Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Trends - Cheltenham Betting

Jessica Lamb

January 2nd, 2020

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The top five Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle trends for 2020 are right here. Do not miss them before you make this year's Cheltenham bets!

BEST 2020 ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES' HURDLE TRENDS

• Won one of last three starts
• Run in three or more hurdles
• Not run for at least 26 days
• Placed in Grade 2, or won Grade 3
• Aged 6 or 7

Betting On 2020's Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle? Follow These Trends:

Above are THE top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2020 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle.

We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of this Cheltenham Festival Grade 1, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.

What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle. Scroll down to find out how the trends did last year, and read full details of all the key trends to follow.

Get the latest Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle odds here

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Did Trends win the last Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle?

Four horses fit last year's Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle trends, but from them only one made the frame: Commander Of Fleet.

He finished second as the 4/1 favourite, boasting the only Grade 1 win in the field, the prerequisite three runs and two wins over hurdles, and form over almost three miles.

Next came fifth-placed Lisnagar Oscar, who had won amongst his two victories a key trial (see below); the Grade 2 Prestige Novices' Hurdle at Haydock. He had also been second in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham and won over 3m, with a long enough break to freshen up.

He was closely followed by third trends pick Derrinross in sixth, with Ask Ben, who was an excellent fit for the Place Trends, coming home 10th - about the same distance behind Lisnagar Oscar as he had been when they met at Haydock.

In an odd year for jumps racing, where fast ground led to many horses not even running during the season, the winner Minella Indo was among a raft of novice hurdlers that had not run as many times as connections would have hoped.

As a consequence he was still a maiden when running at Cheltenham, and had only run in two hurdle races, placing both times, but being beaten upwards of four lengths. The third, Allaho was among those who had beaten him, but he too lacked experience; the Albert Bartlett was his fourth outing on a racecourse, and his third over hurdles.

KEY ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES' HURDLE TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

• Had not run for at least 26 days
• Finished in the first four last time out

14 of the last 15 winners...

• Won one of their last three starts
• Had run in three or more hurdle races

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

• Last ran no more than 78 days ago
• Had finished in the first three in a Grade 2 or Grade 3
• Had run at least four times in the past 12 months, including point-to-points
• Had finished at least third if they had run at Cheltenham before - four being unbeaten at the course

Nine of the last 10 winners…

• Were aged between 6-8
• Were officially rated 137 or higher
• Had won on a galloping track before
• Had run at least three times that season, majority ran four times or more
• Had run over at least 2m7f before - seven winning
• Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 hurdle
• Finished in the first three last time out - exception finished fourth

Eight of the last 10 winners…

• Had won at least two hurdle races
• Had won that season

The last 30 win and place positions

30/30 placed horses

• Were officially rated 135 or higher
• Finished in the first three in one of their last three starts
• Finished in the first five last time out

29/30 placed horses

• Had run in at least two novice hurdles
• Last ran in a handicap or novices’ hurdle
• Had their last run between 26 and 90 days ago

KEY RACE TRENDS (11 years)

(Last Graded race contested prior to the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle)

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

How Minella Indo won 2019's Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

Still a maiden, Minella Indo shocked all-comers in 2019's Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle as the six-year-old romped to his first victory on any racecourse, by two lengths.

Sent off at 50/1, Minella Indo powered to the front three hurdles out and was not for catching under jockey Rachael Blackmore, who was riding her first Cheltenham Festival Grade 1 winner.

4.50 CHELTENHAM - 2019 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Result

1. Minella Indo 50/1
2. Commander Of Fleet 4/1f
3. Allaho 8/1

The 4/1 favourite Commander Of Fleet lined up the only Grade 1 winner in the field, and boasted bags of experience over the Henry De Bromhead-trained star, but he got first run and stayed on best up the Cheltenham hill.

Allaho, who beat Minella Indo last time out in a Grade 2 at Clonmel, finished a further seven lengths back in third at odds of 8/1.

Cheltenham 2020 Friday Schedule

13:30 Triumph Hurdle

14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle

14:50 - Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

15:30 CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP

16:10 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase

16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase

17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle