Should Punters Go With Position or Form for Roma v AC Milan?

SHARE

Should Punters Go With Position or Form for Roma v AC Milan?

The highlight of this weekend’s Serie A programme sees Roma take on AC Milan in a battle between Italy’s two biggest cities and two of its biggest football clubs. Roma are seen as favourites, but they have been shaky at home lately, while Milan’s resurgent form makes this an even more intriguing match-up, and an excellent football betting opportunity for fans this weekend.

With Napoli and Juventus engaged in a two-horse race for the league title, the focus for Roma and Milan is securing Champions League football for next season. Roma currently sit in third place following three wins having started the year with two defeats and two draws. However, they have picked up only 4 points from their last four home games, and four of their five defeats in Serie A this season have come at home.

The Giallorossi have the upper hand when it comes to the recent record between the two sides, winning their last four meetings and losing just one of the last 11. They are currently getting odds of 17/20 with BetBright, one of the UK's budding new sportsbooks, to make it five wins in a row against Milan.

Form Makes Milan More Appealing

It’s been a largely disappointing 2017/2018 season up to now for Milan, at least when it comes to the domestic front. After a summer of big spending by the Italian clubhouse, there were high hopes that the Rossoneri would challenge Juve for the title but they’re not even in the European places at the moment.

Things are starting to look up, though. Under coach Gennaro Gattuso, who replaced Vincenzo Montella in November, they are unbeaten so far this year and will probably have booked their place in the Europa League last 16 by the time this match comes around this weekend.

Gattuso’s side have won five of their last six league games, including wins over fellow European contenders Lazio and Sampdoria, and another victory could lift them back into the top six. William Hill offering odds of 3/1 on an away win are certainly tempting, while punters can back a draw at online betting arm of Betfair.

Strong Defences Could Mean Few Goals

If the match result is too close to call, then consider betting on the total goals over/under market instead. Italy has always been renowned for good defending and given that this is a hugely important game for both sides, it would not be a surprise to see a highly tactical match on Sunday.

Roma boast the third-best defensive record in Serie A after the top two, with just 19 goals conceded in 25 games. But other than their recent 5-2 win over bottom side Benevento, they’ve not been scoring particularly highly themselves. In fact, nine of their last 11 league games have produced fewer than 2.5 goals.

One of the factors in Milan’s good form is an improvement in defence. The Rossoneri have conceded just four goals in their last seven Serie A fixtures, although they’ve kept only one clean sheet in their last seven away from home. With Italy internationals Leonardo Bonucci and Alessio Romagnoli in the centre of defence and wonderkid Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal, they certainly have the quality required.

There have been fewer than 2.5 goals in six of the last ten meetings between the powerhouse Italian sides so Coral's online sportsbook is offering odds of 19/20 on this one to do the same and finish with less that 2.4 goals. More than 2.5 goals can also be backed at a similar price of 5/6 with the UK-based bookmaker, though.

Who Will Draw First Blood?

Another market punters may want to consider for this match is team to score first. Again, Roma are the favourites with the bookies (4/6 with Ladbrokes) but a look at the recent stats suggests that it’s the away side who may be more likely to draw first blood. Milan have scored the first goal in five of their last six league games, whereas the Giallorossi have only done so in four of their last nine.

The visitors for this weekend's clash are best-priced at 17/10 with Betfair to open the scoring in Rome on Sunday. For other top bookmaker odds and football betting markets for this Sunday's matchup, open a new player account with Betfair where first time customers can get up to £100 in free bets when they join.

Recommended Betting Sites

Secure Trusted Verified
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of Ireland's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 18+ to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


Juventus v Napoli Betting Tips: In-Play Markets Show Value
Juventus v Napoli Betting Tips: In-Play Markets Show Value

The meeting of six-time-in-a-row winners Juventus and Maurizio Sarri’s Serie A upstarts Napoli at the Allianz Stadium this Sunday night should prove crucial to deciding which side claims the ... Read More

Arsenal v West Ham Betting Tips: Both Teams to Score Likely
Arsenal v West Ham Betting Tips: Both Teams to Score Likely

While West Ham appear all but safe from relegation, their final five games are all against teams in the top nine, with three against members of the top six. A probably understrength Arsenal may prove ... Read More

 Chievo v Inter Milan Betting Tips: Draw Worth Considering
Chievo v Inter Milan Betting Tips: Draw Worth Considering

Inter travel to Verona on Sunday afternoon knowing that three points are vital versus Chievo as they compete with Roma and Lazio for a place in the Champions League next term. Expect plenty of action ... Read More

Amir Khan vs Phil Lo Greco Betting Preview and Analysis
Amir Khan vs Phil Lo Greco Betting Preview and Analysis

Amir Khan is on the comeback trail and trying to resurrect a stuttering career after two years out of the ring. On Saturday he faces Canadian welterweight Phil Lo Greco and the betting community is ... Read More

Leige Bastone-Leige 2018 Betting Tips Preview and Analysis
Leige Bastone-Leige 2018 Betting Tips Preview and Analysis

Australia’s recent cycling success has come on the Gold Coast at the Commonwealth Games, but they have plenty of talent overseas and Michael Matthews can go close to giving fans down under something ... Read More

Southampton Could Find the Net in Chelsea FA Cup Semi Game
Southampton Could Find the Net in Chelsea FA Cup Semi Game

Chelsea's dramatic 3-2 victory over Southampton last time out leaves them mired in relegation trouble with just a handful of games remaining, but their attention turns towards the FA Cup this weekend ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

Betting Guides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2018 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4AndroidGET IT ONfacebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter