In NFL Wild Card Weekend betting, we saw all four of the underdogs cover the spread and three of them win outright. A $100 parlay of the four would have paid just over $3800, depending on the time and place you bet it.
As a result, we’re thinking some of these dogs might bark again in the Divisional Round. Here’s a look at a four-game, underdog betting parlay for this weekend’s games along with cases for why the dogs might win.
For the adventurous NFL betting fan (and a potentially huge payday), go with the moneyline and outright upsets. If you want to hedge your bets, take the points.
The odds: Colts +6
The moneyline: Colts +195
While the Chiefs are the top seed in the AFC, there’s no question as to who the hotter team is right now. The Colts have won 10 of their last 11 while the Chiefs stumbled into the playoffs, dropping two of their final three and three of their final six. On top of that, the Colts have the better of the two defenses as they’ve allowed just 14 points per game over their last eight contests.
Of course, they’re going up against a strong offense but with Kareem Hunt gone, Sammy Watkins out and Tyreek Hill a bit nicked up, the Chiefs offense slowed down a bit down the stretch. They averaged 37.0 points per game over their first 12 contests but were down to 30.3 over their last four.
The big concern here is the Chiefs defense, which allows 5.0 yards per carry (second-worst in the NFL). If the Colts can run the ball with a red-hot Marlon Mack, control the clock and keep the Chiefs defense on the sidelines, they might not only cover but win outright.
The odds: Cowboys +7
The moneyline: Cowboys +255
On the surface, the Rams might be happy to be avoiding the Bears. Chicago’s No. 1 defense stymied them midseason, holding them to just six points. However, a matchup with the Cowboys might not be any better.
The Rams were just 2-2 in their final four games as their offense scored just 27.0 points per game. That’s still pretty good but a huge drop from the 34.9 they averaged in their first 12.
The Cowboys defense has been among the best in the league since November as they have allowed 21.7 points per game over their last nine. Their run defense is fifth in the NFL and just shut down the league’s No. 1 run offense. We’ve seen what happens to the Rams if they can’t run the ball: They can be vulnerable.
On offense, the Cowboys have the perfect antidote for the Rams: a steady diet of Ezekiel Elliott. They can run the ball, move the chains and play keep-away.
The odds: Chargers +4.5
The moneyline: Chargers +180
The Chargers are on the road facing the Patriots, which is not an enviable task. Philip Rivers is 1-7 in his career against the Patriots and 0-7 when Tom Brady starts the game. However, things could be different this time around.
For starters, this is a strong road team. The Chargers were a league-best 7-1 on the road this year with their only loss being at the 13-3 Los Angeles Rams. Secondly, this Patriots team looks far more vulnerable than in previous seasons. They finished 11-5 but keep in mind that they earned five wins against their lowly division.
The Patriots finished the year just 2-2 in their last four and 4-3 in their last seven. Beyond that, Brady had a very average season, as his quarterback rating and completion percentage were his lowest over the last three seasons.
New England’s defense had just 30 sacks this year (second-fewest) and the run defense allowed 4.9 yards per carry (third-worst mark). They are ripe for the picking, and the Chargers could be the team to pluck them – as long as they don’t make any boneheaded mistakes.
The odds: Eagles +9
The moneyline: Eagles +320
The story is the same each week with these Eagles: Bettors look up and see their overall record, remember that they’re using a backup quarterback and are facing some type of insurmountable task. However, each week, the Eagles seem to get the job done.
This week will be a tall task, but why bet against them? The Eagles just – for the most part – carved up the league’s No. 1 defense on the road. They actually played poorly, some might say, as they dropped at least a couple of interceptions and Nick Foles coughed up a couple of his own.
This team just believes right now – regardless of the obstacle in front of them. That’s the case to make to bet them.
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