Biden Overtakes Trump in Texas Polls But Odds Remain Unhinged

Biden Overtakes Trump in Texas Polls But Odds Remain Unhinged
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Biden, left, is beginning to pick up some momentum in the state of Texas ahead of the November election

Joe Biden has remained ahead of Donald Trump in Texas polling as the race to win the 2020 US Election takes another major twist.

Yet the presumptive Democratic nominee still has a long way to go if he is to turn the state Blue on November 3.

Biden is currently leading in the US election polls across all but three key battleground states this summer.

The 77-year-old boasts a notable advantage over Trump in states such as Florida, Virginia and Ohio.

And a new poll from Morning Consult has the former vice president to Barack Obama as leading 47 to 46 in Texas.

Texas Polls vs Odds

It is the second successive poll from Morning Consult that has Biden in front. Remarkably, he was seven points behind Trump in May but is now holding firm.

Losing Texas would almost certainly see Trump surrender the White House this winter but the US politics betting odds are yet to react to the poll.

In fact, indications in the markets suggest Texas is still firmly within Trump’s clutches.

The most recent Ladbrokes odds put Trump ahead of Biden with a price of 4/9 to 13/8. That produces an implied probability of 69.2% that Trump will win the Lone Star State.

Bettors Stick With Trump

There are a number of factors that may be keeping bettors away from backing Biden to win Texas.

First of all, this is considered a deep Red state. Texas has voted Republican in each of the last 10 elections stretching back to Jimmy Carter’s triumph in 1976.

Texans also voted for Trump over Hilary Clinton by nine percentage points in 2016.

What’s more, Trump has proved once already that he can rumble the US election polls and odds, which may be convincing bettors to side with the 74-year-old.

Will Texas Flip Blue?

Biden’s team is said to be piling in resources to capture Texas when the election comes this November.

They have pumped £750,000 into Democrat MJ Hager’s Senate campaign, where he currently trails long-standing incumbent John Cornyn by 44 points to 38.

Trump has hit back in his usual combative style, telling oil rig workers during a visit to the state: "As long as I'm president we will never allow anyone to put American energy out of business, which is what they (Democrats) want to do.”

But the president faces a tricky few months to ensure he keeps hold of the border state.

Texas has one of the worst coronavirus infection rates in the country and was badly hit by the economic downturn and oil crisis triggered by measures to combat the virus.

And if the president cannot get the state back up and running then voters will start looking to Biden for help.

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