Early Miami Open 2019 Odds Favor Halep and Djokovic

Early Miami Open 2019 Odds Favor Halep and Djokovic

From one side of the country to the other. The world's best tennis players will travel from Indian Wells, California to Miami, Florida for the next big tennis tournament in March.

It's no March Madness - but the Miami Open is still a huge event for both ATP and WTA players with lots of points and cash at stake.

Simona Halep and Novak Djokovic enter as the odds on favorites to win this year's event, despite early exits in both player's previous tournaments.

Djokovic recently fell short to Philipp Kohlschreiber during last week's Indian Wells event, while Halep lost in the same tournament to Marketa Vondrousova.

This marks the third straight tournament in 2019 where Djokovic is favored to win, as he was at Indian Wells.

Halep's current odds are set at +600 (14.3%) and although that is the current favorite, it's not by much.

Miami Open 2019 WTA Odds

Player CountryOdds Implied Probability
Simona Halep 🇷🇴 +600 (6/1)14.3%
Serena Williams 🇺🇸 +650 (13/2)13.3%
Naomi Osaka 🇯🇵 +700 (7/1)12.5%
Angelique Kerber 🇩🇪 +750 (15/2)11.8%
Elina Svitolina 🇺🇦 +800 (8/1)11.1%
Petra Kvitova 🇨🇿 +1000 (10/1)9.1%
Bianca Andreescu 🇨🇦 +1400 (14/1)6.7%
Karolina Pliskova 🇨🇿 +1500 (15/1)6.3%
Sloane Stephens 🇺🇸 +1500 (15/1)6.3%

Serena Williams, Naomi Osaka, Angelique Kerber, and Elina Svitolina all have odds that are within a 5 percent probability to win with Halep's (all above a 10 percent chance to win).

Perhaps the most impressive player from the top favorites is Kerber, making a big run at Indian Wells.

Kerber's most impressive feat came during Indian Wells when she knocked off an insanely hot Belinda Bencic.

Bencic entered her match against Kerber winning 12 straight. Kerber was able to stop one buzzsaw, but couldn't stop the other.

A Canadian Star is Born

Young Canadian Bianca Andreescu may be the best pick for tennis bettors in this event. Andreescu won the Indian Wells tournament after defeating Kerber in the championship.

Andreescu has won an insane 34 out of her last 37 matches with wins over impressive names such as Caroline Wozniacki, Venus Williams, Su Wei Hsieh, Eugenie Bouchard, Dominika Cibulkova, Garbine Muguruza and Svitolina.

She is a good pick to win her opening match against Irina Camelia Begu as well, as this will mark her second straight tournament-opening match against Begu.

Despite withdrawing from Indian Wells due to health issues, Serena may be a solid pick to consider.

Williams won this event three years in a row from 2013-2015 and has eight Miami Open titles in her career.

Last years champion from the women's side is Sloane Stephens, who enters with just above a 5 percent chance to win.

Stephens has struggled lately, to say the least, losing two straight matches to qualifiers and dropping three of her last four overall.

Miami Open 2019 ATP Odds

Player Country Odds Implied Probability
Novak Djokovic 🇷🇸 +125 (5/4)44.4%
Roger Federer 🇨🇭 +450 (9/2)18.2%
Alexander Zverev 🇩🇪 +900 (9/1)10%
Dominic Thiem 🇦🇹 +1100 (11/1)8.3%
Kei Nishikori 🇯🇵 +1600 (16/1)5.9%
Marin Cilic 🇭🇷 +2000 (20/1)4.8%
John Isner 🇺🇸 +2000 (20/1)4.8%
Milos Raonic 🇨🇦 +2000 (20/1)4.8%
Stefanos Tsitsipas 🇬🇷 +2500 (25/1)3.8%

Djokovic seems to be a comfortable favorite for many oddsmakers, despite his early exit a week ago.

Maybe that's because Novak only has two losses in 2019, last week to Kohlschreiber and the other from Roberto Bautista-Agut.

It also helps that Djokovic has won the Miami Open event more times than any other male player besides Andre Agassi (both tied with six).

The last time Novak won in Miami, though, was in 2016. His 2016 title was his third straight, as Roger Federer won in 2017 to prevent a fourth straight for the Serbian superstar.

Speaking of Federer, his winning streak ended at 10 when Dominic Thiem beat him in the Indian Wells championship.

Thiem's Time?

Despite dropping the first set, Thiem rallied from behind to win his first match against Federer on a hardcourt surface.

Prior to facing Federer, Thiem defeated Milos Raonic - someone Thiem had never beaten prior or even won a set against.

Thiem's current six-match winning streak is the first time he has done so since September of last year.

After a sluggish start to 2019, it does appear that Thiem is back to his winning ways and possibly more dangerous than he's ever been in recent memory.

Last year's winner John Isner enters with underwhelming odds, as his 2019 hasn't been overly impressive compared to last year.

Isner lost his last match to Karen Khachanov, who enters with the same odds as Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Tiebreakers are expected from Isner, as he has seen 16 of his 39 sets played this year go to a tiebreaker. It's hard to trust anyone to win a tournament who plays that many tiebreakers in a short amount of time.

Despite all the history at the Miami Open, none of it could matter.

For the first time in the event's history, the tournament will be played at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

The event was previously held in Key Biscayne, so it'll be interesting to see if the venue switch will impact players this year.

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