Champion Hurdle Trends – Cheltenham Festival Betting

Jessica Lamb

January 4th, 2019

Champion Hurdle Trends – Cheltenham Festival Betting

TOP 5 CHAMPION HURDLE TRENDS

Finished in first two in one of last three starts
Running within 90 days of last start
Finished in first four last time out
Aged between six and nine
Had run on two or more occasions in the season

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Did Trends Win Last Year's Champion Hurdle?

On the trends last year, the Champion Hurdle shortlist consisted of Buveur D’Air, Faugheen, Melon and Mick Jazz - three of that foursome filling the podium in the Cheltenham Festival's first championship race.

Buveur D’Air and Faugheen were the best scorers on the Champion Hurdle trends, with Melon and Mick Jazz not far behind. The odds-on Cheltenham betting favourite Buveur D’Air, Faugheen, Mick Jazz and Melon had all hit the frame in at least one of the four ‘Key Race Trends' (see below) contests.

Buveur D’Air, Faugheen and Melon were all positives in the ‘Place Trends' (see below) of the Champion Hurdle, while all three were trained by Nicky Henderson or Willie Mullins who have won five of the last six renewals.

KEY CHAMPION HURDLE TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

Finished in the first two in one of their last three starts
Had won on three or more occasions on a galloping track
Had won two or more races left handed
Were running within 90 days of their last start
Finished in the first four last time out

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

Were aged between six and nine
Won one of their last three starts
Had run in a Grade 1 contest
Had five or more career runs over hurdles
Had run on two or more occasions that season - winning at least once

Nine of the last 10 winners…

Were officially rated 162+
Were aged between six and eight
Last ran between 26 and 78 days ago
Had won, or were beaten no more than four lengths, in their race before the Champion Hurdle
Had run at Cheltenham before
Had won a Grade 1 - exception was Rock On Ruby
Wore no headgear

The last 30 win and place positions

30/30 placed horses

Were officially rated 154+
Finished in the first two in one of their last three starts
Had run in five or more hurdle races
Had won on a left-handed track
Had won on a ‘very undulating’ track

29/30 placed horses

Were officially rated 156+
Had two or more seasonal starts to their name
Finished in the first four last time out

28/30 placed horses

Had last run no more than 90 days before to the Champion Hurdle
Had last run in a hurdle race

27/30 placed horses

Includes the officially highest-rated horse(s) in the race - five winning, five finishing third (the exceptions finished fourth and sixth)

KEY RACE TRENDS (10 years)

(Last Graded race contested prior to the Champion Hurdle)

Key Race	Racecourse	Winners	Place Finishers
Christmas Hurdle (G1)	Kempton	Buveur D'Air, Faugheen, Rock On Ruby, Binocular	My Tent Or Yours x2, The New One, Overturn
Irish Champion Hurdle (G1)	Leopardstown	Hurricane Fly x2, Jezki	Melon, Mick Jazz, Arctic Fire, Petit Mouchoir, Nichols Canyon, Hurricane Fly x2

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (Six years)

Willie Mullins

Runners – 14

Winners – 3

Place - 4

Willie Mullins' three winners:

Had an SP up to 7/2

Had run two/three times in the season

Won last time out

Nicky Henderson

Runners – 15

Winners – 2

Place - 5

Nicky Henderson's two winners:

Age six or seven

Had run on three occasions in the season

Won last time out

WATCH: Racehour Champion Hurdle Preview

How Buveur D'Air Won 2018's Champion Hurdle

Last season, Nicky Henderson saddled Buveur D'Air to become the first horse to win back-to-back Champion Hurdles since Hardy Eustace in 2005.

In the final week leading up to the Cheltenham Festival 2018 Henderson had been forced to rule out stable stars Top Notch, We Have A Dream and On The Blind Side and scratch My Tent Or Yours on the day of racing, plus endure a late injury scare for Altior.

3.30 CHELTENHAM – 2018 CHAMPION HURDLE RESULT

Buveur D’Air 4/6f
Melon 7/1
Mick Jazz 25/1

But Buveur D'Air did no miss a beat, finding extra close home to deny the gutsy Melon by the most valuable of necks.

It may have been a different story, had Melon not found trouble in-running after three out when mounting a challenge. The Willie Mullins-trained contender can be considered, by some, an unlucky loser and will surely return to set the record straight - whatever that may mean.

The unfancied Mick Jazz stayed on for third, having been held up for the majority of the race. He rewarded each-way backers at 25/1 as Buveur D'Air delivered a seventh Champion Hurdle to the race's most successful trainer.

Cheltenham 2019 Tuesday Schedule

13:30 Supreme Novices' Hurdle

14:10 Arkle Challenge Trophy

14:50 Ultima Handicap Chase

15:30 - CHAMPION HURDLE

16:10 David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle

16:50 Novices' Handicap Chase

17:30 National Hunt Novices' Chase

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