This year’s English Premier League hasn’t matched the romance and betting bonanza of Leicester’s 2015/16 title campaign, with a predictable top 5 featuring Chelsea, Tottenham, Liverpool, Manchester City and Man United. Equally, the usual suspects make up the relegation zone with Sunderland, Middlesbrough, Hull and Swansea sitting at the bottom of the table.
For those of us still seeking viable good-value bets as we head into the closing stages of the campaign, it’s time to look at the remaining games, form and season stats to try to eke out some value before attention turns to the cricket or global football betting markets. Read on for info on the best bets for the end of the EPL season!
While Leicester’s shock Title win last season had punters, bookies and fans on the edge of their seats, this year’s campaign has had two ultra-consistent sides doing battle, in the shape of Chelsea and Tottenham. At Christmas, many predicted Chelsea would establish an unassailable lead, which they did for the most part.
The exception in the chasing pack were their North London rivals, with Pochettino’s young side simply refusing to stop hunting the west London outfit. Now, with Liverpool a mathematical impossibility for the title, only Tottenham can catch Chelsea. Currently the best odds to win the EPL stand at around Chelsea @ 1/100 and Tottenham @ 20/1.
|Team||Games Played||Points||Goal Difference|
For Tottenham to finish above Chelsea on points, they’re going to need a minor miracle – they’ll need the Blues to lose two games while cleaning up themselves in some tough-looking fixtures:
|Manchester Utd.||Home||14th of May|
|Leicester City||Away||18th of May|
|Hull City||Away||21st of May|
Chelsea have the easier-looking finish with two cannon-fodder home games versus Sunderland and Middlesbrough:
|Middlesbrough||Home||8th of May|
|West Brom||Away||12th of May|
|Watford||Home||15th of May|
|Sunderland||Home||21st of May|
However, one interesting angle for EPL online betting returns is for Chelsea to drop a few points in their remaining matches, allowing Tottenham to finish the season on levels; as things stand Tottenham’s goal difference is +5 up on the Blues – meaning they’re very strong favourites to win the Premiership title if level on points with Chelsea.
Away from the obvious Title battle, it could pay to look at the odds offered by various online betting sites, for markets related to securing a Champions League spot and a mid-table finish. Two interesting tips could make singles and a nice double – be sure to search around for the best odds on the ELP 2017’s final bets, since the odds below are just a guide at current prices:
Manchester United have had a mixed season but Mourinho’s side remained unbeaten in the League for 25 games until they met Arsenal on May 7. Their final run of games doesn’t look easy, and they’ll need to win three of them in all probability to have a chance of passing rivals Manchester City. However, they could be worth a few shillings, sitting on four points off 4th position.
Mourinho has publicly stated his side are not expecting to clinch a Champions League berth – classic reverse psychology! Siege mentality could pay off for United, and City have a role to play too; it hasn’t been easy for Pep Guardiola in his immersion into the Premiership, and their trip to rejuvenated Leicester City could have the other side of Manchester singing rather loudly.
|Tottenham||Away||14th of May|
|Southampton||Away||17th of May|
|Crystal Palace||Home||21st of May|
The Baggies under Tony Pulis have had a very solid season, but they have a tough finish that could be a potential banana skin in terms of remaining in the top half of the table. They travel to Chelsea where all guns will be blazing to secure precious Title points. Then they go to the Etihad to face a city side who will be hot favourites.
Swansea may well be relegated by the time the Baggies visit them on the final day of the season – but by this point West Brom could be in dire need of points to avoid a lower-half finish. We predict the Baggies will struggle to get more than a handful of points between now and the beach holiday season – making this a potentially cute end-of-season punt.
|Chelsea||Home||12th of May|
|Man City||Home||16th of May|
|Swansea||Away||21st of May|
It’s been misery for Moyes at Sunderland – and Middlesbrough are nailed on to join the north east’s sorrow. The question is, are Swansea an odds-on bet to go with them – or is there value elsewhere?
Crystal Palace are backable at 16-1 for the drop and have a potentially nervous visit to relegation battlers Hull on May 14. They go to Old Trafford on the last day, a game they will not want to be needing to get a result from. They require only three points for guaranteed safety, since their goal difference is -15 to Hull and Swansea’s -33 and -28. Of course, if they only pick up two points and Swansea win their remaining games, then you could be in the money.
Hull are only one point below Swansea, with a tricky trip to Palace and a final match at home to Spurs. Backable for the drop at odds around 2-9 with online bookies.
They play West Brom at home, which isn’t going to be easy to get much from. They also play Sunderland away – a must-win if they’re to avoid the drop. If they can win two games, which isn’t impossible, then Hull appeal as a fair bet to go down. Of course, if Palace collapse and Swansea win all three games, then you could pocket a return at decent odds.
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