The Oakland Raiders we are accustomed to seeing in 2018 returned in Week 12 after a brief respite. The Raiders were their usual bumbling selves at Baltimore, losing 34-17. The Raiders fell to 2-9 after breaking a five-game losing streak in Week 11 at Arizona one last-second win.
The Raiders’ other win, in Week 4, came over the Cleveland Browns and rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield. So, the Raiders came into the Baltimore game with wins over two rookie quarterbacks in Mayfield and Arizona’s Josh Rosen. That streak was snapped against the Ravens and rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson.
The scary thing for Oakland is as the calendar turns to December is that Oakland has two games remaining with the 9-2 Kansas City Chiefs, starting Sunday in Oakland. Here's how NFL betting fans should approach it.
The game has potential to get super ugly. The Chiefs had their bye in Week 12 as they rested after their epic, 54-51, loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 11 in the highest scoring game in Monday Night Football history.
So, the Chiefs are both mad and rested as they come to Oakland to face a team that is allowing the most yards per play in the NFL and surrender numerous explosive plays a game. Oakland has allowed 327 points this season. It is the third most in the NFL. Conversely, the Chiefs have scored 404 points, the second most in the NFL.
So, it’s no shock that the point spread is 14.5. It’s the biggest point spread for home underdog in the NFL in 11 years. The last time Oakland was a double-digit home underdog was nine years ago against the Philadelphia Eagles. Oakland actually won that game, 13-9. I don’t see Oakland holding the Chiefs to nine points, however.
Here's the deal: The Chiefs are really good at scoring and the Raiders can’t keep on offense. Defensively, the Chiefs should shred the Raiders. Also, rookie defensive tackle Maurice Hurst missed Wednesday’s practice with an ankle injury. He is one of Oakland’s most effective defenders.
Yes, yes, this is a huge spread. But remember this: In the Raiders’ lost six losses, which have come in the past seven games, they have been beaten by, at least, 14 points in all of those games. Take the Chiefs at -14.5 with 888Sport.
I routinely go with the over when the Kansas City Chiefs are on the field. And it almost always works. The fact that the Oakland Raiders’ defense will be on the field with the Chiefs’ offense is only makes taking the over more enticing. We can blow by the 55.5 line by halftime.
The Raiders defense is terribly lacking, and it’s has been all season. The Raiders struggle in every area on defense. They will be no match for this Kansas City offense. Oakland hasn’t seen anything like it.
Mayfield led the Browns to 42 points against Oakland in his second start. San Francisco’s Nick Mullins scored 34 points off of Oakland in his first NFL snaps. What is Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes going to do?
Oakland has no answers for Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, receiver Tyreek Hill and running back Kareem Hunt. Go with over of 55.5 with Karamba.
I fully expect the Chiefs to cover the big full-game spread. But the Raiders usually hang around in the first half. They completely fall apart in the second half. It’s usually because of a lack of depth and the talent difference between the Raiders and the team on the other sideline.
Plus, Jon Gruden and his staff struggle to make the correct adjustments at halftime. The Raiders get destroyed in the second half on a regular basis. It happened Sunday in Baltimore when the Ravens turned a 13-10 halftime lead into a 34-17 victory.
Digest this stat from the Associated Press: The Raiders score an average of 3.09 points on their first drive. They score 1.33 points on average on every other drive in games.
So, the fact that Oakland is getting 8.5 points at home for the first half may be the right call with Karamba. Then, the Chiefs will build on the dismantlement.
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