Cross Country Chase Trends - Cheltenham Festival Betting
BEST 2021 CHELTENHAM CROSS COUNTRY CHASE TRENDS
- Aged eight or older
- At least seven chase starts
- Run in a chase over 3m6f or further
- Placed top five in cross country or banks race
Betting On Cheltenham's 2021 Cross Country Chase? Follow These Trends:
Above are THE top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2021 Cross Country Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.
We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of the Cross Country Chase, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.
What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Cross Country Chase
Get the latest Cheltenham Cross Country Chase odds here
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Did Trends Win Cheltenham's Last Festival Cross Country Chase?
With last year's winner Tiger Roll coming in to the Cross Country Chase off the back of a second Grand National victory, he had to go on the trends shortlist.
The 10-year-old had ticked all the boxes a year earlier when romping to his second win in the race, having been sent off at 5/4f in the 2019 Cheltenham betting odds.
He was denied his hat-trick by French raider Easyland, who despite being the youngest every winner of the 16-year-old race at age six, was a trends pick.
Apart from his age, he fit the key trends relating to stamina, Cheltenham form, and cross country form. He also brought by far the best form into the event, having won a Key Race over course-and-distance in December, and the first leg of the Crystal Cup at Pau last time out.
His age was a concern, making Tiger Roll a more solid selection, but there were no other horses that could be considered.
Third Out Sam had been highly tried over marathon distances, but well-beaten in the majority of his runs over more than 3m1f. Last time out Punchestown winner Neverushacon lacked stamina, and 2016 hero Josies Orders performed better on better ground that presented at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival.
If you followed the key trends regarding stamina, Cheltenham form and cross country form, those were the only runners that would have caught your eye.
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KEY CROSS COUNTRY CHASE TRENDS
Note: This cross country race was a handicap until 2016
15-year-trends
The last 15 winners…
- Had run at least three times in the last 12 months
- Had run at least twice that season
- Last ran no more than 117 days ago
10-year-trends
The last 10 winners…
- Had an average official rating of 145
- Had run a minimum of seven times over fences
- Had won at least one chase
- Had run no more than five times that season
- Had run at least four times in the last 12 months
Nine of the last 10 winners…
- Were aged eight or older
- Last ran at least 30 days ago
- Had run over 3m4f or further before - six winning
- Had run at Cheltenham before - the majority over fences, seven had won
- Finished in the first five in one of their last three starts
- Had run in at least one cross country race or banks race; exception was Rivage D'Or (2015)
Eight of the last 10 winners…
- Had run in at least 13 chases
- Had run in at least 10 hurdle races
- Had run in at least one Cheltenham cross country race before
- Placed top five in a previous cross country or banks race run
The last five winners…
- Had won a chase over at least 3m6f
- Had won at Cheltenham before
- Had run in at least 9 chases
- Had an average official rating of 150
- Had won at least six times in chases and hurdles
The last 36 win and place positions
34/36 placed horses...
- Were aged eight or older; exceptions six-year-olds Easyland in 2020 and Dogora in 2015
- Last ran no more than 120 days ago
33/36 placed horses...
- Had run at least three times in the last 12 months; exceptions Tiger Roll in 2020, Urgent De Gregaine in 2018 and 2019
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KEY RACE TRENDS (10 years)
(Last chase contested prior to the Cheltenham Cross Country chase)
| Key Race | Racecourse | Dist. | Month | Winners | Placed Horses |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase (Class 2) | Cheltenham | 3m6f | December | Easyland (2020), Tiger Roll (2018), Josies Orders (2016), Balthazar King (2012) | Bless The Wings (2016), Any Currency (2015), Uncle Junior (2015), Wedger Party (2012) |
| Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase (Class 2) | Cheltenham | 3m6f | November | Tiger Roll (2019), Cause Of Causes (2017), Balthazar King (2014) | Cantlow (2017) |
| P P Hogan Cross Country Chase | Punchestown | 3m1f | February | Big Shu (2013) | Josies Orders (2019), Big Shu (2014), Shakervilz (2013), Garde Champetre (2011) |
KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Win% | P/L | Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 12 | 3 | 27 | 9.00 | 4 |
| Phillip Hobbs | 7 | 2 | 20 | 4.50 | 1 |
| Enda Bolger | 27 | 1 | 4 | -22.67 | 3 |
| Willie Mullins | 13 | 0 | 0 | -13.00 | 3 |
| Kim Bailey | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5.00 | 2 |
How Easyland won the 2020 Cross Country Chase
Easyland took the lead with 10 obstacles left, and stayed on strongly to give France a first win in the Cheltenham Cross Country Chase.
The six-year-old also became the race's youngest ever winner, and broke many hearts as jockey Jonathan Plouganou rode him to a 17-length win over two-time Grand National hero Tiger Roll, who had been seeking a third-successive Cross Country win.
4.10 CHELTENHAM - 2020 Cross Country Chase Result
- Easyland 3/1
- Tiger Roll 8/11f
- Out Sam 33/1
Winning trainer David Cottin went on to win the Crystal Cup, a points-based league, with points accumulated in a series of cross country races throughout Europe. Cheltenham's test is second on the annual calendar.
Tiger Roll's trainer Gordon Elliott also saddled the third, Out Sam, who was beaten 18 lengths by Tiger Roll.
Cheltenham 2021 Wednesday Schedule
13:30 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle
14:10 Festival Novices' Chase
14:50 Coral Cup
15:30 CHAMPION CHASE
16:10 - Cross Country Handicap Chase
16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase
17:30 Champion Bumper
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