So What's Favourite In Oscars Best Picture Odds Now?
Unreleased war film 1917 found itself suddenly vying for Oscars Best Picture betting favouritism after Sunday's Golden Globes turned the biggest Oscars' market of them all into a three-film race.
Netflix's Marriage Story and The Irishman went into the Golden Globes at the top of the Oscars Best Picture odds, but joined their stablemate The Two Popes in missing out on all the big awards.
Instead it was Sam Mendes' stylish 1917, an epic World War I tale that doesn't hit general release until this weekend, which landed not only Best Motion Picture - Drama, but also Best Director.
The surprise win slashed 1917's Oscars odds from highs of 11/1 into as short as 5/2 joint favourite with specials bookmaker William Hill.
Latest Oscars' Best Picture Odds (As Of 07/01/2020)
|Film||Best Odds||Release Date|
|Once Upon A Time In Hollywood||5/2||July 26|
|The Irishman||8/1||November 1|
|Marriage Story||25/1||November 6|
|Jojo Rabbit||40/1||October 18|
|Ford v Ferrari (Le Mans '66)||50/1||November 15|
Priced at no bigger than 3/1 with Ladbrokes, 1917 has now moved up from mid-division in the Oscars Best Picture betting to sit in the top three, behind fellow Golden Globes winners Once Upon A Time...In Hollywood (Best Screenplay, Supporting Actor, Motion Picture Musical/Comedy) and Parasite (Best Foreign Language Film).
Despite it's limited release and small-time cast, the immersive style used to capture two soldiers' 119-minute mission through World War I in northern France, had won critical acclaim for its "astonishing" cinematography from the likes of BBC reviewer Caryn James, and Empire's Alex Godfrey, the New York Times also hailing its 'technical glory'.
But it was still a surprise to see it beat out Netflix's stars, as well as the films which took home the Golden Globes Best Actress and Actor Awards for Performances in a Drama, Judy and Joker, the latter being our own Roy Brindley's early tip for the Oscars win.
Can 1917 Now Win Oscars Best Picture?
It is worth noting that there is no cross-over between the judging panel for the Golden Globes and the Academy Awards, so what they saw in 1917 may not be what equates to Oscars Best Picture victory.
Our top three in the odds are now a seriously mixed bag, Parasite already shortlisted in the International Film category at the Oscars, and Once Upon A Time...In Hollywood having won Best Musical/Comedy at the Globes, instead of the Drama category, which best translates to Oscars Best Picture.
Such was its popularity with that panel though, that it also won Best Screenplay and Supporting Actor, marking it out as director Quentin Tarantino's best work since his iconic Pulp Fiction landed the Palme d'Or at the 1994 Cannes Film Festival, Oscars Best Original Screenplay and the Golden Globes and BAFTA equivalents.
Which Awards Best Predict Oscars Best Picture?
|Winners Of Golden Globes-Oscars||Winners Of Critic's Choice-Oscars||Winners Of Screen Actor's Guild-Oscars|
|Moonlight (2017)||Moonlight (2017)||-|
|-||Spotlight (2016)||Spotlight (2016)|
|-||Birdman (2014)||Birdman (2014)|
|12 Years A Slave (2013)||-||-|
|-||-||The King's Speech (2010)|
|Slumdog Millionaire (2008)||-||Slumdog Millionaire (2008)|
|-||-||No Country For Old Men (2007)|
|-||Crash (2005)||Crash (2005)|
|The Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King (2003)||The Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King (2003)||The Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King (2003)|
|-||Chicago (2002)||Chicago (2002)|
|A Beautiful Mind (2001)||-||-|
|Gladiator (2000)||No Award||-|
|American Beauty (1999)||No Award||American Beauty (1999)|
Tarantino has received three Oscars Best Picture nominations with no victory, but two of those came from his last three offerings. It all bodes well for Once Upon A Time...In Hollywood, and the real test will be the Screen Actor's Guild Awards on January 19.
Before that though comes the Critic's Choice Awards on Sunday, January 12, followed hours later by the big reveal of the Oscars 2020 nominations on Monday, January 13.
Who Were The Biggest Golden Globes Losers?
Whilst 1917 and co rocketted up the Oscars Best Picture rankings, it was The Irishman, who fell furthest. Martin Scorcese's three and a half hour gangster epic, once as short as 7/4 favourite, is now available at 8/1 with Ladbrokes - the biggest odds it has been for the Oscars win since it was released in November.
Netflix did at least land Best Supporting Actress with Marriage Story, and we still think star Scarlet Johansson will pick up Oscars Best Actress, but the film itself has slipped dramatically down the betting, now hitting highs of 25/1, having been as short as 5/1 before Sunday's announcements.
Both films feature amongst the nominations for the big film prize at next Sunday's Critic's Choice Awards, and have shouts in Best Actor and Best Actress, as well as the supporting awards, and Best Director.
Will the Golden Globes be a blip for The Irishman and Marriage Story, or are their Oscars hopes over?
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