Tyson Fury is the Favourite in Re-Match with Deontay Wilder
Tyson Fury is the overwhelming favourite to beat Deontay Wilder in their third bout in a boxing ring and retain his WBC heavyweight title in Las Vegas this weekend.
Fury is fighting Wilder yet again after the American triggered a rematch clause following the former’s comprehensive win in their last rumble in February 2020.
It was thought that Fury vs Wilder II was to be the last bout between these two boxing rivals – a fight that itself was only arranged after their first rumble ended in a controversial draw.
But we’re back here again to watch Fury, who has greater aspirations than merely defeating the Bronze Bomber, take on a fighter who’s career could well hang on this result.
And top bookmakers on both sides of the Atlantic are backing Fury to win this with ease.
Fury vs Wilder Odds
According to the bookies, Fury has a 77% chance of winning this fight (2/7). That price has barely moved since the fight was announced back in the summer. Wilder, in comparison, is out at 5/2 with the bookmakers – suggesting a 28% chance of him claiming this contest.
The disparity between the odds was to be expected. After all, Fury arguably won their first bout back in 2018 and comprehensively outboxed his opponent in their second meeting 14 months later.
But Wilder’s wide price appears to be attracting bettors to his camp. Boxing betting data shows almost 44% of all wagers on this fight have sided with Wilder. That shows how punters are taking up the high price the bookies are offering and are likely covering themselves in case of another boxing upset.
When Is Fury vs Wilder III?
Fury vs Wilder III takes place in Las Vegas T-Mobile Arena on Saturday, 9 October. The arena holds 20,000 spectators – less than a third of the attendance of Anthony Joshua’s recent fight with Oleksandr Usyk in London this September – and has played stage to some of the biggest boxing matches in recent history.
The fight is expected to get underway at 5am UK time on Sunday morning, roughly 9pm Saturday night in Vegas. The undercard, which features Robert Helenius vs Adam Kownacki, and Efe Ajagba vs Frank Sanchez, begins a few hours earlier.
When Will Fury Fight Joshua?
It’s fair to say most boxing betting fans didn’t want this fight. After all, 2021 was meant to be the year Fury finally met Joshua in the ring for an all-British heavyweight unification showdown.
Yet Wilder’s legal representatives insisted on this rematch. So much so that Fury couldn’t back down and an initial July date was agreed. Frustratingly, Fury’s camp then suffered a COVID-19 outbreak that resulted in the bout being pushed back to October.
And what happened in the meantime? Joshua went out and lost to Usyk in London – a stunning result that cost the Brit his heavyweight titles.
It is estimated the Joshua defeat – his second of his career – could have wiped £100m off the value of a Joshua-Fury bout. After all, Joshua needs to get those belts back to make this fight marketable outside of the UK.
Joshua will trigger a rematch against Usyk but there’s no guarantee he will reclaim his belts. It leaves Fury with a dilemma: if he beats Wilder then Usyk could be his next target, which further delays any prospect we have of seeing him come up against his compatriot in the ring.
Who would win between Fury and Usyk is hard to determine. Fury is arguably the best heavyweight on the planet, but Usyk has proved in his three fights since coming up from cruiserweight that he can handle this division.
A clash between these two fighters would spark memories of David Haye’s rumble with 7ft giant Nikolai Valuev in 2009. Fury is faster and smarter than Valuev but Usyk has already proved he has the waspish sting of a smaller, more agile heavyweight.
The bookmakers in Vegas have Fury at 1/3 to beat Usyk, with the Ukrainian out at 5/2. The markets will almost certainly change if Fury demolishes Wilder and sets his sights on Usyk.
However, we also know the Brit will have to wait until Joshua’s rematch to discover his next opponent. The heavyweight merry-go-round looks set to continue well into next year.
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