Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends - Cheltenham Festival Betting

Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends - Cheltenham Festival Betting

TOP 5 CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP TRENDS

  • No older than nine-years-old
  • Had won left-handed
  • Had won a Grade 1
  • No more than four starts since last win
  • Finished in the first six last time out

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Did Trends Win Last Year's Cheltenham Gold Cup?

On the trends last year, the Gold Cup shortlist consisted of Definitly Red, Might Bite, Native River and Road To Respect - two taking first and second in the Cheltenham Festival's greatest chase.

Might Bite had won a ‘Key Race’ (see below) in the Grade 1 King George VI Chase at Kempton on December 26, and consequently headed the Cheltenham betting at 4/1, while Native River had earlier won the Grade 2 Denman Chase at Newbury and Road To Respect won the Grade 1 Savill's Chase at Leopardstown.

Had Definitly Red been tested in Grade 1 company, he would have ticked all the 'Key Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends' (see below) too, but his recent wins in the Grade 2 Many Cloud Chase at Aintree and the Cotswolds Chase at Cheltenham over almost the Gold Cup distance got him on the shortlist.


KEY CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

  • Were aged no older than nine
  • Had between one and five starts in that season
  • Had run in a Grade 1
  • Had won on a left-handed course
  • Had previous experience of Cheltenham

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

  • Had won a Grade 1
  • Were aged between six and nine
  • Had no more than four runs since their last win
  • Finished in the first six last time out

Nine of the last 10 winners…

  • Had four or more wins on a galloping track
  • Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 chase
  • Lined up between 31 and 90 days after their last start
  • Were officially rated 166+

The last 30 win and place positions

30/30placed horses

  • Last ran in a Graded race
  • Had won on a left-handed course
  • Had won on a galloping track
  • Had no more than five starts since a win

29/30 placed horses

  • Finished in the first three in one of their last three starts
  • Had between one and five starts in that season

KEY RACE TRENDS (10 years)

(Last Graded race contested prior to the Cheltenham Gold Cup)

Key RaceRacecourseWinnersPlace Finishers
King George VI Chase (G1)KemptonLong Run, Imperial Commander, Kauto StarMight Bite, Long Run, Kauto Star
Denman Chase (G2)NewburyNative River, ConeygreeNative River, The Giant Bolster, Long Run, Denman
Irish Gold Cup (G1)LeopardstownSizing John, Lord WindermereAnibale Fly, Minella Rocco, Sir Des Champs
Savills Chase (G1)LeopardstownSynchronisedDon Poli, Road To Riches, Exotic Dancer

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

TrainerRunsWinsWin%P/LPlaces
Nicky Henderson 10 2 20% -1.75 3
Paul Nicholls 21 1 4.76 -18.25 4
Jonjo O’Neill 6 1 16.67 3.00 2
Colin Tizzard 4 1 25 2.00 1
Willie Mullins 16 0 0 -16.00 5

WATCH: Racehour Cheltenham Gold Cup Preview


How Native River Won 2018's Cheltenham Gold Cup

The 15-runner 2018 Gold Cup turned into a match race, and it made for one of the most thrilling and compelling spectacles that anyone in a 70,000-strong crowd could remember.

Over 22 fences and 3m2.5f, Native River and Might Bite fought a private battle, stride for stride over every fence, as their trailing opponents tried and failed to close the gap.


3.30 CHELTENHAM – 2018 GOLD CUP RESULT

  1. Native River 5/1
  2. Might Bite 4/1
  3. Anibale Fly 33/1

It was only after jumping the last upsides Might Bite that Native River found the strength to see off his older rival and win by four and a half lengths. The hero had finished third to Sizing John 12 months previously on far quicker ground, two days after the second had won the Grade 1 RSA Chase.

Anibale Fly fitted the 'Place Trends' well when finishing third at a huge 33/1, four lengths ahead of another off the shortlist Road To Respect, the final Gold Cup trends contender Definitly Red settling for 6th at 8/1.


Cheltenham 2019 Friday Schedule

13:30 Triumph Hurdle

14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle

14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

15:30 - CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP

16:10 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase

16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase

17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

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Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 18+ to participate.

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