As we move into Week 7 of the 2018 NFL season, we’re still trying to figure out who are the playoff-caliber teams and who are merely pretenders. Yes, fans of NFL betting know that the Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs are pretty good.
However, 25 of the league’s 32 teams are between two and four wins, so there’s a lot of mediocrity bunched up together. Some of the teams that are trying to separate – including the Jacksonville Jaguars – are among our selections for our weekly parlay.
So I was way off with the Jaguars last week, as they were rolled by the Dallas Cowboys. However, I like their chances for a rebound in this spot.
Yes, the Jags have been blown out the last two weeks, but at a closer look, they’ve faced two really good offensive lines in Dallas and Kansas City. This week, they face the Houston Texans front five, which has been notably weak so far this season.
The Texans have given up 25 sacks (second-most in the NFL) and are averaging just 3.9 yards per carry (26th in the NFL). The Jags should win the battle on the line of scrimmage and get this win.
The Bears started the season 3-1 and looked like they’d have a good shot to move to 4-1. They were on the road at Miami facing a team without their starting quarterback. On top of that, they were also fresh off a bye.
But the Bears flopped in that game, which dropped them to 3-2. Now a loss this week and all of the goodwill built up in the early part of the season renders them a mediocre .500. But maybe that’s all the Bears are?
Their three wins have come against Seattle, which is so-so, Arizona, which is a bad team, and Tampa Bay, which is a bad team. Chicago looks like they’re overrated. And now they get a visit from the Patriots, who have won three straight, including a victory over the previously undefeated Kansas City Chiefs.
This will be a dogfight, but the Patriots, who are playing better right now, will find a way to win.
The Chiefs are fresh off their first loss of the season, but it wasn’t embarrassing or bad. They lost on the road to the Patriots by the narrowest of margins. Now they come home to face a Bengals team that is also coming off a tough loss, failing to hold a lead in the waning moments against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
I like the Chiefs in this spot because the Bengals have been overachieving. Their offense is ranked 18th in total yards and their defense is ranked 30th. Their rush defense is ranked 20th and their pass defense is ranked 29th.
Although these metrics don’t tell the whole story, they don’t support a case for a team that’s 4-2. I think the Chiefs expose them and get the win. Take them at -240 with 888Sport.
Why go against a good thing? Five of the Falcons first six games have gone over the number and it’s hard to see anything changing soon. Their defense is absolutely pathetic.
They were lucky to “escape” their Week 6 game with Tampa Bay by only allowing 29 points. The Bucs had two turnovers in the red zone (interception and end of game), and they also missed an extra point along with a two-point conversion when they tried to chase that missed extra point.
Even including that, the Falcons have allowed an average of 37.5 points per game over their last four.
The Giants were humiliated at home on Thursday Night Football, but they are still a talented offensive team with lots of explosive weapons. Look for players such as Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard to eat well in this game.
As for the Falcons, they haven’t scored less than 31 at home this season, so they should do their part – especially against a Giants defense that’s allowed at least 33 in each of the last three weeks.
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