Could Donald Trump Pardon Himself Before January 21?

Could Donald Trump Pardon Himself Before January 21?
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Donald Trump’s final few weeks as president of the United States could be a tumultuous time for the country as the incumbent sets about planning for his future.

And UK bookmakers are weighing up what the outgoing president could sign into law between now and Joe Biden’s inauguration on January 20 next year.

Trump lost to Democratic nominee Biden in the November 3 election, with Biden claiming a projected 306 electoral college votes.

The counting has not fully finished yet – states such as Georgia have gone to a recount – and Trump has waged a war of words and litigation against mail-in ballots in an effort to overturn the result.

A number of lawsuits have already failed and many GOP leaders are edging away from the 74-year-old, who has further entrenched himself into rhetoric around voter fraud, without giving evidence.

Trump Odds Latest

And bookmakers Ladbrokes have set out their markets for what could happen between now and Trump’s ceding of power. According to the latest US politics odds, Trump is 4/1 to officially pardon himself between now and Biden’s inauguration.

Presidents have the power to grant an executive order - a pardon - to American citizens, which awards clemency from a conviction.



Trump has not been convicted or accused of any wrongdoings and successfully beat away impeachment proceedings brought against him by Democrats last year.

A price of 4/1 is also available on Trump stepping down as president before Biden’s inauguration and briefly handing power over to his VP Mike Pence. This would absolve Trump of the duty of standing next to Biden on inauguration day – an image that would not aid the incumbent’s plans to fight this election or run for office in 2024.

Will Trump Run Again?

Indeed, some political commentators believe Trump has accepted he has lost this election – but is angling for greater political capital by peddling claims of voter fraud in order to inflame his base and boost his plans for the 2024 race.

Trump’s odds have come in further to 8/1 to win the 2024 US election, which would likely see him come up against Biden or vice president-elect Kamala Harris.

Since Trump entered politics to run as a Republican presidential candidate back in 2015 the betting markets have offered a far better reflection on his chances of winning elections compared to polls.

Trump was an outsider to get the 2016 Republican nomination but rumbled the polls and to a lesser extent the odds to beat Hilary Clinton that year.

Four years on and, while pollsters gave Trump a 10% chance of winning, betting markets put him down at around 40%. Trump came close this time around – and there is no doubting his aspirations to reclaim the presidency when the next election campaign begins.

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