Grand Annual Handicap Chase Trends - Cheltenham Betting

Grand Annual Handicap Chase Trends - Cheltenham Betting

TOP 5 GRAND ANNUAL TRENDS

  • Aged between six and nine
  • At least 4lbs lower than topweight
  • Run at least three times that season
  • No more than three chase wins
  • Two or more wins on a galloping track

Get the latest Grand Annual Handicap Chase odds here

Secure Trusted Verified
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 18+ to participate.

Did Trends Win Last Year's Grand Annual Chase?

It was a straightforward wins for the trends in last year's Grand Annual Handicap Chase, as they shortlisted Le Prezien, Theinval, and Three Stars - three of the top five in the Cheltenham Festival's former finale.

Le Prezien's profile was very similar to that of the last three winners, having run in a handful of handicaps, and won none, but gained experience over fences at Cheltenham, winning a Grade 2 novice chase.

Like the three winners before him, he had not won for more than a year, and he had not won more than three chases (2). He was the right age at seven and had run three times that season. The one negative was his weight of 11st 8lbs, which was 3lbs higher than any horse had carried to victory since topweight The Young Man won off 11st 10lbs in 1992.

Fourth-placed Theinval and fifth Three Stars has also won no handicap chases, but two other chases, were the right age at eight, had been placed over fences at Cheltenham, and hadn't won for more than a year.

Theinval had also run in the Grand Annual before, just like Le Prezien, and the 2017 and 2015 winners, and was coming down the weights, not going up - a key trend in the Grand Annual recently.

Second and third, Gino Trail and Top Gamble, were far too old and exposed to fit the Grand Annual trends, both carrying plenty of weight, though Top Gamble was popular in the Cheltenham betting at 8/1.


KEY GRAND ANNUAL CHASE TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

  • Were aged between six and 10
  • Were officially rated up to 150
  • Had run up to eight times in the last 12 months
  • Had won on a left-handed racecourse

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

  • Carried at least 4lbs lower than top weight
  • Featured fourth or lower on the weights list
  • Were aged between six and nine
  • Had recorded two or more wins on a galloping track
  • Last ran at least 28 days ago, and up to 146 days ago

Nine of the last 10 winners…

  • Finished in the first four in one of their last three starts
  • Had won no more than three chases
  • Had run at least three times that season
  • Had run in no more than eight handicap chases, if any
  • Had run at Cheltenham before - six winning - and three running in the Grand Annual

Eight of the last 10 winners…

  • Had run in a handicap chase before - only three winning any
  • Had not won any race for at least 10 months - the majority were 12

Seven of the last 10 winners…

  • Were officially rated up to 9lbs lower than their career high chase mark
  • Had not won a handicap chase before

The last 5 winners…

  • Had run at least nine times over fences, and in at least two handicaps
  • Last ran more than 53 days ago
  • Carried 11st or more to victory
  • Were officially rated 140 or higher
  • Had not won any race for at least 12 months

The last 40 win and place positions

40/40 placed horses

  • Were officially rated up to 154
  • Had run no more than nine times in the last 12 months
  • Were not top weight

39/40 placed horses

  • Finished in the first six in one of their last three starts

38/40 placed horses

  • Last ran no more than 120 days ago

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

TrainerRunsWinsWin%P/LPlaces
Paul Nicholls 16 2 12 21.50 -
Nigel Twiston-Davies 9 1 11 8.00 1
Colin Tizzard 10 1 10 31 1
Michael Scudamore 3 1 33 14.00 1
Nicky Henderson 25 1 4 -4.00 7
Jessica Harrington 5 1 20 6.00 1
Alan King 10 1 10 -2.00 1

WATCH: Racehour Grand Annual Preview


How Le Prezien won 2018's Grand Annual Handicap Chase

JP McManus's Le Prezien stormed to victory in 2018's Grand Annual Handicap Chase, closing the Cheltenham Festival that year with a fourth Grand Annual success for trainer Paul Nicholls.

Sent off at odds of 15/2, Le Prezien was carrying 4lbs less than topweight at 11st 8lb. The seven-year-old hadn't won for two years, but had been to Cheltenham for all three of his runs that season, and been placed twice.


5.30 CHELTENHAM - 2018 Grand Annual Handicap Chase Result

  1. Le Prezien 15/2
  2. Gino Trail 25/1
  3. Top Gamble 8/1
  4. Theinval 16/1

Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty, he was led along by the genuine and gutsy Gino Trail, who attempted to make all the running for trainer Kerry Lee.

Leading over the first and still holding a lead of five lengths at fence number nine of 14, Gino Trail began to look like a Cheltenham winner under Jamie Moore. But two fences later, Moore was hard are work, and approaching the last challengers were stacked behind.

Three Stars, Some Plan, Theinval and Le Prezien were all making great strides towards the 11-year-old, who jumped the final fence in front . Le Prezien came through then, Gino Trail unable to match him as he powered to a four and a half length win.

Gino Trail held on for second from stablemate Top Gamble, who made significant late headway to finish third. The Nicky Henderson-trained Theinval finished fourth, Three Stars finishing best of the Irish-trained team back in fifth.


Cheltenham 2019 Friday Schedule

13:30 Triumph Hurdle

14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle

14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

15:30 CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP

16:10 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase

16:50 - Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase

17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Recommended Betting Sites

Secure Trusted Verified
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 18+ to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles

Betting Navigation

Latest Betting Strategy

Betting Guides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2019 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4AndroidGET IT ONGraphicfacebookIcon/Mobile/Menu CloseIcon/PinDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter