We’ve moved into Week 6 of the NFL season and now is roughly the time where we can’t keep saying, “It’s still early but …” That’s bad news for teams like the Atlanta Falcons and Philadelphia Eagles, who were expected to be playoff contenders going into the season but have struggled so far.
In this week’s parlay, we’ve got a few of those underachievers in our sights, including the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are just 3-2, and the Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers and Seattle Seahawks, each of whom are just two-win outfits.
Here’s a look at what fans of NFL betting should consider this week:
The Jags defense was embarrassed last week by the Kansas City Chiefs. The good news is they get a much easier matchup this time around.
The Cowboys are a one-trick pony, ranking 30th in passing yards per game with just 172.0 per outing. They have to run the ball to have success. They gave up 126 rushing yards last week but have allowed an average of 95 rushing yards per game allowed in their other contests.
The Jags defense will set the tone in this contest, shut down Ezekiel Elliott and force the Cowboys into passing, which won’t work. Take the Jags to rebound in this spot.
Just a few weeks after a hideous home loss to the Buffalo Bills as an 18-point favorite, the Vikings are again laying double-digits. Much of that has to do with the fact that they looked good in a Week 5 road win at the Philadelphia Eagles.
The main reason I like Minnesota here is that I don’t believe they’ll be half asleep as they were against the Bills. They won’t lose at home to a rookie quarterback for a second time this season.
More importantly, the Cardinals are in fact one of the worst teams in the NFL. They’re coming off a win versus San Francisco but they got five turnovers from the 49ers in that contest. That won’t happen again.
Rookie quarterback Josh Rosen has been effective at times, but he’s also completed less than 50 percent of his passes so far while throwing for just 386 yards in total through just over two starts. That won’t cut it this week as the Vikings roll.
I had the Steelers last week in our parlay article and that was one of the picks I got right. I’m going to roll with them again in this spot as I still view them as the top team in the division. They’ve been sloppy and inconsistent, but if they put forth a focused effort, they should earn the win here.
The Bengals have played well early on this season, but part of me is concerned that they were trailing late in games against the Indianapolis Colts, Atlanta Falcons and even Miami Dolphins last week.
The Bengals defense ranks 26th in yards and 21st in points allowed. Their offense ranks fourth in points per game but just 18th in yards per game, so that doesn’t seem to add up.
This should be a close game, and I’ll take the Steelers with the field goal. It’s risky as they’ve been sloppy and undisciplined, but I still view them as the better team in this spot.
Our first game of the season in London is a matchup of two fairly bad teams. The Seahawks are 2-3 with wins over the Dallas Cowboys and Arizona Cardinals. Not exactly that impressive. The Oakland Raiders are just 1-4 and really should be 0-5 had the referees not helped them with a win over the Cleveland Browns.
However, of the two teams, I’m more inclined to side with the Seahawks. For starters, they have the better quarterback.
For whatever reason, Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has lost all confidence and has become a sloppy, turnover machine. He’s thrown five interceptions in his last three games, including multiple mistakes in the red zone.
The other main issue here is that when the Seahawks can run the ball, they’re usually competitive. They’ve been able to run the ball the last three weeks, averaging 158.0 rushing yards per game in that span. That’s mostly why they’ve won two of three and nearly beat the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday.
In this spot, they should have no problems as Oakland is 27th in the NFL, giving up 4.9 yards per carry. Seattle has the edge here and should find a way to win and cover.
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