Is Tiger Woods the True Favorite at WGC Mexico Championship?

Is Tiger Woods the True Favorite at WGC Mexico Championship?

The short answer, no. Tiger Woods isn't and shouldn't be the favorite at this weekend's World Golfing Championship (WGC) event in Naucalpan, Mexico. However, that doesn't mean Tiger Woods can't win considering he has won the event more times than any other golfer in history.

2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds

Golfer Fractional Odds Decimal Odds American Odds Implied Odds
Justin Thomas 10/1 11 +1000 9.1%
Dustin Johnson 10.5/1 11.5 +1050 8.7%
Rory McIlroy 11/1 12 +1100 8.7%
Rickie Fowler 15/1 16 +1500 6.3%
Jon Rahm 15/1 16 +1500 6.3%
Bryson DeChambeau 16/1 17 +1600 5.9%
Tiger Woods 19.5/1 20.5 +1950 4.9%
Xander Schauffele 22/1 23 +2200 4.3%
Phil Mickelson 28/1 29 +2800 3.4%
Marc Leishman 29/1 30 +2900 3.3%
Hideki Matsuyama 29/1 30 +2900 3.3%
Jordan Spieth 31/1 32 +3100 3.1%

Despite history being in Tiger's corner, Woods has yet to win this particular WGC event since it moved to Mexico two years ago. The event has seen seven different locations since it's genesis in 1999, first known as the WGC-American Express Championship. Tiger won the American Express event five times, all at different golf courses around the world.

Tiger the Time Lord

In 1999, Tiger won the first ever WGC-American Express Championship at the Valderrama Golf Club in San Roque, Cádiz, Spain.

Three years later in 2002, Woods won again but this time it was at the Mount Juliet Golf Club in Thomastown, Leinster, Ireland. Tiger's victory in Thomastown saw him set an event record, shooting 25-under par.

One year later Tiger secured another win, taking the 2003 championship in Atlanta at the Capital City Club.

In 2005, Tiger won his fourth WGC-American Express Championship after defeating John Daly in a playoff round at the Harding Park Golf Club in San Francisco, California, USA.

The very next year Tiger won again, this time at The Grove in Hertfordshire, England while setting an event scoring record of 261. In 2007, the event was renamed to the WGC-CA Championship and played at the Trump National Doral Miami. Tiger claimed that event as well.

Despite the event changing its name a third time (to the WGC-Cadillac Championship), it was still held at the Trump National in Miami. Tiger won his seventh championship in 2013.

Switch to Mexico

2017 saw the event switch to the WGC-Mexico Championship, being played at the Club de Golf Chapultepec in Naucalpan (outside Mexico City). Despite winning the event in six different locations, Woods has yet to win the event in Mexico.

Only Dustin Johnson and Phil Mickelson have won the WGC since its move to Mexico, as both also became two-time champions in doing so.

So, should golf betting fans consider Tiger Woods the real favorite at this year's WGC-Mexico Championship?

A Field of Favorites

Many golfers stand in his way which includes defending champion Mickelson, who is coming off a win at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Mickelson also defeated Tiger in a one-on-one exhibition mid-November, taking home roughly $9 million.

Mickelson's victory at this event a year ago wasn't easy, as he took out this year's favorite Justin Thomas in a playoff round. Thomas, despite being the favorite, has yet to win a PGA event this season.

Thomas blew a lead at the Genesis Open last weekend, shooting a 75 on Sunday to watch J.B. Holmes take the trophy from him.

Dustin Johnson may also stand in Tiger's way of accomplishing history. Johnson is still looking for his first win of the 2019 season, as he now enters a course he won at two years ago.

With all the attention on Tiger, Johnson, Mickelson, and Thomas it's easy to forget a large number of golfers in this year's field that could actually win.

Marc Leishman, Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau, Charles Howell III, Jon Rahm, and Rickie Fowler have all won PGA Tour events this season - with Fowler's Waste Management Phoenix Open victory being the most recent of the six.

The real threats, though, may come from both Matt Kuchar and Xander Schauffele.

Both Kuchar and Schauffele are the only golfers to win two events this season, with one of Schauffele's being the first WGC event (the HSBC Champions) this season. Kuchar's victory was more recent of the two though, claiming the Sony Open in mid-January.

With so many accomplished golfers in the WGC-Mexico Championship field, it will be very difficult for Tiger Woods to secure his eighth title at this event. Woods may not be the true favorite this year but he has history on his side, along with golf talent that comes with being Tiger Woods.

Despite who you decide to bet on in this year's WGC-Mexico Championship, all of these top golfers have a good chance to win.

For those who decide to live bet the event, perhaps becoming familiar with the holes on this course is more beneficial. Our hole-by-hole breakdown for the Club de Golf Chapultepec can be found below:

Club de Golf Chapultepec Hole Information

Hole Par-Distance Birdies Pars Bogeys 2+ Bogeys
#1 4-316 yards 43% 47% 8% 2%
#2 4-387 yards 25% 64% 11% 0%
#3 3-186 yards 15% 65% 18% 2%
#4 4-506 yards 11% 73% 15% 1%
#5 4-445 yards 15% 68% 15% 2%
#6 5-625 yards 37% 52% 8% 2%
#7 3-235 yards 9% 67% 17% 7%
#8 4-525 yards 6% 64% 27% 3%
#9 4-382 yards 20% 69% 10% 0%
#10 4-450 yards 12% 68% 18% 2%
#11 5-622 yards 37% 49% 12% 2%
#12 4-406 yards 28% 57% 13% 2%
#13 3-225 yards 7% 73% 19% 1%
#14 4-497 yards 13% 70% 15% 2%
#15 5-575 yards 58% 38% 4% 0%
#16 4-403 yards 15% 66% 18% 1%
#17 3-172 yards 14% 69% 13% 4%
#18 4-388 yards 18% 69% 12% 1%

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