FA Cup Semi-Finals 2016 Betting Preview: Everton vs Man United

SHARE

FA Cup Semi-Finals 2016 Betting Preview: Everton vs Man United

Manchester United fans are currently enduring the longest trophy drought in recent memory, having failed to win the English Premier League or any other major accolade since 2013. For Everton fans, their drought has been even longer, with no meaningful silverware to their name since the 1995 FA Cup.

Both sides now have their best opportunity in years when they meet in their FA Cup semi-final on Saturday 23th April. Ultimately, the winner will face a potentially beatable opponent in Crystal Palace or Watford, who are set to play on Sunday.

Everton Are Out of Sorts

Everton were forced to swallow their tenth league defeat of the season when they lost 1-0 to Man Utd on 3rd April. Adding to the disappointment of losing 3-0 at home back in October, Everton were totally unable to make up for their previous shortcoming.

On balance, Everton were unlucky to lose that match, having restricted their opponents to just two shots on target. Centre-back Phil Jagielka came agonizingly close to leveling the game on two occasions, but one hit the bar and Man Utd goalkeeper David De Gea saved the second.

Following the defeat, Everton have neither collapsed nor excelled, drawing three successive games against Watford (1-1), Crystal Palace (0-0) and Southampton (1-1) respectively. Manager Roberto Martínez can draw confidence from the improved performances in defence, but the downside is the struggling attack.

Fortunately for Martínez, he has a midweek Merseyside derby to correct the issue against Liverpool on Wednesday night. But an 11th league defeat of the season could damage their confidence before playing Man Utd. Given the potential pressure, Paddy Power Sports has priced Everton as the underdogs at 23/10, while Man Utd are favourites at 5/4.

Man Utd Playing for LVG’s Future

If Louis van Gaal manages to win this weekend, he would deliver the club’s first FA Cup triumph since 2004 and perhaps buy himself another season in charge. For months, van Gaal has been forced to endure intense media speculation that José Mourinho will replace him, but somehow the Dutch manager keeps doing just enough to avoid a full collapse.

Man Utd looked free and clear after going 2-0 up in their FA Cup sixth-round replay against West Ham, but were forced to suffer through a tense finish after conceding at 79 minutes. On the following Saturday, Man Utd fans had to endure a nervy second half against 20th-placed Aston Villa when their team were unable to kill off the game at 1-0.

In fact, they almost dropped two points when Aston Villa striker Rudy Gestede hit the post with five minutes left. Man Utd’s indecisiveness has already cost them in a number of games and it could hurt them once more against Everton.

After 33 league games, Man Utd’s 40 goals average out as a mere 1.21 average, while their 30 goals conceded works out as 0.91. Comparatively, Everton’s 53-goal return over 33 games averages at 1.60 goals per game, so the Toffees could pose a threat if their opponents snatch the lead and choose to sit back.

Key Betting Markets

Paddy Power considers Man Utd (5/4) the more likely to beat Everton (23/10), but a draw in 90 minutes is a definite prospect at 11/5. Everton have played out three-straight low-scoring draws, while Man Utd have a short variance between the goals they score and concede.

Given the risk of a draw, it’s worth considering that Man Utd and Everton are available at 4/7 and 5/4, respectively, to qualify for the next round. Effectively, this allows punters to back their preferred winner and also cover the draw if the game goes to extra time or penalties.

For anybody expecting a low score, Paddy Power Sports is offering under 2.5 goals at 8/11, but the more ambitious punters might prefer under 1.5 goals at 11/5. Meanwhile, more attack-minded bettors will be rewarded with even money if the game has over 2.5 goals.

Check in with Paddy Power Sports for all FA Cup betting markets this weekend!

Recommended Betting Sites

*T&C's apply to each offer, click Bet Now for more details

Betting Strategy Articles


La La Land Should Dominate but Who Should You Back?
La La Land Should Dominate but Who Should You Back?

It's almost that time of year again when the cream of Hollywood rises to the top in their finest outfits for an evening of tears, poker-faced smiles a ... Read More

Bookies Backing Madrid, Less Confident with Bayern v Arsenal
Bookies Backing Madrid, Less Confident with Bayern v Arsenal

It’s still a few months until the 2017 UEFA Champions League Final kicks off at the Millennium Stadium in Cardiff, but the herd has already been thinn ... Read More

What Wagers Experts Suggest for the FA Cup 5th Round
What Wagers Experts Suggest for the FA Cup 5th Round

This year the 5th round of the FA Cup has a wonderfully eclectic feel to it, with five of the Premier League’s big hitters in Manchesters United and C ... Read More

Expert Tips for Betting the Champions League Round of 16
Expert Tips for Betting the Champions League Round of 16

Like many well-meaning young chaps or ladies, the four teams in Champions League action on February 14 will be hoping that it’s a Valentine’s Day to r ... Read More

The Best and Most Interesting Prop Bets of Super Bowl LI
The Best and Most Interesting Prop Bets of Super Bowl LI

With so much wagered on the Super Bowl every year, it is not surprising there are wacky and out-there bets focusing on many different aspects of the g ... Read More

The Ultimate Super Bowl LI Betting Preview
The Ultimate Super Bowl LI Betting Preview

The NFL's Super Bowl is considered one of the great betting opportunities of each year, along with the Champions Cup finals and others. The amount of ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

Betting Guides

Country Guide