two occasions in very good races that make you wonder if there is another big run left in him. Its double figures this year and that will appeal to those who still believe, and with Pat Kelly and Davy Russell anything is possible at Cheltenham.
🥊 Delta Work vs Kemboy vs Presenting Percy - three warriors, one fine finish— Racing TV (@RacingTV) February 2, 2020
Delta Work wins the Irish Gold Cup for @gelliott_racing & @jackkennedy15 at @LeopardstownRC
🏆 Grade One Savills Chase
🏆 Grade One Irish Gold Cup
✅ Double completed... next stop Cheltenham pic.twitter.com/tEX89HE7vy
Kemboy has had other issues, he defeated Al Boum Photo after the Gold Cup last season and when he is on a going day he is surely a massive contender for this. Like Presenting Percy though he hasn't delivered behind Delta Work this season and whilst he had an interrupted start to the campaign and was delayed a run perhaps due to ownership wrangles, it isn't hard to argue that he just hasn't looked the same horse so far this season especially in the jumping department, so crucial in a Gold Cup.
Delta Work was written off after an initially poor comeback effort, but by winning the Savills Chase and then the Irish Gold Cup the apple of Gordon Elliott's eye has lit up the Gold Cup picture and backed up a lofty reputation from last season when involved in a quite brilliant RSA Chase at the Festival behind Topofthegame and Santini.
The one question mark is what the merit of those runs is worth given some below par, or at least seemingly, the efforts behind him have been. Also losing Jack Kennedy to injury will be a blow, such is the relationship they have and whilst Mark Walsh is a super pilot this will be a big day to find out if it works.
Santini Can Land The Spoils For Henderson
Last year Santini had an interrupted preparation heading into the Cheltenham Festival and as his trainer Nicky Henderson was at pains to point out "everything went wrong". He still ran a huge race in the RSA Chase behind Topofthegame and up sides Delta Work which only left those watching wondering what version of Santini they saw.
This season has been different although many would have expected slightly more inspiring visuals on his comeback run it was then much more like it with a dour delivery of class in beating Bristol De Mai at Cheltenham in January.
He looks a big Gold Cup player now!— Racing TV (@RacingTV) January 25, 2020
Santini (13-8F) is back and repels Bristol De Mai in a thrilling Cotswold Chase at @CheltenhamRaces 👏 @sevenbarrows @NdeBoinville
Results ➡ https://t.co/glajGV55GR pic.twitter.com/7ryNypqQUB
He is very lightly raced, like many, only trained for this one day and is now in the form and health of his life according to connections.
There are still a few days to go until it's time to race and anything can go wrong, but if you are looking for a horse that could deliver something way beyond what has been seen so far then Santini is most likely that horse.
Always considered a Gold Cup horse, a slightly lazy and hard to bother beast he does take some waking up, a proper pace, atmosphere and the top level of competition should see him thrive like it did in the RSA Chase, but this time he might just have that bit of extra fitness and buzz to pull away from the field. 7/2 with BetVictor looks like the bet here.
Nico de Boinville has been here before for Henderson when Might Bite was ready to win a Gold Cup, but the ground and the race on the day didn't come off as hoped and Nico minded his mount to line without being confident of a truly bomb proof partner.
This time he can let Santini go knowing the earlier he does so, the more likely he is going to win.
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