The NFL offseason has just officially started, but already there have been major trades and free-agent signings. These big moves not only will affect the 2019 standings, but the current NFL betting lines too.
There are some interesting markets at 888Sport for key players who have switched teams and for the teams been affected by those changes. Let’s look at some of the more interesting bets:
Both total receiving yards (1300.5) and total receiving touchdowns (10) are being offered on the prop market. The bet to make is over 10 receiving TDs at -110 with 888Sport.
I love this trade for the Cleveland Browns, and I think the New York Giants are nuts for trading a premier NFL player at age 26. Beckham is in his prime and he will shine for the Browns. However, I’m going with the under here.
Touchdown numbers can be very deceiving. A player can be great and not score many touchdowns. It all depends on circumstance and luck. Beckham could have a monster season and still have single-digit touchdowns.
For example, the two receptions leaders in the NFL in 2018, New Orleans’ Michael Thomas (125) and the Eagles’ Zach Ertz (116) both had fewer than 10 touchdowns. Only eight players had 10 or more touchdown receptions in 2018.
Beckham had 35 touchdowns in his first three seasons in New York but a total of nine in the past two seasons combined. He played 16 games in 2017 and 2018 combined. Cleveland quarterback Baker Mayfield will find OBJ in the end zone plenty, but Mayfield also has other weapons, including Jarvis Landry.
Both total rushing yards (1150.5) and total rushing touchdowns (7.5) are being offered on the prop market. The bet to make is over 1150.5 yards at -110 with 888Sport.
Bell will be extremely well rested when he puts on the New York Jets’ green. Of course, the running back sat out the entire 2018 season in a contract dispute with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The result was his unrestricted free agency and a contract with the Jets for $52 million over four years.
The Jets will make Bell a focal point of the offense and hope he helps second-year quarterback Sam Darnold develop. That means Bell will get the ball a lot. This guy is used to a heavy work load. So, he’ll be both motivated to show the Jets they made the right decision and he will be fresh.
He averaged 245 carries a season in five years with the Steelers. In three of his past four seasons (he was injured in 2015), Bell’s lowest yard total was 1,268 yards.
The Jets were 26th in the NFL in 2018 with 1,622 rushing yards. They plan to change that.
It’s part of the reason why they traded for former All-Pro guard Kelechi Osemele from Oakland. Bell is going to be let loose. The only thing that could keep him under 1150.5 rushing yards if he gets injured. The over bet is worthwhile here.
Both total receiving yards (1250.5) and total receiving touchdowns (10) are being offered on the prop market. Take over 1250.5 rushing yards at -110 with 888Sport. No, check that. Run and take the over.
Brown is, by far, the Oakland Raiders’ best player as he arrived from the Pittsburgh Steelers via trade. Brown might be difficult off the field, but he is a determined, hard worker on it.
And he produces at a prolific level. Brown – who has at least 101 catches in each of the past six seasons – has averaged 1,524 a year since 2013. His lowest yardage total during that stretch is 1,284 in 2016.
He has missed this betting total twice – as a rookie in 2010, when he was a part-time player, and in 2012 when he missed three games with an injury. Also, Oakland quarterback Derek Carr has been looking for a weapon like Brown for years. Coach Jon Gruden will unleash these two.
If Brown stays healthy this should be an easy over bet.
No, you should not bet the Browns in 2019. This is a case of excitement overriding reality.
Everyone has Browns Fever and it is kind of fantastic. Cleveland’s most recent odds at 888Sport were 20-1, pretty low considering this franchise hasn’t been to the postseason in 17 years and hasn’t won a playoff game in 25 years, since the original Browns.
However, the Browns have Mayfield, a strong, young roster and they won five of their final seven games last season. So, Cleveland was a trendy bet even before the Beckham blockbuster. Now, the Browns’ odds dropped to 14-1.
That is awfully low. Those type of odds are reserved for certain playoff teams. We don’t know if the Browns, one season removed from finishing 0-16, are quite ready to be a legitimate playoff contender.
Now, the Browns are going to be good for a long time. I could see the Browns winning their first Super Bowl in the foreseeable future. But winning Super Bowl LIV? It might be a stretch and, at 14-1, it might not be worth it.
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