Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle Trends - Cheltenham Betting
BEST 2021 CHELTENHAM MARES' HURDLE TRENDS
- Aged between 5-7
- Won at least two hurdle races
- Won one of their last three starts
- Officially rated 147 or higher
- Won, or beaten no more than 4 lengths, last time out
Betting On Cheltenham's 2021 Mares' Hurdle? Follow These Trends:
Above are the top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2021 David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.
We've analysed in detail every single running of this young Grade 1, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.
What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle. Scroll down to find out full details of the key Cheltenham betting trends to follow, beyond the top five.
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KEY CHELTENHAM MARES' HURDLE TRENDS
The David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle trends have been dominated by Willie Mullins, the trainer winning nine of the last 12 runnings of the 2m4f Grade 1.
In 2019, Roksana became the first horse trained in Britain to win the race since Whiteoak won the first renewal back in 2008 for Donald McCain junior, but even then, Mullins saddled the second and third - his odds-on favourite falling at the last when sure to win.
Mullins also sadded the second and third in 2017 and 2020, when fellow Irish trainers Gordon Elliott and Henry De Bromhead won with Apple's Jade and Honeysuckle.
Two important notes to consider before applying the David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle trends below:
- The race has only been running since 2008
- The same horse won it six times from 2009-2014: Quevega
There is a section in the trends below highlighting how the last five runnings have panned out, and it could be that those trends are the most useful for the finding the winner.
The last 12 winners…
- Had won one of their last three starts
- Had run at least four times over hurdles
- Had won at least twice over hurdles
- Last ran at least 20 days ago
11 of the last 12 winners…
- Were not British-bred
- Were officially rated 147 or higher
- Had won over the distance of 2m4f before
- Had won at least twice on a galloping track
- Featured in the top four in the betting
10 of the last 12 winners...
- Were trained in Ireland
- Had won a Graded race
- Had won on a left-handed track
- Won, or were beaten no more than four lengths, last time out
The last five winners…
- Were aged 5-7
- Had won at least two hurdles, including over at least 2m4f
- Had never won at Cheltenham before
- Last ran no more than 52 days ago
- Had at least been placed in a Graded race - two had won Grade 1s
- Finished in the first three last time out in Listed or Graded company
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The last 36 win and place positions
35/36 placed horses
- Finished in the first four in one of their last three starts
34/36 placed horses
- Finished in the first five last time out - 30 finished first three
31/36 placed horses
- Last ran in a Listed or Graded chase or hurdle
27/36 placed horses
- Last won a race no more than three runs ago - 21 won last time out
KEY RACE TRENDS(12 years)
(Last major race contested prior to the Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle)
|Key Race||Racecourse||Dist.||Winners||Placed Horses|
|Warwick Mares' Hurdle (Listed)||Warwick||2m5f||Glens Melody (2015)||Midnight Tour (2018), Glens Melody (2014), L'Unique (2014), Swincombe Flame (2013)|
|Warfield Mares’ Hurdle (G2)||Ascot||2m7.5f||Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)||Bitofapuzzle (2016), Kentford Grey Lady (2013), Sparky May (2012), United (2009)|
|Quevega Mares Hurdle (Listed)||Punchestown||2m4f||Apple's Jade (2017)||Elfile (2020), Stormy Ireland (2019), Good Thyne Tara (2019), Limini (2017), Legacy Gold (2016)|
|Irish Champion Hurdle (Grade 1)||Leopardstown||2m||Honeysuckle (2020)||None|
|Doncaster Mares' Hurdle (G2)||Doncaster||2m 1/2f||None||Vroum Vroum Mag (2017), Rock On The Moor (2016)|
KEY TRAINER TRENDS (12 years)
How Honeysuckle Won 2020's Mares’ Hurdle
For the second year in a row, odds-on favourite Benie Des Dieux was beaten, Honeysuckle giving trainer Henry De Bromhead a first win in the David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle.
The seven-year-old had been dominate in Ireland, landing the Grade 1 Hatton's Grace Hurdle and Irish Champion Hurdle, both considered Cheltenham Champion Hurdle trials.
4.10 CHELTENHAM - 2020 David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle Result
- Honeysuckle 9/4
- Benie Des Dieux 4/6f
- Elfile 16/1
Although untried at Cheltenham, she gave jockey Rachael Blackmore no concerns, holding Benie Des Dieux at bay to win by a length.
The second's Willie Mullins-trained stablemate Elfile finished a further six and a half lengths back in third, with defending champion Roksana taking a distant fourth.
Cheltenham 2021 Tuesday Schedule
13:30 Supreme Novices' Hurdle
14:10 Arkle Challenge Trophy
14:50 Ultima Handicap Chase
15:30 CHAMPION HURDLE
16:10 - David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle
16:50 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
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