Political Betting Strategy

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Political betting can be a tricky market to master. Punters have a wide selection of country politics to delve into, all of which have unique political systems worth noting when developing a solid strategy. Fortunately, with enough understanding of the political system you're wagering on and a topnotch strategy, you're sure to bring home a profit.

Political betting strategies all begin with establishing the country and the political race you plan to wager. Top political bookmakers typically offer markets on the two largest political systems in the world, the UK and the US. Some bookies also cover other European politics like the Scottish Independence Referendum as well as Irish political races. But regardless of the country you choose, establishing a strategy is vital to a positive return.

Politics Strategy Articles


US Presidential Election Betting on Pace to Break Records

Brexit all over again? The US Presidential Election ended with a Trump victory, not only a surprise to bookmakers but, most would agree, a shock to the world (accept some savoy punters and a large portion of voting Americans). The

Paddy Power Pays Out Early on Clinton

With less than a few weeks to go before Americans head to the polls to vote for their next president, bookmaker Paddy Power has decided to forgo the ballot box count and announce Hillary Clinton as the next Commander-in-Chief, paying

Bookmakers' Odds Shift in Clinton's Favor Following First Debate

One of the most rib-tickling descriptions of the 2016 US Presidential race so far stated that Hillary Clinton stands a good chance of winning "simply because she isn’t Donald Trump". That might be a slightly outlandish claim, but given the

Brexit Catches Bookies By Surprise, Breaks Record for Non-Sports Betting with £120m Wagered

The Brexit vote last month was expected to be one of the most wagered events in non-sports betting history with an estimated £100m predicted to be wagered. Following the unexpected results, experts were able to confirm the vote not only

Cruz and Kasich Bow Out, Clinton and Trump Edge Closer to Nominations

In the race to become US president, there have been numerous momentum swings in the three months following the Iowa caucuses on 1 February 2016. Since then, the picture has grown clearer and it now seems likely that Hillary will

Underdogs Strike Back: Cruz and Sanders Defeat Trump and Clinton in Wisconsin Showdown

Tuesday 5th April 2016 proved to be a day of comebacks in the Democratic and Republican primaries, with both Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders triumphing in Wisconsin at the expense of their higher-profile opponents in the race to become US

UK Politics Betting

Politics in the United Kingdom draw massive attention internationally. For some, it represents the governing body of the most powerful country, an obvious interest to smaller countries influenced by the UK economy and foreign policy. Others pay attention because their country once contributed to the truth of the saying "the sun never sets on the English empire," meaning they have fellow citizens, friends and relatives with strong ties back to the 'homeland'.

And, as most gambling veterans know, if something draws the attention of the people, it draws the attention of the bookies and that's exactly why betting on UK politics - with the right strategy - can be a very lucrative market.

The wealth of political races that make-up the UK government as we know it always offer advantageous markets but require more area specific knowledge, meaning national races and media-grabbing topics are best when considering an event to wager. A lesser-known UK market punters typically find success in is the 'government after next' market.

This market strategy heavily relies on opinion polls, which are easily accessed and researched. National races like betting on the next leader of the Conservative Party provide ample data to research as well when constructing your strategy.

US Politics Betting

Politics in the United States have always hinged on the battle of the two parties, the Democrats vs Republicans. Almost all elections, including federal, state, and local levels, result in either a person from each party battling each other or one from one of the parties running unopposed.

It is rare, at any level of American government, to find an elected official who isn't registered with one of the two major parties. This makes for intense party election battles. The US Presidential election typically comes down to a Democrat vs Republican, meaning whittling down to one choice per party can be complicated.

Understanding the value of a candidates' party affiliation as well as what that party stands for is crucial when formulating a political betting strategy. The most lucrative market to bet when considering US politics are the party primaries, the Democratic and the Republican Primaries.

These two races decide the final two candidates poised to battle it out for the White House. Primaries are done state-by-state through all 50 states but with varying processes per state so understanding a bit about this process can be helpful.

Other Political Markets

Other political environments do occasionally catch a punt on the largest bookmaker sites but typically only if that political event is catching more attention than normal.

Irish politics catch a few punts around election season as a lot of top bookies operate out of Ireland a massive resource for Irish political betting. Scottish political markets pop-up as well from time to time due to their close ties with England and incorporation in UK politics.

Political betting for other large governments like France and Germany are certainly offered but don't garner the attention or potential winnings the other more popular markets offer. In terms of strategy, it's best to avoid these lesser-known markets as research on them is limited and can impact your wagers.

Timing

One of the most important factors when considering a political betting strategy is the timing of the punt. Elections are held all throughout the year, some only occurring every couple years while some annually. For example, the US runs it's presidential election every four years but has local, state, and other federal elections often.

Jumping on an early underdog in the general election can produce a huge return and only takes getting a head of rising star, like the 2016 election's dramatic rise of Donald Trump to front-runner, but finding an underdog in a quick turnaround race can be tough and risky.

Politics Strategy Articles


London Mayoral Election 2016 Betting Preview: Paddy Power Starts Taking Wagers

From the US presidential contest to the EU referendum, it's an exciting time of year for punters interested in political betting. The latest market to open is the race to win the office of London Mayor, with Paddy Power covering the winning candidate

Rubio's Exit From Republican Primary Makes Trump Odds On For Nomination

The 2016 Republican Primary race has claimed another victim. This time it's Florida Senator Marco Rubio. Despite being an early frontrunner among Republicans, Rubio bowed out of the race last week after failing to win the Florida primary against billionaire

Bookies Open EU Referendum Betting Markets

It's one of the hottest topics of debate in UK politics at the moment. Now punters can put their money where their mouths are, with a number of bookmakers taking bets on the outcome of the EU referendum vote.

US Democratic Primary 2016 Betting Preview: Sanders Claws Back Ground on Hillary

Bernie Sanders has improved his standing in the race to become the Democratic presidential nominee after successive East Coast victories in New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine. The 74-year-old Vermont Senator won his latest victory in the Maine caucus by claiming

US Republican Primary 2016 Betting Preview: Odds Shift as Ben Carson Bids Farewell

The Republican Party's US presidential betting odds took a tumble last week after Ben Carson announced his withdrawal from the political race. The retired neurosurgeon had been one of the early favourites among the Republican candidates, but a failure to

US Presidential Betting

The US presidential elections determine who will land one of the most powerful jobs in the world. With plenty of twists and turns guaranteed in every election, predicting the outcome may seem tough, but there are lots of ways to

Winning Party in the Next US Presidential Election Betting

US politics might be a two-party system, but that doesn't mean betting on the winning party is a simple process. From the moment candidates throw their hat in the ring, the contest becomes an assault course of acid tests, spin

Government After Next Election Betting

In the UK, 650 constituencies are contested at every general election – that's 112 more than the amount of electoral college votes in the United States.

Next Conservative Party Leader Betting

David Cameron has dominated the Conservative Party since his election as leader in 2005. Yet, rumblings of a potential leadership contest was picked up by the UK press as early as February 2014.

US Democratic Primary Betting

The US presidential election takes place every four years. Before it begins in earnest, representatives of the Democratic and Republican parties must face off in a battle to decide who will enter the presidential race. US Democratic primary betting can

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