Joe Biden Landslide More Likely Than Narrow Election Victory

Joe Biden Landslide More Likely Than Narrow Election Victory
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Joe Biden is more likely to nail a landslide US election victory over Donald Trump than take the White House by a slim margin, according to the latest betting odds.

Biden is the Democratic candidate for the November 3 election this year and is leading in the polls.

He is around 10 points ahead of incumbent president Trump, who has seen his approval and polling ratings slide over the course of the coronavirus pandemic.

And with just weeks to go before Americans head to polling stations, it appears as though Biden is on course for a steady victory.

Predicting how large a Democratic triumph will be remains tricky – especially with bettors backing Trump to secure a second term after he upset the odds in 2016 to beat Hilary Clinton.

Biden Election Odds

The election betting markets at UK bookmakers Ladbrokes indicate that Biden is on course for a heavy win.

In fact, the latest odds show that Barack Obama’s former vice president is more likely to cruise to an overwhelming victory than it being tight on the night. Biden is 5/1 to win with +400 electoral college votes.

To put that into context, the last president to earn over 400 electoral college votes from a national election was George H W Bush (426/538) back in 1988.

Trump himself claimed 304 electoral college votes four years ago, beating Clinton (227) despite losing the popular vote by over three million.

Remarkably, the Ladbrokes odds have a narrow Biden victory between 270 and 299 votes at 9/1, which suggests a landslide is more likely than a close-fought contest.

Meanwhile, punters looking for a safe bet appear to be settling on the 3/1 odds on a Biden victory within 350 and 399 votes. That would put him around the same level as Obama in 2008 (365 votes) and Bill Clinton in 1996 (279 votes).

Can Trump Pull Back Polls?

With the election now just weeks away, Trump is scrambling to boost his ratings numbers. The president has a full campaigning schedule, which is focused on the key swing states that could decide the outcome of the vote.

Within a few days Trump toured North Carolina, Florida, Iowa and Georgia to whip up support at live rallies that provided him a vocal platform back in 2016. But the president may need to do even more.

The latest polling data from FiveThirtyEight have Biden increasing his standing among Americans from 50.9% at the start of October to 52.4%. Trump, meanwhile, has seen his ratings fall from 42.7% to 41.9%.

The dip coincides with Trump’s refusal to appear in a second TV debate after he returned from hospital, having been admitted for testing positive for coronavirus.

A third and final debate will take place on October 22, with Covid-19, race in America and national security all topics set to be discussed.

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