Above are THE top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2020 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase.
We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of this amateur riders' Gold Cup, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.
What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Foxhunter Chase. Scroll down to find out how the trends did last year, and full details of all the best Foxhunter Chaser trends to follow.
Hazel Hill, Shantou Flyer, Road To Rome, and Ucello Conti scored best on trends, all ticking the top five above, as well as fulfilling all the key 10-Year trends. They went on to be first, second, fourth and fifth, the most crucial statistic being their fitness and freshness.
It's a fine balance between fit and tired; horses that run too close to this 3m2f chase pay the price, and those that have not run enough during the season also suffer, never more than in 2019 when Road To Rome set a blistering pace on holding ground.
Just nine of the 24 runners finished, 12 being pulled up, including many who had been fancied in the Cheltenham betting.
The horse with the biggest odds in the top four, third Top Wood, a 33/1 chance, failed the win trends on age (12) and a recent run, as his last outing had been the previous April, where he pulled up. But he did fit the place trends (see below).
The last 15 winners…
14 of the last 15 winners…
The last 10 winners…
Nine of the last 10 winners…
Eight of the last 10 winners...
Seven of the last 10 winners...
The last six winners...
Four of the last five winners...
30/31 placed horses
Trainer | Runs | Wins | Win% | P/L | Places |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Nicholls | 13 | 2 | 15 | 30.00 | 1 |
Enda Bolger | 7 | 2 | 29 | 2.63 | 1 |
Nigel Twiston-Davies | 3 | 1 | 33 | 2.50 | 1 |
Aged 11, Hazel Hill finally made his breakthrough, winning the 2019 Foxhunter Chase in emphatic style for trainer Philip Rowley and jockey Alex Edwards.
Having won 14 of his last 15 races, he was sent off the 7/2 favourite and given a determined ride by Edwards, one of few not to let blazing front-runner Road To Rome get too far away.
The winning pair kicked on in the straight and strode away to win by four lengths over Shantou Flyer and the 2018 second Top Wood, with Road To Rome hanging on for fourth.
Hazel Hill had only joined the Rowley-Edwards team two years earlier and had won virtually every start, running in his first hunter chase aged 10 in 2018. Owned by Diana Williams, the son of Milan had won three hunter chases by a combined 37 lengths.
13:30 Triumph Hurdle
14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle
14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
15:30 CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP
16:10- Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase
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