As NFL betting fans look at Week 4 of the NFL season, there are three undefeated teams remaining. The Los Angeles Rams look like the one team which has fully lived up to the preseason hype, the Miami Dolphins have been a complete surprise and the Kansas City Chiefs have exceeded expectations.
Can any one of them stay perfect through the final Sunday in September? We’re expecting at least one of those teams to go down this week, which is where we’ll start our weekly moneyline selections of the week.
A lot of people are picking an upset in this spot, and it does make sense on many levels. For starters, the Chiefs are on the road. Secondly, this might be the best defense they’ve faced all year. Thirdly, the NFL has a way of bringing teams back down to Earth.
While the Chiefs have looked unstoppable so far, the Broncos have been pretty good too. They’re 2-1 with the lone loss coming at Baltimore. They’ve run the ball very well (third in rushing yards per game and fifth in yards per carry) and that figures to be a problem for Kansas City.
The Chiefs are allowing 5.2 yards per carry – the second-worst mark in the NFL – but so far, their opponents have been forced to abandon the run early on. With the Broncos at home and with that defense, they should be in better position to control the pace of the game, keep the Chiefs on the sidelines and eke out a win.
The Philadelphia Eagles did not look great in Carson Wentz’s return. When he suffered his injury last year, he was playing like an MVP and the Eagles had one of the best offenses in the league. In his first game back, the rust was visible.
More importantly, it was clear that the Eagles offense has a number of flaws that Wentz himself can’t fix. Running the ball with consistency is a bit of a challenge. And the receiving corps – particularly, the wide receivers – are a work in progress.
At the same time, this looks like a good spot to bet against Tennessee. While they have a good defense, their offense has been miserable so far, averaging 16.3 points per game. Now they’ll have to take on the Eagles, who have been fairly crisp on that side of the ball.
The other concern here is that the Titans are fresh off a big win versus a rival. It’ll be tough for them to be as focused in this spot – even against the Super Bowl champs – as they were last week against the Jags. The Eagles will find a way to win on the road here. Take them at -195 with Karamba.
The Steelers weren’t perfect, and their defense needs a lot of work, but they can throw. They can score. They can get the ball to their best playmakers. Ben Roethlisberger has been very strong the past two weeks as the Steelers have scored in the 30’s. Their offense is just fine without Le’Veon Bell.
This game comes down to Joe Flacco against the suspect Steelers secondary. Baltimore has been playing reasonably well, but the idea of Flacco dominating the Steelers on the road seems hard to trust. In general, Baltimore on the road in much frailer than when they’re at home.
This will be a tight game but the Steelers will pull this one out. Bet the Steelers -167 with Karamba.
The Buccaneers ran into trouble in Week 3 against Pittsburgh, and they were reminded – along with the rest of the league – that they still have a lot to prove.
For the first time this season, Ryan Fitzpatrick faced ample pressure in his face and that caused a number of miscues – including three interceptions. It’s quite surprising that the Bucs only lost by three points after turning the ball over so much.
However, the challenge this week is that they’re likely to face the same type of pressure. Tampa Bay still doesn’t have a reliable ground game, so going on the road to face a tough Bears front seven sounds like trouble. Look for the Bears harass Fitzpatrick, limit the Bucs offense and find their way to 3-1 on the young season.
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