The NFL season marches on into Week 9. One of the key matchups for fans of NFL betting is the Aaron Rodgers-Tom Brady showdown, and we’ve got a prediction for you in our weekly assortment of spread picks.
The line: Patriots -5 with Karamba.
The Packers played the Los Angeles Rams really well, but they still came up short because of a late turnover on special teams. The Packers had to fly out to Los Angeles for that game. Now they have to go back to Wisconsin and then fly to Boston for a game against New England.
That is a brutal trip simply due to logistics and distance and time zones, but it is also rough because the Rams and Patriots might be the two best teams in the NFL.
What’s worse is that the Packers have to explain to a team that wants to contend now why they traded away Ty Montgomery and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. While the Montgomery move makes sense – especially after he fumbled last week –Clinton-Dix is one of the top safeties in the game. It’s hard to sell that they’re a better team.
Also, remember that the Packers have looked bad on the road this season. They’ve lost at Washington (by 14), at Detroit (by eight) and at the Rams. It’s a tough sell to expect them to win here.
The line: Vikings -5 with 888Sport.
The Lions have had the Vikings number in recent years, as they won and covered three of the last four meetings. However, I don’t want any part of Detroit in this spot. This is a team with three wins on the year, catching New England early when they were struggling, a Green Bay team that doesn’t travel well and a Miami team that was beat up with injuries.
This week, they traded away a team captain and one of their best offensive weapons in Golden Tate, and while they have Kenny Golladay waiting in the wings, this offense didn’t improve with this trade.
As for the Vikings, they’re coming off a bad loss but it was really turnovers that did them in. They don’t do a ton of that, though as they have five turnovers in two losses (two last week and three against Buffalo) and just six giveaways in all of their other games.
Only one team has fewer takeaways than Detroit’s six (San Francisco). If Minnesota is careful with the ball, they should win and cover.
The line: Broncos -1 with Betfair.
The Texans and Broncos got together for a mid-week trade and now the two sides will meet on Sunday. The Broncos traded away receiver Demaryius Thomas to the Texans, who had to fill the void left by Will Fuller, who tore his ACL.
The bottom line for this game is I like the Broncos. The Texans are a team that’s struggled to score points on the road this year, as they had 37 in Indianapolis but have scored 20 or less in their other three road games.
The other point to keep in mind here is that the Texans have a terrible offensive line. They’ve allowed quarterback Deshaun Watson to take a beating this year. He’s taken 26 sacks and countless more hits. The Broncos are second in the league in sacks.
Yes, the Broncos traded Thomas but he’s been having a terrible year. They probably didn’t get much worse here. They’ll still rely on the run and their pass rush, and find a way to win here. Take the Broncos -1 with Betfair.
The line: Bears -10 with 888Sport.
The Bills were very valiant in their effort at home on Monday Night Football against the New England Patriots. However, now they welcome the Chicago Bears this week in a game where they’ll have to trot out Nathan Peterman as their starting quarterback.
Peterman is one of the worst quarterback in NFL history, as his 11.11 interception percentage is ninth-worst all-time. He crushed the team with yet another pick-6 just a few weeks ago in Houston.
After the game, there was talk that head coach Sean McDermott would lose the team if he played Peterman, which is why they started journeyman Derek Anderson. Now Peterman has to start as the Bills have no other choice.
The Bears were burned by a backup just a few weeks ago in their road trip to Miami. Expect them to be far more focused to avoid the letdown in this spot. As long as they won’t make any mistakes, Peterman will and they’ll cover.
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