Football Betting Strategy: Hedging Your Bets

SHARE

Football Betting Strategy: Hedging Your Bets

Hedging is a betting strategy applied by cautious punters across the board, from the world of finance to sports betting and even casino games. But the increasing volume and variety of cash back offers in football betting now means you can add hedging to your gambling repertoire at no extra cost.

Hedging Explained

Hedging, for the uninitiated, means making an investment, or placing a bet, that reduces your exposure to a particular outcome. For example, let's say you were betting on the match between Aston Villa and Cardiff on the 9th November 2013, and had a pre-match bet on it finishing 0-0. By the time the game passed 60 minutes, it was clear that Aston Villa were turning the screw, so a successful hedge would have been to place an in-play bet on Villa to win, or, if you were more conservative, on over 0.5 goals in the match. When these landed, they would, hopefully, eliminate some or all of your losses on the pre-match bet.

Minimizing Risk

Hedges aren't just an emergency exit for your football betting strategy either. Although it's not mathematically possible to bet for and against a specific outcome and make a profit (bookies would quickly go out of business if this were the case), with some careful selection from football markets you can make a hedge that minimises risk without destroying value.

As an example, take a look at the Premiership match between Tottenham and Newcastle on the 10th November 2013. Betfair Sports' odds on Newcastle to win at 6/1 seemed like a worthwhile punt given their performance against Chelsea the previous week, but you may have perhaps wanted a bit of security before parting with your cash. Choosing a general market to minimise the chance of losing all your bets would have been the best course of action here.

It's sensible to start with a nice, broad market that could payout regardless of the team that eventually took home the points. And with the goal scoring prowess of both these teams, betting on over 2.5 goals at 4/5 would have been worth considering.

Another hedging option is to utilise markets that factor in a hedge in exchange for lower odds. For example, betting on Newcastle or draw at 13/8, or Newcastle draw no bet (draw returns your stake) at 17/5.

Money Back Offer

Hedging your football bets without destroying value has become increasingly more simple with the recent rise in money back offers. Betfair Sports in particular has come up trumps in this area. As well as offering to return your stake when one leg of a five-fold (or more) accumulator lets you down, their Cashback Extra promotion allows punters to choose from a selection of cashback triggers in certain matches.

A great example of the usefulness of this promotion was the Champions League matchup between Borussia Dortmund and Arsenal. Betfair Sports offered to return stakes on 'first', 'last' or 'anytime goalscorer' markets, and one of the triggers was Aaron Ramsey to score anytime. With 10 goals from 16 appearances so far in the 2013/14 season, backing an in-form Gunner as your hedge was undoubtedly an attractive prospect, even without the benefit of hindsight.

So, next time you’re betting on your favourite team, look out for another chance to hone your hedging skills over at Betfair Sports!

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Teams Worth Backing to Reach the All Ireland Final 2017
Teams Worth Backing to Reach the All Ireland Final 2017

Gaelic football is a huge betting event on the Emerald Isle, but it's not just Irish punters who might want to have a flutter with online bookies as the All Ireland Football competition reaches its gr ... Read More

Why Experts are Backing the Favourites at PGA Championship
Why Experts are Backing the Favourites at PGA Championship

The PGA Open Championship 2017 tees off from Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, with several strong players in contention for the title. McIlroy and Speith are both eyeing history, but is ... Read More

Start of the Premier League Outright Odds and Betting Tips
Start of the Premier League Outright Odds and Betting Tips

With the 2017/2018 Premier League season set to be another roller coaster of emotions for everyone involved, thoughts are now turning to the players that could thrive in the coming months. As ever, th ... Read More

Expert Betting Tips for the UEFA Women's EURO Finals 2017
Expert Betting Tips for the UEFA Women's EURO Finals 2017

It’s been a record-breaking summer of betting on women’s sport around the world with the Cricket World Cup, Wimbledon and the UEFA Women’s Championship. Sunday’s final is sure to prove another popular ... Read More

Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017
Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017

One of the highlights of the summer sports betting calendar is golf's Open Championship, and this year's crop of budding youngsters and wily veterans are ready to make some highlights of their own. Fo ... Read More

Winter is Coming and So Are the Game of Thrones Prop Bets
Winter is Coming and So Are the Game of Thrones Prop Bets

The penultimate season of Game of Thrones is premiering on Sunday 16th July and the showrunners have promised that events are now moving at an unstoppable pace. Who will live? Who will die? And who wi ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide