Above are THE top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2020 Cross Country Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.
We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of the Cross Country Chase, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.
What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Cross Country Chase, as they did last year when circling Tiger Roll.
Scroll down to find out why the trends loved Tiger Roll so much last year, and read full details of the other Cheltenham Cross Country trends to follow, beyond the top five.
With last year's winner Tiger Roll coming in to the Cross Country Chase in winning form, there could only be one trends pick.
The nine-year-old had ticked all the boxes a year earlier when romping to his first win in the race and in even better shape was sent off at 5/4f in the 2019 Cheltenham betting odds.
Second Urgent De Gregaine, second in 2018, had only run once since (144 days ago), making him much harder to shortlist on trends, but third Josies Orders did fit the bill, with several course-and-distance wins and plenty of good recent form.
The only other horse that made the trends shortlist was Auvergnat, who had been fourth in 2017 and 2018. He had gone on to win the famed La Touche Cup over the banks at the Punchestown Festival, and went on to land the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown's Christmas Festival, lining up fresh.
Unfortunately the nine-year-old went no further than 26 fences, dropping back quickly after the 23rd.
Note: This cross country race was a handicap until 2016
The last 15 winners…
The last 10 winners…
Nine of the last 10 winners…
Eight of the last 10 winners…
The last five winners…
35/36 placed horses...
34/36 placed horses...
23/35 placed horses...
(Last chase contested prior to the Cheltenham Cross Country chase)
Key Race | Racecourse | Dist. | Month | Winners | Placed Horses |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase (Class 2) | Cheltenham | 3m6f | December | Tiger Roll (2018), Josies Orders (2016), Balthazar King (2012) | Bless The Wings (2016), Any Currency (2015), Uncle Junior (2015), Wedger Party (2012) |
Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase (Class 2) | Cheltenham | 3m6f | November | Tiger Roll (2019), Cause Of Causes (2017), Balthazar King (2014) | Cantlow (2017) |
P P Hogan Cross Country Chase | Punchestown | 3m1f | February | Big Shu (2013) | Josies Orders (2019), Big Shu (2014), Shakervilz (2013), Garde Champetre (2011) |
Trainer | Runs | Wins | Win% | P/L | Places |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gordon Elliott | 11 | 3 | 27 | 10.00 | 2 |
Phillip Hobbs | 10 | 2 | 20 | 1.50 | 2 |
Michael Hourigan | 5 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 2 |
Enda Bolger | 30 | 1 | 4 | -25.67 | 4 |
Willie Mullins | 13 | 0 | 0 | -13.00 | 3 |
Kim Bailey | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5.00 | 2 |
For the fourth time, Grand National hero Tiger Roll romped to Cheltenham Festival victory with a comprehensive win in the 2019 Cross Country Chase.
The former Triumph Hurdle and National Hunt Chase hero was sent off the 5/4 favourite to win back-to-back cross country races and duly obliged under jockey Keith Donoghue.
Moving up to challenge six obstacles from home, the Gordon Elliott-trained star took the lead at the next, before being driven clear to win by a magnificient 22 lengths.
The French-trained Urgent De Gregaine tried to follow Tiger Roll, but, as in 2018, made a late mistake and was caught on the run-in by 2016 winner Josies Orders.
Just over three weeks later, Tiger Roll went to Aintree and won the Grand National for the second successive year, carrying 11st 5lbs.
13:30 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle
14:10 RSA Novices' Chase
14:50 Coral Cup
15:30 CHAMPION CHASE
16:10 - Cross Country Handicap Chase
16:50 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
17:30 Champion Bumper
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