8 Essential Premier League Stats

SHARE

 8 Essential Premier League Stats

The English Premier League (EPL) is fast-paced, frantic and seemingly unpredictable; in fact, it's the potential for shock results and explosive local derbies that contributes to its giant global fan base. However, all this can make it difficult to know where to start with betting, especially when faced with so many markets and exciting in-play opportunities. Fortunately, hidden beneath the chaotic exterior of the EPL are a number of reliable trends that could make your weekend watch a profitable one. Here are the essential statistics and trends to consider when betting the Premier League:

1. The Most Common Scoreline

The EPL might be known as one of the most exciting leagues in the world, but that doesn’t mean that every game is a feast of goals. The most common scoreline in the Premier League is actually 1-0, which typically makes up around 20% of all match results each season. The second most common scoreline is 2-1 on average. The most common score for a draw is 1-1, not the suspected nil-nil. Bear these figures in mind when betting on the correct score market or over/under market, particularly when two closely matched teams go head to head.

2. The Most Common Half Time Score

An even more reliable result tends to be the 0-0 draw after 45 minutes. On average over the past few seasons, around 30% of matches were goalless when the half time whistle blew. This stat isn’t just useful for the half time scoreline market, but also for the half time/full time market. It can be particularly lucrative for punters who identify a team specialising in late goals; be sure to keep an eye on the club who scored the latest overall the previous season. Some years teams average as late as 55 minutes before their first goal.

3. The Home Advantage

Some say that the home advantage is becoming less relevant in the Premier League, but the statistics beg to differ. Home wins on average can account for around 45% of results during a season, while draws average around 20% and away wins just over 30%. Next time you’re weighing up a tight contest, remember to factor in morale boosting home support, often referred to as ‘the 12th man’.

4. Card Per Game Averages

When it comes to cards per game, the stats aren’t nearly as volatile as the players. Taking high intensity derby games out of the equation, there tends to be a relatively consistent figure for the number of cards a given team will pick up. In past seasons, there has been an average of a little over 0.15 red cards per game and around 3.5 yellow cards, with fluctuations being minor.

5. Goals Per Game Averages

Goals per game average in the EPL has remained remarkably consistent despite the evolution of football tactics over the past 2+ decades. In recent years, the lowest average was 2.45 goals per game in 2006/7, one of the lowest all time. The highest averages in the past few decades have come recently as the league has broken 3.0 gpg. As we’ve seen, this doesn’t necessarily mean that most games will see a hatful of goals, but rather that high-scoring fixtures happen a little more frequently. This could have something to do with the widening gulf between the top and bottom of the league, with top teams sometimes recording wins of 4, 5, 6 and 7-0 over struggling clubs.

6. New Year's Omens

A saying that gets rolled out every year is that the team sitting at the top of the league on New Year's Day will generally have the staying power to go on and win the title. Historically speaking, there's some truth to the claim, as the New Year's front runner has gone on to win the Premier League almost 50% of the time. Equally, some teams have built a reputation for running out of steam in the second half of the season. One of the worst collapses in EPL history after leading the table for the New Year came in 1996. Newcastle held a 12 point lead heading into January 1996 yet relinquished their lead to Man United by season's end.

7. League Top Scorers

At the start of every season football fans ponder who will be the Premier League's top goalscorer, and with high odds often available, and relatively few genuine candidates to pick from, it can be surprisingly easy to exploit this market. The top scorer has come from a top four team in almost every season so be sure to consider the season's favourites and their leading men when betting on the league top scorer.

8. Time Of Goal Trends

The ‘time of next goal’ and ‘goal to be scored in the next 10 minutes’ markets are among the most exciting to bet on in-play. This is partly because these outcomes are best predicted on the spur of the moment, when the build-up looks promising, or a team is under pressure. That said, teams do display trends that can be analysed in advance. For example, a poor team can score six and conceded 19 in the last ten minutes, while a top club might score 12 and conceded one in the first ten. Having these figures at hand can be invaluable when making in-play choices.

To test your knowledge of the stats on the latest football betting markets, be sure to visit one of our top football betting sites, including visiting one of the internet's top bookmakers, Bet365, who is offering an exclusive sign-up bonus for anyone signing up for a new account today!

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Expert Tips for Betting on NFL Games Played Outside the US
Expert Tips for Betting on NFL Games Played Outside the US

The National Football League, better known as the NFL, has ramped up their efforts the past few years to expand their support outside of their home in the US. Thanks to the NFL International Series, r ... Read More

England vs West Indies ODI’s Best Odds from Top Bookmakers
England vs West Indies ODI’s Best Odds from Top Bookmakers

After the latest nail-biting International Test Match Series against the West Indies, England proved it could steal the show, winning the third game. Now, with a series of One Day Internationals (ODI) ... Read More

Ultimate Guide to Betting on the Emmy’s Top Awards 2017
Ultimate Guide to Betting on the Emmy’s Top Awards 2017

The 69th Primetime Emmy Awards take place on Sunday 17th September, and it looks to be an exciting evening for those with a nose for exemplary television shows. Check out our extensive betting preview ... Read More

Singapore Grand Prix 2017 Expert Betting Tips and Preview
Singapore Grand Prix 2017 Expert Betting Tips and Preview

The Singapore Grand Prix always delivers in terms of entertainment and this season looks as though it will be no different. With Lewis Hamilton taking the chequered flag at the recent Italian Grand Pr ... Read More

Ultimate Guide to the Best Bets and Odds of NFL Season 2017
Ultimate Guide to the Best Bets and Odds of NFL Season 2017

The NFL has grown in global coverage over the past decade, giving punters more in the way of betting interest and ammunition when it comes to placing value bets. With the 2017/18 NFL season kicking of ... Read More

Who Experts Think are Leading the EPL Managerial Sack Race
Who Experts Think are Leading the EPL Managerial Sack Race

In what has been dubbed The Sack Race, the top sports bookmakers now take bets not only on which teams may win or lose, but also which manager will be the first to fall on his sword or pushed out the ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide